Learn Bayes' Theorem Proofs
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# Learn Bayes' Theorem Proofs

Conducting proofs of 2, 3, & 4 events
0.0 (0 ratings)
2 students enrolled
Created by Dr. Jeff Grover
Last updated 6/2016
English
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Includes:
• 40 mins on-demand video
• 6 Supplemental Resources
• Access on mobile and TV
• Certificate of Completion
What Will I Learn?
• Learn how to perform a mathematical proof of Bayes' theorem.
View Curriculum
Requirements
Description

This lesson is an excerpt from the published, Strategic Economic Decision-Making: Using Bayesian Belief Networks to Solve Complex Problems (Grover 2013). I have realized that during the literature review how much industry has greatly benefited from the utility of Bayesian Belief Networks (BBN). In fact, my latest Google search using the keyword "Bayesian" populated more than 12,000,000 hits. When I wrote this book, this search term had 4,000,000 hits. I am predicting exponential interest in Bayes' theorem and BBN in the next decade. Now, we have high performance computers and enormous amount of data that is being collected globally by governments and private sector industries, especially Twitter, Facebook, and Google, which is mind-boggling. My goal is to provide the learner with simple proofs to use and reference to learn how to convert this data information into business intelligence and BBN are proving to be the tool of choice in this endeavor. A limitation to learning BBN is that the statistical and computer programming symbology are not straight forward for the naive student to read and comprehend. My concern is that this eloquent concept is not transparent to the human consumer of decision-making processes. The use of Bayes' theorem and inductive logic allows for the embedding of subjective matter expertise as a starting point for executive decision-making and is an indispensable tool in decision theory.

The scope of this course is to explore the constructs of statistical proofs of two, three, and four event Bayesian Belief Networks (BBN). The target audience are those learners who are interested in the mathematical underpinnings of BBN.

1. This course is about the utility of Bayesian proofs that lead to the formulation of BBN.
2. The terminology is basic statistical notation as referenced in basic discrete math application.
3. The materials include in this course are step-by-step videos with accompanying PowerPoint presentations that complement the videos.
4. This course should take 5 hours to complete.
5. This course is structured as a step-by-step approach to learning mathematical proofs.
6. Learners should take this course to increase their understanding of BBN.

Who is the target audience?
• This proof series is meant for learners who are not familiar with Bayes' theorem who are looking for the basis of Bayesian Belief Networks. No prior knowledge is proof solving is required.
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Curriculum For This Course
6 Lectures
39:39
+
Demostration
1 Lecture 02:00
Preview 02:00
+
Introduction
1 Lecture 05:43

This is the introduction to the series and provides an outline of the content.

Preview 05:43
+
Chapter 1
1 Lecture 06:04
Preview 06:04
+
Chapter 2
1 Lecture 06:47
Chapter 2
06:47
+
Chapter 3
1 Lecture 08:50
Chapter 3
08:50
+
Chapter 4
1 Lecture 10:15
Chapter 4
10:15
 1.0 Average rating 2 Reviews 105 Students 3 Courses

Dr. Jeff Grover has a Doctor of Business Administration in Finance and is founder and chief research scientist at Grover Group, Inc. (GGI) where he specializes in Bayes’ Theorem and its application through Bayesian belief networks (BBN) to strategic economic decision-making (BayeSniffer.com). At GGI, he specializes in blending economic theory and BBN to maximize stakeholder wealth. He is a winner in the Kentucky Innovation Award Winner (2015) for the application of his proprietary BBN big data algorithm. He has operationalized BBN in the healthcare industry, evaluating the Medicare “Hospital Compare” data; in the Department of Defense, conducting research with U.S. Army Recruiting Command to determine optimal levels of required recruiters for recruiting niche market medical professionals; and in the agriculture industry in optimal soybean selection. In the area of economics, he was recently contracted by the Department of Energy, The Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC Management and Operating Contractor for the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, to conduct a 3rd party evaluation of the Hydrogen Financial Analysis Scenario (H2FAST) Tool (2015).

Jeff received his Doctors of Business Administration in Finance from NOVA Southeastern (2003), MBA from ERAU (1997), and a BS in Math from Mobile College (1987).

Jeff has published his recent book, A Manual for Strategic Economic Decision-Making: Using Bayesian Belief Networks to Make Complex Decisions (Springer, 2016), which is an extension of his original book, Strategic Economic Decision-Making: Using Bayesian Belief Networks to Make Complex Decisions with SpringerBriefs (2013). Also, he has published in the Journal of Wealth Management, the Journal of Business and Leadership; Research, Practice, and Teaching, and the Journal of Business Economics Research. Recently, He was a guest speaker at the MORS Conference in Washington, DC (12/2014) where he gave a presentation on the application of BBN in the area of terrorism.

Dr. Grover is a father of Rebecca Tabb and Jeffrey S. Grover Jr. and is also a retired US Army Special Forces officer.