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This Bundle combines two courses -
1) TECHNICAL ANALYSIS COURSE- A practical approach for Trade entry
2) VOLUME ANALYSIS - The key to tracking "Smart Money" activity
Take your understanding of Technical analysis, Volume analysis, Chart reading skills and Smart Money to nothing short of "Mastery" with this bundle
Technical analysis has become extensive in recent years. We study the psychology of technical analysis and why they work 60 to 70% of the time. There are several categories of technical analysis - Price indicators, Support and Resistance levels, Momentum indicators, Volume indicators, Oscillators and Statistical price movement indicators. We cut through all the noise and show you why there are 4 or 5 indicators you should study and that's all you really need to make informed entry and exit decisions. Technical analysis is a self-fulfilling prophecy and gives deep insight into crowd behavior.
Lecture I - What is Technical Analysis
Technical analysis is primarily a study of Crowd psychology and crowd behavior. If a certain number of people act in unison at a certain time, and other people can observe this group of people taking a certain action, then they are motivated to join in. And it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. Technical analysis is a very powerful force in the markets, but it has limitations. This Introductory lecture explains these details.
Lecture 2 - Crowd psychology and Crowd behavior
What is crowd psychology and why does it matter ? In this lecture, we study the S&P 500 Index over the last 20 years, and also observe a certain technical pattern that is currently playing out textbook-style. How could this pattern impact the markets this year ?
Lecture 3 - Limitations of Technical Analysis
What are the limitations of Technical analysis - when does it work, and when does it not work. Knowing when it does not work is as important as knowing when it works.
Section 2 is a detailed discussion of all the types of Technical analysis indicators. You have various kinds - Price Indicators, Momentum indicators, Statistical and Volatility indicators, Support and Resistance, Volume indicators and Oscillators. Each of these indicator types are broken down in detail as well as insightful tips on their usage and interpretation.
Section 3 is a complete case study set of 5 stocks -
1) Apple (AAPL) - 1 Year Chart. And how AAPL gave 3 points of entry for the perfect Bearish trade.
2) Priceline (PCLN) - No clear long-term signals, but a short term bearish trade could be played out.
3) Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) - an absolutely amazing Statistical indicator gives away the perfect "Long" signal
4) The Gold ETF GLD - Hidden inside a very bearish chart is the potential for a reversal trade
5) And on the Google (GOOG) charts, we can study the battle between the Bulls and Bears at a recent breach of Google's all-time high.
Applying correct Technical Analysis techniques can set you with a fantastic trade entry. If you get your trade entry correctly, you have just increased your chances of a profitable trade a whole lot.
Volume is perhaps the most under-rated indicator in the markets. Volume shows the activities of the big hedge funds and proprietary desk traders, players we often refer to as "smart money". Good volume analysis shows critical points at which markets turn around, when activity levels are low or high or when smart money is active or inactive. In this technical analysis course, we analyze various stock charts, and combine volume analysis with price action. Volume also provides a storyline to the markets. Constructing this storyline correctly is critical in terms of trade entry and exits.
Smart Money or Big money has always tried to (legally) manipulate the markets to their advantage. Their goals are to conceal their activities as much as possible. But Volume is one indicator they cannot conceal. In many ways, this technical analysis course levels the playing field for the average retail investor. Once you take this course, you'll know what to look for, and you'll be in a position to track smart money as they're entering a Stock or they're running for the exits. And your objective is to "follow the smart money". When you position your trades in harmony with the money flows of smart money, you're adding a whole layer of high-probability characteristics to your investing activities.
This is an exciting course!
In this Section, we explore why Volume is a critical indicator to study, and why this is the only indicator that clearly shows the activities of Smart Money. What can Volume analysis tell us about activity levels in the markets. Volume is sometimes referred to as the "fuel of the markets", and this is very true. This Section also defines some of the rules of "Smart Money". These rules form the basis for the games and that Smart Money play, and the tactics they deploy to manipulate the markets to their advantage.
This section is a deep-dive into the methodology for spotting and tracking "Smart Money" using Volume analysis. A perfect timeframe for analyzing these activities was during the period preceding the financial crisis of 2007/2008 and the period after the bottom in March 2009. And there is no better instrument to study this than the S&P 500 Index itself. This section is a fascinating and shocking analysis of how we could spot Smart Money doing the following -
- Start selling in March 2007, about 6 months before the top in October 2007
- They sold ("distributed") for about 9 months with barely a move in price
- Ran the bear market down to their liking
- Start "accumulating" stock by the end of 2008
- Finished accumulation phase over a period of 9 months
- Are running the Bull market right now to their liking
Detailed case studies of major stocks analyzing Smart money activity points -
1) BIDU - Smart Money is in, and they are not leaving
2) CAT - Similar to BIDU but more choppiness
3) FSLR - Gave a clear signal of smart money entry
4) NFLX, PCLN and FXE - Gave various signals for entry and exit
5) Silver Case study - Smart Money left Silver and has not come back yet.
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Certificate of completion
|Section 1: INTRODUCTION TO TECHNICAL ANALYSIS|
|Technical analysis is primarily a study of Crowd psychology and crowd behavior. If a certain number of people act in unison at a certain time, and other people can observe this group of people taking a certain action, then they are motivated to join in. And it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. Technical analysis is a very powerful force in the markets, but it has limitations. This Introductory lecture explains these details.|
|What is crowd psychology and why does it matter ? In this lecture, we study the S&P 500 Index over the last 20 years, and also observe a certain technical pattern that is currently playing out textbook-style. How could this pattern impact the markets this year ?|
|What are the limitations of Technical analysis - when does it work, and when does it not work. Knowing when it does not waork is as important as knowing when it works.|
|Section 2: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS INDICATORS|
|Moving averages are the most popular indicators based on price. we study the construction of helpful moving averages and crossovers for different timeframes.|
|Support and Resistance some of the most watched points in a stock's history. This is because what happened in the past at certain points are "facts" recorded permanently into the stock's history. In many ways, these are better than indicators because of its factual characteristics.|
|The MACD is a widely used indicator that shows momentum behind a certain move.|
|The RSI is a widely used indicator - It tells you when a stock is at "overbought" or "oversold" conditions. This kind of an indicator is called an oscillator.|
|Bollinger Bands are very powerful indicators. They tell you when a stock is likely to make a "reversal" trade because it has travelled too far too quickly. This is a statistical indicator but can be very reliable and very powerful.|
|This lecture briefly looks at Volume analysis, which is covered in another course. It also covers the ideal chart setup with the ideal set of indicators.|
|Section 3: DEEP DIVE - CHART ANALYSIS|
|A case study of Apple's Chart over the past year. We can see confluence coming in from 3 different indicators, at different times. In total, there were 3 opportunities to enter a bearish trade, all of which would have been very profitable.|
|A case study of Priceline's charts for the last few months. The analysis reveals a potential short-term bearish trade|
|Studying the CMG 6 months chart, we see an extreme reading on the chart. Anybody watching this would have taken a brilliant trade.|
|The chart on GLD looks very bearish. But on closer examination, this could have a potential for a nice bullish run.|
|GOOG recently won a battle with its all time high. The battle waged on for 4 or 5 months. This chart studies energy levels that a stock must attain to break down a significant barrier like an all-time high.|
Technical analysis Quiz
|This is a concluding lecture, and we recap everything we learned in this course.|
|Section 4: INTRODUCTION TO VOLUME ANALYSIS AND SMART MONEY|
•Volume has to be analyzed with price
•And apply a market methodology to this context
•Volume shows when smart money is exiting and when they are piling in
•But first we must understand
–What does Volume tell us
–What price did on that volume
–Where does this fit in with the market story
Most importantly, we must understand what are the "rules of smart money"
|Section 5: TRACKING SMART MONEY|
|This lecture is a fascinating look at the period between 2003 and 2007 in a bull market. The S&P 500 Index is analyzed in detail for critical information about the activities of smart money. And in particular, the period leading upto the top in October 2007 where we can clearly spot Smart Money running for the exits.|
|How does Smart money actually get out of its holdings and how they avoid the prices going lower during this time. The Distributing phase is when euphoria levels are high, and the average retail investors are left holding or buying stock at the highest levels.|
|Once smart money is finished with distributing stock, they are ready to run the bear market down. Stocks must move in an up and down cycle for smart money to make their money.|
|Once prices have gone down far enough, its time for Smart Money to pick up stocks at the lowest price. Stocks are a bargain at this point, and the panic stricken public is dumping stock at ridiculous levels into the waiting hands of Smart Money.|
|Section 6: CASE STUDIES - DETAILED VOLUME ANALYSIS AND SMART MONEY ACTIVITY IN VARIOUS STOCK CHARTS|
|Case Study of a 3 year chart on BIDU. Smart Money has piled on to BIDU and they are still in it.|
|Similar to BIDU, Smart Money was able to get into CAT at ridiculously low prices.|
|Smart Money and volume analysis clearly show money coming into FSLR in this case study.|
|General case studies of NFLX, PCLN and FXE. Many a time, there are no signals. You only trade on strong signals, and not try too hard to find a signal where there is none.|
|A case study on the Silver chart for the last 3 years. Smart Money ran for the exits (but they did give enough signals that they were running), and they have not come back again.|
Volume analysis and Smart Money Quiz
|This is the concluding lecture capturing key elements of Volume analysis|
Knowledge. Strategy. Execution.
Hari Swaminathan is the founder of OptionTiger, a cutting-edge Options education and trading company based in Washington D.C.. Hari is an entrepreneur, everyday person and a self-taught Options expert for over 8 years. Hari also writes the Blog at OptionTiger, an insightful commentary of the most important issues in macroeconomics, investing, and trading. Hari has a Bachelors degree in Engineering from India, and MBA degrees from Columbia University in NYC and London Business School in the U.K. You can read more about Hari on his Linkedin profile.
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