Stock Market - Technical Analysis with TIME and Trend Lines

It's an opening lecture on Gann Time Cycle.

It's a square of 12.   One year is divided into 12 time periods.

144 is a Fibonacci number. 144 is the one number which is a perfect square in the Fibonacci series. Square of 12. 144 is the 12th number in the Fibonacci series. Half of 144 is 72. The following and preceding numbers of 72 are prime numbers. 71 and 73, both are prime numbers.

Number 144 starts with 1 means beginning and a total of 1+4+4 is 9 last number, the end of a cycle. The end of a cycle is the beginning of another new cycle.  So 144 can be the beginning or the end.  

It can be 144 minutes, days, weeks, months or the years

It's not mandatory that a cycle of 127-144 work every time on all the charts but the probability is quite high. There are n number of cycles suggested by WD Gann but have selected a cycle with high probability. This is only an alert. When you see on the charts, price behavior is also suggesting the same; go and strike with a stop loss.

I hope have able to answer your question.

With best and kind regards

Love and blessings 

Universal cycles are very strong. It may or may not work but it is difficult to ignore these cycles. 

There are 4 types of cycles

Complete cycles:-

1. Top to Top

2. Bottom to Bottom

Other Cycles:-

3. Top to Bottom

4. Bottom to Top

repeatedly the concept is performed again and again. 

Disclaimer: It may not work every time.

It's not just 7 days. It can be 7 days, 14 days, 21 days, 28 days, or the 49 days.  As per WD Gann Time is the most important factor in forecasting market movements. Further, he added in the daily time rule "A minor change occurs every 7, 10, 14, 20 and 21, 28, and 30 days." When you are studying time never get rigid and try to go with the flow. Never fight against the trend.   

These lessons are just the foundation, base, kernel, and the seed. All the seeds have the possibility to be the tree.       

Many market technicians advocate that for validation of the trend line, the price must test back to the trend line third time also. The third time is the first attempt at the trend line as you form the trend line with 2 low points or the 2 high points. The trend line comes into existence after 2 lows or the 2 highs. The third point is the first attempt at the trend line after the formation of it. My question is third time price can test the trend line may be in 1 day, 1 week, 10 days, 1 month, 2 or 3 months, 1 year, or maybe after many years. If the price will land on the trend line after many years will you say it’s validated now? My idea is if we are forming a trend line honestly by taking extra care at the time of joining the points is a valid trend line.

The second point is many times price land or pulls back to the trend line and the fourth-time trend line is breached. So what’s the big idea to validate the trend line? Just after the validation, it’s breached. I am not against the old logic but not ready to accept the ideas without a strong justification.

Here in this lesson trend line is drawn in the year January February 2016 and Dow Jones Industrial Index (US30) (DJI) dropped back to the same trend line. Landed dot on the trend line and big pull back from the same only from 18000 to 24000, a jump of 6000 points. That's the power of trend lines.    

When you enter the field of technical analysis first tool you experience is the trend lines. Trend lines give you such good results so why you get attracted to the field of technical analysis. Here in this lesson tried to do some exercises to get the optimum results from the trend lines.

Trade with multiple trend lines. This is the best way to trail your stop loss.

As mentioned in the lecture, the price can reattempt the trend line and that would be an opportunity to sell with a small stop loss (Stop above the resistance of the trend line). The market moves gave many opportunities to trade this action plan, to make profits by selling near the trend line (12000-12100) and covering the shorts after the corrections. (Chart attached)    

This lecture was delivered on September 19th '20. Very clearly and boldly asked to sell at every pullback to 12000 which is the make or breakpoint. If the price will move above 12025 may form a lifetime high with full strength. 

On July 6th when Nifty was trading at 10607 all future targets and resistances were forecasted. By the grace of God, all hold good. Link:

https://twitter.com/JmcStock/status/1321360237329223681  (Picture attached herewith - Nifty Targets)

1. Stock: Maruti Suzuki Ltd. Channel Breakout daily chart attached herewith

The roadmap for Titan Industries was formed and posted on the Twitter account dated September 4 '20. It's valid even to date. The chart of Titan Industry is attached herewith. Today on November 19th Titan opened at the dot support level and hit the resistance in one single day. Titan is up by 4.5% in a single day.   

Link to the post of September 4:  https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EhD4KpkUwAAZ1c4?format=png&name=small 

Once the downward sloped trend lines are been breached buy triggers and breakout from the channel confirm the same. Now, what would be the target? One complete height of the channel or a minimum of 50% (half) of it. Please visit the attached chart with the title "channel" and "FTSE 100", the chart of UK100

On November 11th following 2 charts were posted. One is of HDFC Bank and the second one is of Kotak Mahindra Bank. First look at the charts

HDFC BANK link of November 11 chart: https://www.bing.com/images/blob?bcid=S88PR-j6ZBICPQ

Kotak Mahindra Bank link of November 11 chart:  https://www.bing.com/images/blob?bcid=Sx-AzRGNChIC-w

Target set for Hdfc Bank is 1422 when it made a high of 1414, just 11 points away. Surprisingly to date it has not crossed the mentioned level of 1422. Now, look at the second chart of Kotak Mahindra Bank. The target of Kotak Bank was set in 1944 and at that time bank price closed at 1807 on November 11th ’20. Today Kotak made the high of 1905 means the price of the bank moved up by 100 + points. That’s the power of Technical Analysis. One bank didn’t move at all and the second bank zoomed by 100 points in the same period. Even one of my friends asked to have you written 1944 by mistake or sure about it.
Today at MCX, Gold, Silver, and Crude Oil all three achieved second targets. Gold and Silver hit the second support and the price of Crude Oil hit the second resistance. The guesswork worked.
Nifty also opened higher and dropped to the trend decider all the way from the gap of 130 points and zoomed thereafter again.

The pitchfork can be used on all time frames to find support and resistance levels. Mid-line is the trend decider with 2 supports and 2 resistances. The weekly pitchfork can provide a multi-year road map.

Nifty 50: A level of 11941 is very important. As the price of Nifty 50 falls below the mentioned level of 11941, corrected heavily in one single day. Today retested the same level. This price may work as good resistance for the near future or as a mob (make of break) level. The US Elections are just a few days away hence all the equity markets may be very volatile these days till November 4th '20 when the results of the elections will be declared.

Regression Channel is based on the standard deviation (=STDEV - EXCEL FORMULA). It's very close to Bollinger Band, but the dynamics of both are different in terms of support and resistances. This is the first lecture on Regression Trends or Regression Channels. Will take more lectures on the subject. 

Stock Trading is a game of probabilities.  Trade when odds are in your favor.  Always count on the Risk Reward Ratio.

Chart of Reliance attached on November 20th '20

In this lecture StDev 2 and StDev 3 are applied

The borders of Standard Deviation 3 are strong make or breakpoints OR strong support and resistance.

This tool allows you to change the StDev. As mentioned standard deviation 1 covers 68.2% data and StDev 2 covers 95.4% data and StDev 3 covers 99.7% data.

If students want more explanations on the subject Standard Deviation, can present the same in detail.   

The lower band of Regression Trend with Standard deviation 3 is a strong make or breakpoint. In the last 2 lectures, managed to identify a buy with a very small stop loss. Markets rewarded with the big up move and large profits in just 5 to 6 trading sessions. Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, Nasdaq 100, and the Reliance Industries yield high returns in the last 5-6 days. 

Stock trading is a game probability. Traders should strike at the time when odds are in their favor. Means a small stop and large profits. 

Today is November 17th

The targets for the Nifty were given 11815-11860 when it was trading at 11461 in this lecture. These targets were achieved successfully on November 14th and today Nifty opened with the gap at 11934 and corrected to the mentioned levels of 11815-11860 in just 5 minutes. The next level above 11860 is 11996 as mentioned in the Twitter account on November 11th well in advance. The Nifty may attract a big selloff at these levels. if 12996 is breached then only can attempt the higher levels (mentioned in the chart). Today price formed the candle outside the Bollinger band also in the weekly chart.  The picture of the Twitter account is attached herewith.         

Today is November 18th

Perfect support and resistance lines US100 - Nasdaq 100 - Chart attached herewith

The middle line worked as resistance and becomes a support line. - US 30 - chart attached.

Attempted a sell below the middle line with the stop of high formed on November 17th '20

On November 23rd (17 to 23rd) Dow formed the low of 29168 after the completion of 7 days cycle (expected price 29000-28900) and bounced in a big way.

2 different types of market scenarios are explained in the lecture. This may be new to many or few may be familiar with the concept. Presenting both the concepts together in this lecture will clarify the complete basic price behavior.

It’s your task to check at least 10 more charts on different time frames. The more you will work on charts more you will gain acquaintance and familiarity with the charts.

Happy Trading Happy Investing

New lecture in next few days ………………

In case of study has taken January 11 – 12 – 13 – 14 and the 15th Results of all the days are perfect but that is not a guarantee of perfection in the future dates. The concept of Time is Price and Price is Time may, may not work. But without a doubt, it provides the trigger points well in advance. It’s one of the simplest methods of forecasting. The results may not be always perfect but it proves the connection between the time and price. WD Gann had written many times in his courses “Time is Price and the Price is the Time”.

Is this concept of Time and Price good for trading? No claim or assurance. No guarantee. But again will state that its foundation of forecasting and forecasting is an alert. An alert of the storm’s timing is only a probability. At the time of an alert, the storm may change the direction or slows down, or can trigger timely with the mentioned force.

Welcome to the world of forecasting

Note: Excel sheet to get the degree for any price is attached herewith. That's downloadable.

Love and blessings 

Let's forecast on the basis of what we have learned in the previous lecture. This lecture will forecast and in the next lecture will find the results of forecasting.

Here in this lecture explained how to discover the second vibrating point in the case study of the stock of "State Bank Of India" (SBIN)

When forecasting can't be rigid. Always be ready for failures also even if your results are right back to back.

After the super performance a disclaimer is very important:

Disclaimer: The intention of this video presentation is not to forecast the future movement of various financial markets although it’s the job. These presentations are written or recorded with a purpose to educate the reader/viewer on the different subjects of finance – Fundamental Analysis – Technical Analysis – Financial research – Gann studies – Derivatives – Future and options – Financial Management – Economics and the financial forecasting studies, economic factors or the concepts. Neither assurance as to the accuracy of this post is being made here nor of any post published on social media by the author of these presentations/posts and the other related posts. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the trader or the investor, and the author/presenter takes no responsibility whatsoever for anyone’s trading or investment decisions. The commodity, equity, currency futures, and options trading are considered highly risky.

We are living in a dynamic world, so be flexible to deal with all new challenges as well as opportunities.

This lecture will surely open new dimensions of thought processes about economics.