Triple P Trading Course

"Profitable Price Pattern Trading for the 21st Century Trader"
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Instructed by Billy Williams Business / Finance
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  • Lectures 16
  • Length 3 hours
  • Skill Level All Levels
  • Languages English
  • Includes Lifetime access
    30 day money back guarantee!
    Available on iOS and Android
    Certificate of Completion
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About This Course

Published 12/2013 English

Course Description

William O'Neil, publisher of The Investor's Business Daily and a legendary stock trader, did an exhaustive study back in the 1960's on the winning traits of the stock market's biggest winning stocks and he found that there were common characteristics among runaway stock moves. One of the biggest discoveries were that high-performing stocks formed key price patterns before breaking out and making their investors rich.

O'Neil used that knowledge to achieve staggering returns which helped him gain a seat on the New York Stock Exchange while in his 20's and also funded the start-up of the Investor's Business Daily which grew into a billion-dollar publishing empire.

Expanding on O'Neil's lessons,in the late 1990's, a pool contractor named Dan Zanger broadened the use of key chart patterns just like you'll learn in this course and took a trading account from $11,000 to over $43 million dollars in just 18 months!

It was an incredible feat that set records and was documented publicly by both his accountants as well as Forbes magazine.

Now, for normal people, those results are not typical but his story stands as a testament as to what is possible once you understand the key principle of Dan's story which is - through dedicated study of the right information, Dan went from a losing trader to a massively successful winner by using price patterns!

Price patterns are commonly talked about among traders but not commonly understood, and this causes alot of traders to miss out some truly epic trades.

In this course, its my goal to make sure that this doesn't happen to you.

Here, you'll learn:

  • How to train your mind to spot high-performing price patterns and hone in with laser-like, almost psychic accuracy when spotting price patterns!
  • Use "dynamic" entry signals where momentum screams that the dominant trend is about to drive price into a new profitable trend.
  • Bullish patterns will have higher winning percentages than bearish patterns because bottoms are easier to call than tops. Why? Because of certain emotions at play (know this and you'll understand something so primal that you'll never trade the markets the same way again).
  • If you can draw simple lines and connect the dots then you have the tools to find winning trades in today's stock market (and avoid losing trades as well).
  • The truth about quiet, low-volatility stocks and how they can emerge as the next Apple Computer or Baidu, the kind of runaway moves that grow your trading account.
  • Like a coiled spring, price may pull back slightly in order to explode forward and give you a small window of opportunity for a low-risk entry! But, you need to learn how to spot a First Stage Base (90 percent of traders get this wrong but, now, you'll be able to spot it in a glance and put yourself in a winning position as the trend resumes upward).
  • How to use one trick to time your entries with incredible precision just as a runaway move is about to occur!
  • How combining two simple indicators can show you explosive price points to put yourself in front of fast-moving stocks for 50 percent, 100 percent, 200 percent, or greater.
  • The one sneaky trick that underhanded floor traders use against traders like you and how to avoid it and how to profit by turning the tables against them.
  • Better than Trend-Trading: Trading trends is one of the most reliable methods for solid returns but, sadly, has a success rate of less than 1/3rd of the trades implemented (maybe less). However, using key price patterns along with sound technical criteria, you can have extremely high success rates that are potentially as great as 98 percent with some chart patterns.
  • The simple reason why the "King of Momentum" patterns will fail. (and what you can do to avoid it while making effective trades which have more potential to profit instead)
  • What you should look for when price emerges into expansion.
  • What you should know about "Static Defense" versus "Dynamic Offense" when confronted on making an entry decision.
  • The one thing you must never do when a stock breaks out of a period of contraction.
  • The one type of trend you must never trade or you will never make money in the market!
  • The simple fact is that "The Herd" is wrong more often than not and how to use this fact to spot trend reversals and avoid losses when the amateurs are piling on new positions at the WRONG TIME! (knowing this can help you profit when The Herd is too scared to act! Real fortunes are made this way in the stock market and how Warren Buffett, Paul Tudor Jones, Jesse Livermore, and George Soros became legends!)
  • Do you feel frustrated or, worse, paralyzed with fear by not knowing which direction you should be trading a stock? Learn these 4 methods of filtering out price movement and you'll never experience those destructive negative feelings again.
  • The reason why you should trade stocks at their all-time highs (and it has nothing to do with overhead resistance).
  • Why the Yin/Yang concept of Chinese culture holds the true secret of unlocking the potential of price movement and how to use it to make high returns.
  • The secret relationship between price and volume.
  • Learn how Isaac Newton's First Law of Physics relates to price movement...and when it doesn't.
  • The single most important indicator to help you detect tomorrow's monster moves (imagine catching Apple Computer 5 or 6 years before anyone else).
  • 23 of the most profitable price patterns with detailed instructions on how to spot them, confirm their entry points, trade volume requirements, and success rate.
  • You will understand price action and movement at its most fundamental level and be able to know when to trade, spot chart patterns, read the correct trend in play, avoid losing trade setups, and have the potential to increase your overall returns and take your trading to a new level of success with greater ease.
  • Why the simple fact is that a strong technical trader will outperform a good fundamental trader and why.
  • The secret of "Surfing Momentum" and how to use it to put yourself in front of a fast-moving trend (this makes price "prove" itself worthy of you making an entry or revealing that it isn't worth it and keeps you from ever getting into a losing position to begin with).
  • And much, much more.

In the Triple P Trading course, you'll get a fully detailed strategy guide that breaks down each chart pattern for you so that you fully understand how the pattern forms, its success rate, what to look for, and when to enter at the right moment. It is a blueprint to the best price patterns that have the highest success rate and lead to the biggest winning moves.

You'll also get videos with case studies of the strongest chart patterns and how they apply to the stock market.

In addition, you'll also get the audio lessons to each video so that you can listen to the lectures on your MP3 player whenever you want.

The best part is that you'll have this material to view over and over again to really drive home the lessons they contain so that you can get better and better at using them.

Go now, and get started by clicking the "Take This Course" button at the top of the screen right now!

What are the requirements?

  • Access to Price Charts (i.e. FreeStockCharts.com which is free)

What am I going to get from this course?

  • You'll Learn How to Identify the Strongest Price Patterns that Lead to Big Moves in the Market
  • How to Spot Price Patterns As They Form
  • How to Spot & Trade Key Patterns That Have the Highest Chance to Succeed
  • How to Avoid Broken Patterns or Improperly Developed Price Patterns
  • How to Enter a Trade Using Price Patterns
  • What Reversal Patterns Are
  • Learn to Trade the Trends with Continuous-Type Price Patterns
  • Spot Breakout Moves Before They Occur (and How to Profit from Them Over and Over Again)

What is the target audience?

  • Anyone who is thinking about trading in today's market.
  • Traders of all Experience Levels - Beginner, Intermediate, and Advanced

What you get with this course?

Not for you? No problem.
30 day money back guarantee.

Forever yours.
Lifetime access.

Learn on the go.
Desktop, iOS and Android.

Get rewarded.
Certificate of completion.

Curriculum

Section 1: Introduction
24:11

Welcome to the Triple P Trading Course - Profitable Price Pattern Trading for the 21st Century

Billy Williams is your instructor. A trader with over 25 years of experience in the stock, futures, and options markets, author of 3 books on trading, and frequent contributor to Futures Magazine, Traders.com Advantage, MoneyMorning.com, and other top financial publications.

Markets are made up of people who have the same hopes, fears, and dreams as you. It these hopes, fears, and dreams that materialize into price patterns in price action.

Price action is information and information in the market is valuable.

Price action is the language of the market. Once you learn it, you come to understand that successful trading is not a matter of being on the bullish side or the bearish side but being on the right side of the market is the only thing that really matters.

Be an interpreter of price action, not a predictor or forecaster of price action.

People are irrational and their irrationality seeps into the market. Why? Because people are fallible and experience the same extreme emotions of fear and greed over and over again which forms price patterns with stunning regularity. Since history repeats itself over and over again, price patterns form daily offering new opportunities to skilled traders who know how spot and trade them.

Price patterns have to be used within the context of a trading method that suits your personality. Once you understand that, they are an invaluable resource to add to your existing trading system or in creating a trading approach that is tailored to your personality.

Richard Dennis, John Henry, and Ed Seykota are all wildly successful traders who use price action as the foundation to their trading systems.

Section 2: Profitable Price Pattern Trading
05:28

In this tutorial, you're going to learn the only two types of price action that exist: contraction and expansion. Once you understand these two fundamental keys, you will be able to understand the market in ways that leave other traders confused and shaking their heads.

Expansion is in effect when price is moving in a clearly defined direction.

Contraction takes place when price settles into a trading range with neither bulls nor bears able to take control of price movement.

Its is in periods of contraction that price patterns begin to form.

Like the Yin/Yang symbol, expansion and contraction appear opposed to one another but actually coexist in harmony with each part containing the potential of the other. Expansion leads to contraction and contraction leads to expansion.

It is during the transition from one to another that opportunities exist for a skilled trader who understands price action and the patterns that emerge from that price action.

08:21

Trends exist on every level in the market.

For trading, there are 3 different time periods you have to be aware of. They are:

  1. Short-term
  2. Intermediate-term
  3. Long-term

Short-term time periods exist from a period of a few minutes to a few days. Daytraders and short-term option traders are indicative to this time period.

Intermediate-term time periods last from a few days to several weeks. Swing-traders and momentum traders dominate this time frame to exploit short bursts of momentum in price action.

Long-term time periods last from a few months to several years. To the novice, long-term investors are associated with this time period but so are trend-followers and investors who look to capture macro-economic swings in currencies and bonds.

Price patterns occur on every time period but its important that you find a style of trading that fits your personality.

Whatever time period you trade, price patterns will help you time your entries with greater precision and greater success.

09:33

First Stage Base patterns form during periods of price contraction.

First Stage Base patterns are the staging ground for price to explode into periods of expansion as price develops into a strong trend.

First stage base patterns can take as long as a few weeks to form to as long as a few years however the best of these patterns form in 8 weeks.

If you learn to watch price as it moves from expansion to contraction, and then watch as First Stage Base patterns begin to form then you will have a huge edge in capturing significant price moves as price transitions into expansion again.

The highest performing stocks first form First Stage Base patterns before going to and racking up outsized returns.

Any of the chart patterns detailed in this course can qualify as a First Stage Base pattern but if you learn how to spot these transitions in price action then you'll have higher odds of success and better performance as a result.

14:05

Price and volume have a unique relationship; they are like two side of the same coin.

When price and volume are moving in harmony then a strong trend is likely to emerge or continue. If price and volume begin to move away from each other then it is likely that the current trend will be terminated or reverse.

When price and volume move at extreme levels at the same time, it is usually a signal that the trend is over.

If price/volume move at extremes while price is in a period of contraction and volume has been flat, then that is a sign that a new trend is emerging.

When price is steadily increasing over time, then the stock is under accumulation, and a trend is likely to emerge and/or continue.

When price is steadily decreasing or experiencing sharp spikes in volume during stock declines, then that stock is under distribution and the stock is likely to decline.

When price and volume are moving together in harmony while under accumulation then the underlying security's price action is likely trending higher and making higher highs and higher lows in price.

When price and volume are moving together in harmony while under distribution then the underlying security's price action is likely trending lower and making lower highs and lower lows in price.

10:46

Bullish Flat Base Pattern

A Bullish Flat Base Pattern is a continuation pattern, usually occurring after an extended upward move in price. Price action will move in a very flat, sideways pattern after establishing a resistance level; this pattern is also referred to as a “high, tight flag”. The unique characteristic of this pattern is the extended, nearly horizontal price action with decreasing volume before the breakout.

Now, this pattern can take up to 3 months to consolidate. Volume will typically dry up after hitting the Resistance level and the price consolidates horizontally. Greater than 150% of normal price volume is normally required to break out of the pattern to the upside.

Additionally, any horizontal base pattern, false breakouts accompanied by weak volume are common. However, I have a couple of tips that can help minimize you from getting whipsawed in a false breakout which are going to be covered a little later that are based on a study on the highest performing stocks (both bullish and bearish) in the last 100 years that revealed that there were key signals that will help you only pick the highest-probability entries on the best moving stocks.

So, identify the Support and Resistance lines of the pattern. False breakouts to the upside are common at the Resistance line, creating “bull traps” for those traders not patient enough to wait for the required volume confirmation to break out of the pattern. Breakouts should cause an explosive price movement out of the pattern, on average a 63% gain in price from the Resistance level!

Success rate for this pattern alone is a respectable 68%, rising to a very respectable 83% if you wait for the confirmation on the Breakout above the Resistance level.

Also, this is one of my favorite patterns, as well as hedge fund manager, radio personality, and author of “The Investor’s Edge”, Gary Kaultbaum (who trades contracted base patterns similar to this one almost exclusively in his 200 million dollar-plus hedge fund) and while the percentages are based off of Thomas Bulkowski’s work I find that the percentages are much higher when you match this method’s approach to stock selection and profiling and combined with sticking to the strongest stocks in the strongest sector as well as moving in tandem with the general market. I’ve seen and experienced many stocks doubling or tripling in price coming out of these patterns especially when you combine these steps with the entry methods you’re going to read about a little later on.

Bearish Flat Base Pattern

A Bearish Flat Base Pattern is a continuation pattern, usually occurring after an extended downward move in price. Price action will move in a very flat, sideways pattern after establishing a support level; this pattern is also referred to as a “low, tight flag”. The unique characteristic of this pattern is the extended, nearly horizontal price action with decreasing volume before the breakdown.

Now, this pattern can take up to 3 months to consolidate. Volume will typically dry up after hitting the Support level and the price consolidates horizontally. Greater than 150% of normal price volume is normally required to break out of the pattern to the downside.

Additionally, any horizontal base pattern, false breakdowns accompanied by weak volume are common. However, once again, let me mention that I have a couple of tips that can help minimize you from getting whipsawed in a false breakdown which are going to be covered a little later and which are based on a study on the highest performing stocks (both bullish and bearish) in the last 100 years that revealed that there were key signals that will help you only pick the highest-probability entries on the best moving stocks.

So, identify the Support and Resistance lines of the pattern. False breakdowns to the downside are common at the Support line, creating “bear traps” for those traders not patient enough to wait for the required volume confirmation to breakdowns of the pattern. Breakdowns should cause an explosive price movement out of the pattern, on average a 67% gain in price from the Support level!

Success rate for this pattern alone is a respectable 68%, rising to a very respectable 86% if you wait for the confirmation on the Breakdown below the Support level.

17:39

A Cup With Handle Pattern is one of the most common consolidation patterns the form during a contraction in price action (it is also my most favorite patterns to trade as the moves often explode in price for huge gains) which usually occur after an extended move in price. Price action will move slowly down, then up in a U-shaped “Cup”. Once the prior resistance level on the left side of the Cup is met on the right side, prices will drift lower on decreasing volume until the upside Breakout is triggered.

Cup With Handle Patterns typically take 7 weeks to form but some can take much longer (as long as a year) so be sure to look at the weekly and monthly charts to spot them and not miss any opportunities.

The handle, however, must take at least a week to form.

Identify the top resistance line of the Cup, and the subsequent resistance line of the Handle. The price target will be approximately the depth of the Cup to the upside past the Cup resistance level by more than 10-15% before attempting a breakout.

The success rate of this pattern is 74% without volume confirmation but with heavy volume of around

150% of normal volume with price breaking out to the upside can rise to almost 90%.

If price rises 25% from entry within 8 weeks, then it is possible you have a homerun trade on your hands and that the stock will go on to rack up 50% to 100% within the year. But, use trailing stops and control your risk if you decide to hold the position during that time.

16:01

Double Bottom Pattern

A Double Bottom is a bullish reversal pattern, usually occurring after an extended downward move in price. After a reversal at the First Bottom accompanied by high volume, momentum will be lost at the Confirmation level and the price will decline again, resulting in the Second Bottom. A second reversal will be accompanied again by high volume, and a secondary volume peak will accompany the stock as it breaks above the Confirmation level.

I recommend using this pattern in conjunction with the 3 types of trends discussed earlier for superior trend identification. For example, if the dominant trend on the larger time frame is up while the smaller time frame is down then you want to watch for this pattern on the smaller time frame to confirm a resumption of the dominant up trend.

One more bit of advice, Bottoms that occur closer together are stronger than those Bottoms timed further apart.

High volume at each bottom reversal, with a secondary volume spike as the pattern “confirms” by breaking above the Confirmation Level.

By not confirming the breakout after the Second Bottom, the pattern may just become another bearish channeling pattern, rising and falling between Support and Resistance.

To trade the pattern effectively you want to identify the Confirmation level, and confirm that prices have closed above the that price before entering a bullish position. On good Double Bottom patterns, the Second Bottom will undercut the First Bottom.

Double Top Pattern

A Double Top is a bearish reversal pattern, usually occurring after an extended upward move in price. After a reversal at the First Top accompanied by high volume, momentum will be lost at the Confirmation level and the price will rise again, resulting in the Second Top. A second reversal will be accompanied again by high volume, and a secondary volume peak will accompany the stock as it breaks below the Confirmation level.

I recommend using this pattern in conjunction with the 3 types of trends discussed earlier for superior trend identification. For example, if the dominant trend on the larger time frame is down while the smaller time frame is up then you want to watch for this pattern on the smaller time frame to confirm a resumption of the dominant downward trend.

One more bit of advice, Tops that occur closer together are stronger than those Bottoms timed further apart.

High volume at each Top reversal, with a secondary volume spike as the pattern “confirms” by breaking below the Confirmation Level.

By not confirming the breakout after the Second Top, the pattern may just become another bullish channeling pattern, rising and falling between Support and Resistance.

To trade the pattern effectively you want to identify the Confirmation level, and confirm that prices have closed below that price before entering a bearish position. On good Double Top patterns, the Second Top will undercut the First Top.

The success rate for the Double Top pattern is slightly different than its counterpart, the Double Bottom. The Double Top has a very low 35% success rate when traded off just it’s price action yet, when confirmed, the success rate rises to a very high 83% success rate.

Why is this? Because calling the top in the markets are always a lot trickier than calling the bottoms. Because of that you will notice that some bearish patterns have slightly lower success rates than others.

11:59

Bull Flag Pattern

A Bull Flag Pattern is another continuation pattern that occurs during a period of price contraction, usually after a large run-up in price (the run-up is often identified as the “flag pole” of this pattern). After a brief consolidation in the “Flag” with decreasing volume, the trend will usually continue in the same direction as the previous trend.

The price target for the next run-up in price is approximately the same vertical distance as the previous Flagpole.

Solid Bull Flag patterns generally Breakout to the upside within 12 days. Formation longer than this generally resolves into Symmetrical Triangles or Wedges.

False Breakouts are common with this pattern; price will rise above the Upper Trendline of the Flag, and return back down into the Flag pattern within the day if greater than 150% of normal volume does not accompany the Breakout.

Keep track of the Upper Trendline of the Flag pattern. Traders should enter long when this Upper Trendline is pierced on a valid Breakout on heavy volume.

The success rate for this pattern is 87% if the Breakout is confirmed with 150% greater than normal volume.

Bear Flag Pattern

A Bear Flag Pattern is another continuation pattern that occurs during a period of price contraction, usually after a large down move in price (the large down move is often identified as the “flag pole” of this pattern). After a brief consolidation in the “Flag” with decreasing volume, the trend will usually continue in the same direction as the previous trend.

The price target for the next down move in price is approximately the same vertical distance as the previous Flagpole.

Solid Bull Flag patterns generally Breakout to the upside within 3 weeks.

False Breakouts are common with this pattern; price will fall below the Lower Trendline of the Flag, and return back down into the Flag pattern within the day if greater than 150% of normal volume does not accompany the Breakout.

Keep track of the Lower Trendline of the Flag pattern. Traders should enter short when this Lower Trendline is pierced on a valid Breakdown on heavy volume of 150% of normal volume or greater.

The success rate for this pattern is 88% if the Breakdown is confirmed.

12:05

Bullish Symmetrical Triangle Pattern

This continuation pattern typically occurs after a large increase in price. After price goes through consolidation or a correction this chart pattern begins to form with a decrease in volume while the trend will usually continue in the same direction just before it began to contract.

Price targets can be calculated by measuring the vertical distance of the open end of the triangle and, if you are following an explosive stock, you can always use a trailing stop loss to capture more of the move depending upon your preference.

The drop in volume for this pattern is followed by a huge spike in volume than reveals buyers rushing in the market for this stock. This spike in volume confirms the trade as price breaks through the upper trendline of the triangle. The success for this trade rises to 94% with the confirmation of volume.

Bearish Symmetrical Triangle Pattern

This continuation pattern typically occurs after a large increase in price. After price goes through consolidation or a correction this chart pattern begins to form with a decrease in volume while the trend will usually continue in the same direction just before it began to contract.

Price targets can be calculated by measuring the vertical distance of the open end of the triangle and, if you are following an explosive stock, you can always use a trailing stop loss to capture more of the move depending upon your preference.

The drop in volume for this pattern is followed by a huge spike in volume than reveals sellers rushing in the market for this stock. This spike in volume confirms the trade as price breaks through the lower trendline of the triangle. The success for this trade rises to 98% with the confirmation of volume.

Section 3: The Art & Science of Stock Selection
10:03

Learn a reliable model of stock selection based on 4 key factors found among the biggest historical winners in the stock market.

02:46

Financial Visualizations is one of the best stock screeners available and its free. Get an overview of its features and how it can help you zero in on hot stocks with runaway potential for price pattern trading.

Small Cap Momentum Stock Scan
11:55
Section 4: Price Pattern Trade Examples
12:45

Core Laboratories (CLB) has been a high-performing stock in recent years that offers compelling fundamentals and a durable competitive advantage in its market. It also offers strong technical reasons in the form of several price patterns that offered you low-risk entries into the heart of its price trend.


Returns as high as 100% were possible if you understood how to read the stock's price action and the spot the price patterns that resulted.


In the video, you'll see how I analyzed the stock's price action using a "top/bottom" approach along with how I use Fibonacci retracements and explain how price and volume offered strong clues as to what was going to happen next.

13:27

Priceline (PCLN) emerged during the famous Dotcom Era back in the 1990's but fell on hard times during the crash.


But, using price patterns, price/volume, and price action analysis, you could see that the stock would reemerge like a phoenix from the ashes while offering several low-risk entries.


In this video, you'll see a top/down analysis of PCLN as I walk you through different time frames and spot several price patterns and describe what they mean for a trader. You'll also learn how to spot massive juggernaut-like surges that indicate that the stock is likely to emerge as a leader in the stock market and outperform other stocks by a wide margin.

04:27

In this video you'll see how BH formed a Descending Triangle and signaled a short at just the right time as the bears pushed the stock over the cliff.

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Instructor Biography

Billy Williams, Profitable Price Pattern Trading

I've traded stock and options for more than 25 years, after watching "Wall Street" as a kid. Using my combat pay I saved up from deployment with the U.S. Army during Desert Storm, using that as my first stake to set out and conquer the markets to make my fortune.

I had planned to scale my $2,500 savings into millions but, as Mike Tyson said on boxing, "Everybody's got a plan until then get hit." And, no one, not even Iron Mike hits as hard as the stock market if you don't know what you're doing.

I went through the typical Boom & Bust cycles that all traders seem to go through. You start small, experience sudden success then scale up quickly, and once you're flush with cash then the painful downward spiral begins where you give back all your winnings and then some.

But, in the go-go 1990's, gold dust was in the air and everyone that could fog a mirror was a daytrader and jumped on internet stock craze. It was a dizzying time and even though I was still nursing my wounds from a few setbacks at the time, I clawed my way back with some big plays using price patterns in Microsoft, Yahoo, Dell, and AOL, all big names and movers in those days.

Those successes allowed me to figure out my own style of trading which let me build up from a few thousand dollars into a six-figure windfall, and have been following the markets ever since.

Today, I'm a frequent contributor to Futures Magazine, Traders.com Advantage, MoneyMorning.com, and other top financial publications as well as authored 3 books on trading stocks and options.

Price patterns form each day in the stock market in every time frame, but most traders only have a passing knowledge of them. Sadly, this lack of understanding is costing them money as well as golden opportunities if they would just deepen their knowledge a bit more.

This leads frustration and, most often, they quit in bitterness and despair.

I've seen and experienced more than my share of breathtaking successes along with soul-sucking failures both on a personal level and in working with other traders.

Here, I hope to help aspiring traders shorten the learning curve to successful trading by teaching the essential fundamentals and advanced methods in a simple, engaging way.

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