Trend Following Stocks: A Complete Trading System

A complete trend following strategy that makes millions investing in the best trending stocks.
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Instructed by Joe Marwood Business / Finance
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  • Lectures 63
  • Length 3.5 hours
  • Skill Level All Levels
  • Languages English
  • Includes Lifetime access
    30 day money back guarantee!
    Available on iOS and Android
    Certificate of Completion
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About This Course

Published 3/2015 English

Course Description

• This is a complete trend following strategy for stocks.

• Incredible historical performance with low drawdown.

• All course updates completely free and always will be.

• Course optimised for mobile, tablet, and desktop. System code included.

“Trend following methods have been the simplest, most successful trading methods for decades" – Perry J Kaufmann

When it comes to beating the stock market, there are few strategies that can offer such consistent returns as the strategy of trend following.

Trend followers made a killing in 2008, when the whole financial system was in meltdown and they made millions in 2014, just when the sceptics were saying the strategy was dead. And some of the best trend following funds have been in operation for over 40 years, building up funds with billions of dollars in assets.

To be sure, most big trend following funds operate in the realm of managed futures but there is significant evidence that trend following can be applied just as successfully to stocks.

On this course, you will learn the full rules to an original trend following strategy that can be used in the stock market. Rules that anyone can master and put into practice with just a couple of hours work a week.

Who am I? My name's Joe Marwood and I'm a trader originally from London, England. I've been trading trend following systems on stocks for years and over the next couple of hours, I will build and then disclose this complete trend following strategy for stocks that has been rigorously tested on historical stock market data.

I go through the fundamentals of trend following, the theory, the secrets, and the steps necessary to build a robust and reliable trend trading strategy.

I also record live system back-tests so you can see the real, unaltered, system results and the system equity curve for yourself.

This is a strategy that is simple enough for any investor to understand yet sophisticated enough to show incredible annual returns versus the benchmark. It's a strategy that has been able to capture some huge multi-week trends in some of the best stocks on the market. And this strategy can be applied to other global stock markets too.

The trend following for stocks strategy is suitable for:

• Full-time and part-time traders.

• Investors seeking to diversify their existing portfolios.

• Traders and investors looking to passively build wealth and income.

• Those seeking alternate investment strategies.

As you may have guessed, this is not another get rich quick scheme or day trading system with a high failure rate. Rather, this is a straightforward and mechanical approach to following trends in stocks designed to compound your wealth and beat the market.

The strategy can be used on it's own or as part of a fully diversified investment portfolio.

Stop following the news and start following the trend today.

What are the requirements?

  • Some basic understanding of stock market terms.

What am I going to get from this course?

  • Full system code and rules for a complete trend following trading system.
  • In-sample and out-of-sample results of the system.
  • Education in trend following theory, performance, and fundamentals.
  • Closed captions subtitles for reinforced learning.

What is the target audience?

  • This course is suitable for anyone with an interest in trading and beating the market using a unique, rarely talked about strategy.
  • The goal of this course is to provide a complete trend following system and to show live back-test results.
  • The goal of this course is to provide a complete trend following system and to show in live testing how the strategy has performed over reliable, historical data.

What you get with this course?

Not for you? No problem.
30 day money back guarantee.

Forever yours.
Lifetime access.

Learn on the go.
Desktop, iOS and Android.

Get rewarded.
Certificate of completion.

Curriculum

Section 1: Course Details
Important Disclaimer
Article
How to take this course
Article
Section 2: Trend Following Theory
01:03

There is no such thing as 'the trend'. Trend followers must take a systematic approach.

02:34

Trend following is more than just a trading style.

01:34

The recent performance of famous trend followers has been good.

Article

This course comes with closed captions so you can follow along to every word.

02:35

Trend followers make their money by trading large, multi-month moves in stocks and futures. This is a collection of some of the biggest market bubbles and crashes in history.

03:51

Does trend following work on stocks? What are the difference between managed futures and trading stocks?

00:54

We are following trends in stocks, is this momentum or trend following?

02:27

What are the main criticisms of trend following strategies?

01:32

30 rules to live by when following trends in the stock market.

Section 3: Principles For This Course
01:48

Before we build the trading system let's be clear what our goals are.

Section 4: System Preparation
01:05

We will be using a couple of tools for system development and these are discussed in this lecture.

03:02

Having accurate and reliable data is essential when building a trend following system.

02:49

What are the benefits of optimisation and walk forward analysis and how will we approach these concepts?

03:36

Portfolio diversification and compounding will help us create a winning system.

01:46

The objective function is how we measure the trading system so we can compare it against other systems and make improvements.

Section 5: Building The Trading System
03:36

Working out the trend following buy rules for our strategy.

01:41

Working out the trend following sell rules for our strategy.

02:32

Working out our risk and position sizing.

03:28

Adding a market timing filter to our strategy.

Article

The trend following strategy for stocks written in plain language.

Article

The loose version gives more trades and sometimes greater returns, but at the expense of greater drawdowns. The strict version builds slowly and has smaller drawdowns but fewer trades.

Section 6: Performance Of The Trading System (Results)
05:52

The results of the trading system tested on a range of different stock universes.

Article

Full summary of the trading system results

Section 7: System Analysis
03:13

Run through of the top winning trades from the trend following system we've created.

03:00

Run through of the worst losing trades from the trend following system we've created.

1 page

Analysis of the system results by sector. Which sectors produced the best returns for our strategy?

Section 8: Scrutinising & Stress Testing The System
02:23

Performance of the trading system and desirable portfolio size will depend on the starting equity.

02:06

Monte carlo analysis of our trend following system results.

Full summary of stress test results
Article
Section 9: Amibroker Code & Additional Settings
Article

Basic code for use without Premium Data Alpha Database

Amibroker System Code - Use With Premium Data
Article
Article

Code add-in to enable the Monte Carlo simulation. See the other lecture on Monte Carlo to see the results.

Article

Clarification on the data we used.

Article

Some additional Amibroker settings required to replicate the system results.

Section 10: Taking The Trading System Live
03:09

Learn how to trade the trading system in live markets.

00:54

Be aware of these extra considerations when trading the system live.

01:03

Some difficulties that face trend followers when trading stocks.

How To Scan For New Highs And More Options
Article
Tax implications
Article
Section 11: Super-Sizing Returns
01:38

Can we improve system returns by re-investing dividends?

02:15

Can we cherry pick the best signals to outperform our back-test results?

00:51

Combing different systems might help soften the system drawdowns.

01:17

Learn if it's a good idea to add short trades to our long-only trading system.

00:53

Can we improve our returns by incorporating margin or leverage?

01:32

What techniques can we use to diversify our stock portfolio?

00:43

Another technique for improving returns is discussed in this lecture.

Section 12: Conclusion
Conclusion
00:33
Section 13: Trend Following Wisdom
02:08

Some required listening from Winton Capital Chief David Harding. Originally aired on CNBC.

07:47

Some required listening from Winton Capital Chief David Harding. Originally aired on CNBC

Article

Famous quotes for trend followers from the likes of Ed Seykota, Jesse Livermore and Richard Dennis.

Section 14: Additional & Upcoming Lectures
Trailing Stop Ideas: Radge/ Chandelier
05:32
4 pages

Learn about the pitfalls of selection bias when building a trading system. This information is also shown in my other course How to Beat Wall Street. It is included here because of it's importance to system design.

15 pages

Learn about 10 different ways to follow trends in stocks.

Trend following with Bollinger Bands
14 pages
Original Turtle Trading Rules
38 pages
22 pages

Learn Amibroker looping. Thanks to GreatPig from the Aussie Stock Forums for creating this resource and thanks to Keefymonster for the tip.

Article

A list of upcoming lectures that I hope to add to the course.

Section 15: Resources
Glossary of terms
Article
Useful resources
Article
Video & music credits
Article
Section 16: Bonus Lecture
Bonus Lecture: My Other Courses
Article

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Instructor Biography

Joe Marwood, Trader & Investor

Joe B Marwood is a seasoned trader and investor specialising in financial trading and trading systems.

He began his career day trading stock and bond futures for a trading firm in London and now works through his own private company.

FAQ

How did you get started?

I started my career as a professional day trader for a London-based firm where my principal products were the FTSE 100 future and German Bund.

Today I trade a portfolio of individual stocks and I have a passion for building automated trading strategies and systems.

What is your trading style?

I use a semi-automated strategy to trade stocks on an end of day basis. I look at both fundamental and technical analysis and use strategies that are based on historical simulations. I combine those strategies with my own experience and discretion to come up with trades that I believe are the most attractive on a risk/reward basis.

Mean reversion or trend following?

I have found that traditional trend following methods do not work as well as they once did. My methods are based on my own observations on the market whether they are based on momentum, trends, mean reversion or anything else.

Who taught you how to trade?

My mentor was a former head of trading at a well known German investment bank. I have also read and studied countless books, journals, and articles, and have spent many hours in the market. You can never stop learning.

Why did you make this course?

To educate others so that they don't make the same mistakes I made. Learning to trade can be a very expensive and drawn out process. As a trader, it is also extremely beneficial to have sources of side income as that takes the pressure off your own trading. Putting what I have learnt into a course also solidifies my own learning.

What are the secrets to successful trading?

First of all, you must have the passion to succeed. If you are in it only for the money you will have a very tough time and will be doomed to failure. You must also be comfortable with risk and be able to separate your emotions from the money.  Having a system with a profitable expectancy is also crucial and for that you will likely need a strong ability with numbers.

Why do most traders fail?

Most traders start off under-capitalised and then chase unrealistic returns which results in them blowing their account after a couple of big losses. Most beginner traders do not realise the realities of trading which is why they have trouble sticking to trading plans and dealing with their emotions. Trading should be treated as a business.

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