
Overview of key financial ratios
Impact of liquidity on credit evaluation
How leverage ratios affect financial health
Analyzing profitability as creditworthiness indicator
Real-world examples of creditworthiness assessment
Mistakes to avoid when interpreting ratios
Why cash flow is crucial for credit risk assessment
EBITDA as measure of debt repayment ability
How free cash flow impacts creditworthiness
Evaluating company resilience under financial stress
Applying cash flow analysis to credit decisions
Avoiding misinterpretation of cash flow statements
Introduction to default probability concepts.
How expected loss is calculated.
Using statistical models to estimate default risk.
Evaluating PD under different economic conditions.
Real-world example of estimating credit losses.
Drawbacks of PD models.
Overview of structural and reduced-form models.
How firm value impacts default probability.
How default intensity is estimated in reduced-form models.
Key differences and applications of each approach.
Real-world applications of credit risk modeling.
Challenges in applying models for real-world credit risk assessment.
Understanding credit risk analysis is essential for financial decision-makers, analysts, and investors. This course, Credit Risk Modeling & Cash Flow Analysis Mastery, is designed to equip learners with the tools, techniques, and frameworks used in credit risk model development by leading financial institutions, rating agencies, and investment firms.
Throughout the course, you will build practical expertise in credit modelling, credit evaluation, and financial and credit risk analysis. You will begin with a deep dive into credit analysis models, focusing on financial ratios such as liquidity, leverage, and profitability, and how these metrics inform a company’s creditworthiness within a structured credit assessment model.
You will then perform advanced cash flow analysis using techniques such as EBITDA coverage, free cash flow modelling, and scenario analysis - key components in credit risk analysis and management. These skills are essential for understanding how to do a credit analysis of a company and evaluating its ability to service debt.
The course then advances into modelling credit risk, where you will learn how credit risk models work. You will estimate the probability of default (PD), calculate expected loss, and apply credit scoring models examples using Excel-based credit risk analysis tools. Through hands-on exercises and credit risk modelling projects, you will gain experience in both structural and reduced-form credit risk models used in corporate credit risk analysis.
This course also introduces key concepts in financial risk management and broader risk management, helping you understand the role of credit impact analysis and decision-making in real-world financial environments.
By the end of the course, you will be equipped to apply credit modelling techniques, use credit risk assessment tools, and perform comprehensive credit analysis processes to make informed, data-driven credit decisions.