Learn How To Trade Gold In 2017
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Learn How To Trade Gold In 2017

Seizing once-in-a-decade chance to capitalize on the final gold bubble collapse
5.0 (1 rating)
Instead of using a simple lifetime average, Udemy calculates a course's star rating by considering a number of different factors such as the number of ratings, the age of ratings, and the likelihood of fraudulent ratings.
4 students enrolled
Created by Dmitry Lifatov
Last updated 4/2017
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Current price: $10 Original price: $200 Discount: 95% off
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  • 1 hour on-demand video
  • 2 Articles
  • 3 Supplemental Resources
  • Full lifetime access
  • Access on mobile and TV
  • Certificate of Completion
What Will I Learn?
  • Understand why gold is priced almost equally by all generations, despite a nominal price increase in more than 1000 times over the latest seven centuries.
  • Define the term of "fair price for gold", its lowest and highest limits.
  • Study the asset bubble theory as applied to the gold market.
  • Examine development patterns of two gold bubbles of the 1970s and the 2000s.
  • Explore and assess key fundamental factors affecting the gold price movement.
  • Understand the current technical picture of gold market.
  • Use my custom spreadsheet to calculate the optimal lot size and your potential profit from gold bubble burst.
  • Evaluate alternative options of gold price behaviour in 2017.
View Curriculum
  • The concepts of nominal and real (inflation-adjusted) prices.
  • Basic knowledge of economic history.
  • Foundations of asset bubble theory (the phases of asset bubble development, bear and bull traps, etc.).
  • General macroeconomic concepts (surveys, inflation, unemployment, interest rates, outstanding debt, etc.).
  • Applied knowledge of technical analysis, in particular technical patterns (rectangle, triangle, wedge, H&S pattern).
  • Basic knowledge of MS Excel.

Gold might be now on the eve of a major downfall, reflecting the final burst of a 10-year parabolic bull market. Following a collapse of gold prices in 2013, gold failed to return to its sustainable growth trajectory, which it demonstrated in 2009-2011 during the mania phase of the gold bubble development. For many individual traders, which prefer to trade strategically over the longer-term time horizons, the coming gold bubble burst may pose rather lucrative opportunities.

Back in 2011 I developed a long-term gold chart, showing the real (inflation-adjusted) gold price movement over the recent seven centuries expressed in Great Britain Pounds (GBP), which may give a perfect bird's eye view on the history of gold market development. In my free article on SeekingAlpha's web-site I explained my thoughts on the possible future gold price behaviour. These were the times of secular gold bull market proponents, who claimed this PM could reach $2000/oz, $5000/oz or even more in a matter of few years.

Using only basic historical analysis, I was able to put forward an idea that the gold bull market in 2011 was over and next year the gold prices will fall by 33%. Now I can conclude that that investment idea was perfectly valid, but ill-timed: the actual collapse of gold prices occurred only in 2013, but still, gold was never able to achieve prices higher than in 2011. In 2017 I updated my work and added to a solely historical analysis of gold price movement a combination of fundamental and technical factors influencing gold prices, which gave a much more accurate prediction of a possible future gold price direction.

After studying my new course you will be able to prepare youself to another 33% gold price decline and capitalize on the final gold bubble collapse.

► In my course you will find an exclusive information, which has never been published before and which is based on my own in-depth research and analysis rather than on a simple compilation of well-known facts and theories.

"Kudos for your thorough research, the presentation of an interesting angle, and a good delivery on the subject matter".

~ Jon Nadler, former Senior Analyst at Kitco Metals on my research findings.

Who is the target audience?
  • Individual positional gold traders, willing to capture excess volatility and establishment of fundamental trend in the gold market.
  • Research analysts, gold investors, financial advisors and consultants, who would like to receive exclusive and hard-to-get information on the gold market.
  • This course is NOT for intraday traders, focusing on smaller timeframes and tighter sl and tp targets.
Students Who Viewed This Course Also Viewed
Curriculum For This Course
16 Lectures
Historical Gold Price Analysis
6 Lectures 26:45

An outline of the course structure.

Preview 03:22

U.S. Government Required Disclaimer.

Preview 00:58

Description of a calculation methodology behind our historical gold price analysis.

Calculation methodology

Historical analysis is a necessary and probably the most important component of our top-down research approach, when we gradually move from the larger to smaller timeframes.

Economic history of gold

This arcticle equips you with an integrated complex picture of what’s going on in the gold market from the long-term perspective. It helps you to assess a behavior of gold prices from the bird’s eye view and make some important conclusions, which go beyond the scope of a simple fundamental or technical analysis or even a combination of both.

Preview 04:50

One of the most important questions we should answer before moving to the other aspects of our top-down research approach is whether gold is in a bubble now. Using outcomes of our historical analysis, I will prove you that since 2000s gold is in a typical bubble.

Why gold is in a bubble now?
Fundamentals Behind Gold Price Movement
5 Lectures 19:52

Despite a wide range of factors, which can potentially affect the gold prices, actually there is only one factor, which moves gold prices - a relative performance of the US economy versus the rest of the world. The weaker the US compared to the others is, the higher the gold prices are.

Preview 04:22

A description of the methodology behind our macroeconomic analysis of the US economy and the rest of the world.

Methodology of macroeconomic factor analysis

In this lecture we will analyze the current state of affairs in the US economy using macroeconomic factor analysis. We will cover the leading macroeconomic indicators, as well as coincident and lagging indicators and ultimately receive an objective comprehensive quantitative picture of the US economy.

US economy analysis

In this lecture will will repeat the same approach as we used for the assessment of the US economy, but as applied to the rest of the world (global economy excluding the US).

Global economy analysis

Conclusions on the possible future gold price direction from the fundamental point of view.

Summary of fundamental gold price analysis
Technical Outlook
2 Lectures 07:33

A general description of the second gold bubble from the technical point of view along with an assessment of potential target level of the decline following the final gold bubble collapse.

Preview 04:39

This lecture will give you an evaluation of the optimal entry level into the gold market, from which you can build up your position size.

Optimal entry level
How To Capitalize On The Final Gold Bubble Collapse
3 Lectures 10:04

Theory of profit-taking level identification and building up your position size.

Preview 02:40

In this lecture you will study the application of an Excel calculator, which will give you an assessment of the optimal lot size based on the amount of your deposit, tolerable loss during the gold price downward movement, optimal factor by which you will multiply your lot size, and the total amount of profit you will receive upon gold achieving the target level of decline.

Calculation of optimal profit-taking levels

In this lecture I will explore potential force majeure factors, which can cancel our baseline scenario for gold price movement in 2017, and how to deal with them.

Evaluation of alternative options of gold price behaviour in 2017
About the Instructor
Dmitry Lifatov
5.0 Average rating
2 Reviews
8 Students
2 Courses
Trader, research analyst and forex trading coach

Dmitry is a trader, research analyst and forex trading coach with over seven years of experience trading financial markets. He developed many innovative approaches to forex trading, with a special focus on PM complex. In 2011 received a degree from the Higher School of Economics. Primary fields of interest include international monetary relations, currency trading and PM investing.