
Explore time series using cash, stock prices, and bond prices to see how observations over time reveal dependencies, enabling description, modeling, forecasting, out-of-control checks, and connections with other time series.
Explore stationary properties, including strictly and weakly stationary time series with constant mean and variance and lag-dependent covariance, and the Markov property, where the present predicts the future.
Learn to test for stationary, transform nonstationary time series, and fit the prima model using differencing and trend removal, with diagnostic tests to forecast future data.
In this course we look at the theory of Time Series that one needs for the Actuarial Exams. We also then do a past paper question from the CS2B exam.
What is a Time Series?
The Stationary and Markov Property
Autocovariance and Autocorrelation functions
Partial Autocorrelation functions
White Noise and other common Time Series
ARIMA
Autoregressive
Integrated
Moving Average
Fitting Time Series to Data
GARCH models for measuring volatility
R Studio Past Exam Question
This course is provided by MJ the Fellow Actuary