This course builds on the Level 1 Intelligence Analyst Certification course for descriptive analysis. One cannot explain why events occurred, if one does not first know what events occurred. Explanative intelligence interprets current events. It seeks to explain an adversary’s behavior, answer the question “why,” and establish causal relationships. Thus, students in this course should hold a Level 1 certification and be experienced descriptive intelligence analysts. Likewise, as the graduates of the Level 2 course gain experience and expertise they become ready for the Level 3 course and are ready to produce predictive intelligence analysis.
I’ll review key critical thinking skills from the Level 1 Intelligence Analyst Certification course, remind students of the common biases and mental errors we're prone to make during the analytic process, and discuss how to mitigate them.
Negativity can often thwart our attempt to perform objective analysis. In this lesson I'll explain the six steps of a rigorous technique to compensate for negative thinking.
I'll explain why structuring is important and how it can help us provide objective intelligence analysis.
This spot review of the lessons taught in Section 1 will reinforce key teaching points and help the student pass the final certification exam.
This structuring technique will make our unconscious, instinctive mental ranking a conscious and deliberate process to help us identify and separate major factors from factors of less relevance to our analysis.
This technique utilizes and builds on pair ranking to help us determine the level of influence each major factor has in a given situation to better understand and explain the reasons for decisions and causes of events.
This lesson describes the five steps to define and analyze a problem's cause-and-effect system and provides exercises for the student to demonstrate proficiency.
This spot review of the key teaching points taught in Section 2 will help the student pass the final certification exam.
In this lesson I'll discuss some of the analytic techniques taught in the Level 1 Intelligence Analyst Certification course, describe how they can be used to conduct explanative intelligence analysis, and then prepare the students for the final exam.
This exam will test the student's retention of key points and whether they met all the course goals. Successfully completing this exam will confer their certification as a Level 2 Intelligence Analyst capable of performing descriptive and explanative analysis.
I have a 30 year combat proven track record of tactical, operational, and strategic expertise in intelligence analysis and operations; communications and information technology; and special operations. I'm a graduate of and former instructor at the USAF Weapons School. I earned a Master of Science in Strategic Intelligence (MSSI) from the National Intelligence University and am a published author on intelligence analysis.