
Strategy
•From Greek στρατηγία stratēgia, "art of troop leader; generalship"
•Strategy is a high-level plan to achieve one or more goals under conditions of uncertainty and limited resources.
•A comprehensive way to try to pursue political ends, including the threat or actual use of force, in a dialectic of wills in a military conflict, in which both adversaries interact.
Strategy is important because the resources available to achieve these goals are usually limited. Strategy generally involves setting goals, determining actions to achieve the goals, and mobilizing resources to execute the actions.
A strategy describes how the ends (goals) will be achieved by the means (resources).
Strategy can be intended or can emerge as a pattern of activity as the organization adapts to its environment or competes. It involves activities such as strategic planning and strategic thinking.
Introduction to Business Strategy
The Importance of Strategy
“To think is easy. To act is hard. But the hardest thing in the world is to act in accordance with your thinking.”
― Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
The importance of strategy is to provide a framework so we can act in accordance with our thinking. It provides a set of tools and techniques to help us achieve those hard things.
Jack Handey said:
It’s easy to sit there and say you’d like to have more money.
And I guess that’s what I like about it.
It’s easy.
Just sitting there, rocking back and forth, wanting that money.
Jack Handey is hilarious and his point is well taken. It’s easy to think about stuff without taking any action to make it happen.
A goal without a plan is just a wish.
A plan without action is a dream and action without a plan is a nightmare.
Strategic Thinking, Planning, and Implementation all work together. Results only occur when all three steps are working in concert. We are going to cover these concepts in detail in this course.
Strategy in business is the big picture.
Implementing a strategic vision is how a business succeeds and is profitable.
Strategy is about figuring out how to create a sustainable competitive advantage and barriers to entering your markets. Strategy is a firm’s answer to the following question: What can we do that is really hard?
Great strategy locates and exploits the fit between market conditions and a firm’s assets.
Strategic planning focuses on core competencies and what is required to create the desired fit between the organization and the external environment. Strategy is seeking to set the conditions for optimal performance.
Leadership and Management are the key skill sets that rely on strategy. Leadership is doing the right things. Management is doing things right.
Strategic Thinking and vision is the realm of leadership.
Strategic Implementation and executing the strategy is the realm of management.
Strategic Planning brings the skills of leadership and management together.
This course will help you become a better manager and leader.
Business Strategy is about picking goals for the enterprise and then figuring out what resources are going to be assembled to achieve those goals.
Download the slide deck below for an overview of Business Strategy.
Learn strategic thinking, planning, implementation, management and leadership ASAP with this comprehensive course.
Learn to Be a Learning Ninja
Congratulations! By enrolling in this program, you have committed to your growth mindset.
Growth mindset people believe that they can develop their abilities through dedication and hard work. Dreams and potential are the starting point. A growth mindset perspective creates a love of learning and a resilience that is essential for great accomplishment.
The ability to learn and learn fast is a super power that will propel your career.
Here are some proven techniques to become a learning ninja and guarantee success in your life.
The Importance of a Strategic Mindset
“To think is easy. To act is hard. But the hardest thing in the world is to act in accordance with your thinking.”
― Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
The importance of strategy is to provide a framework so we can act in accordance with our thinking. It provides a set of tools and techniques to help us achieve those hard things.
A fox knows many things, but a hedgehog one important thing. Both approaches are valid and we should examine ourselves and pick the one the suits our personality. A strategic mindset makes things happen. Turn dreams into reality and get things done.
Jack Handey said:
It’s easy to sit there and say you’d like to have more money.
And I guess that’s what I like about it.
It’s easy.
Just sitting there, rocking back and forth, wanting that money.
Jack Handey is hilarious and his point is well taken. It’s easy to think about stuff without taking any action to make it happen.
The Importance of Strategic Planning:
A goal without a plan is just a wish.
A plan without action is a dream and action without a plan is a nightmare.
Attached to this section is the eBook for you to download. The book is organized in chapters that follow the structure of this course. There are two formats for your convenience: an ePub file for your Kindle, and a PDF.
Why read this strategy book?
Understand business from a strategic perspective. Senior executives routinely share and discuss strategy with marketing directors, operations chiefs, and other direct reports. But how much do those managers really understand about strategic thinking, planning, implementation, and measurement? A recent investigation into this question concluded most managers don't understand enough about strategy to be useful. Asked to take a basic strategy exam—a test that any CEO or senior manager should easily ace—a representative sample of U.S. managers from C-level executives to supervisors scored an average of only 23%.
Lack of strategic literacy matters and impacts an organization’s ability to optimally perform. Those who can’t speak the language of business can’t contribute much to a discussion of performance and are unlikely to advance in the hierarchy or reach their full potential.
Does a lack of strategic literacy matter?
From a managers’ point of view, it surely does. Those who can’t speak the language of business can’t contribute much to a discussion of performance and are unlikely to advance in the hierarchy. People don’t tell their bosses that they don’t understand strategy. It’s the usual human reluctance to admit ignorance. In a survey, managers were asked what happens in meetings when people don’t understand strategy. The majority chose answers reflecting that reluctance, such as “Most people don’t ask because they don’t want to appear uninformed in front of their boss or peers.” Don’t let this be you. Read this book and understand Business Strategy.
Excel is a versatile and indispensable tool for strategy, finance and investment professionals. Its importance cannot be overstated, as it is used in a wide range of financial tasks, from data analysis to financial modeling and reporting.
Financial Analysis and Reporting: Excel enables finance professionals to sort, analyze, and visualize data to identify trends, perform variance analysis, and forecast future financial scenarios. It supports using pivot tables, advanced formulas, and various graphing tools, which are crucial for creating detailed financial reports.
Financial Modeling: Excel is widely used for financial modeling, allowing analysts to build models that can predict income, budgeting, cash flow, and other financial projections. Using advanced functions and creating flexible, dynamic models is critical to making informed business decisions.
Excel Proficiency is a Game-changer for finance professionals, significantly boosting productivity by saving time. The ability to automate tasks with macros, handle complex calculations with ease, and manage large datasets efficiently are just a few ways Excel streamlines financial tasks.
Excel is not just a tool; it's a universal language in the finance industry. Mastery of Excel is often a prerequisite for many finance roles, making it an indispensable skill for job proficiency and career advancement.
Decision Making: Excel helps finance professionals in decision-making processes by providing a platform to work through various financial scenarios and analyze potential outcomes. What-if analysis and sensitivity tables are instrumental in this regard.
Accuracy and Precision: Excel's precision in handling financial data is critical. A single error can result in significant financial discrepancies; thus, the ability to use Excel to manage and cross-check numbers accurately is vital.
Integration and Compatibility: Excel can integrate with many business applications and databases, making it an effective tool for consolidating information from various sources for financial analysis and reporting.
Knowing Excel in finance is not just about understanding the basic features; it involves a deep understanding of its advanced capabilities, which are essential in the sophisticated world of finance.
Excel proficiency is a foundational skill that enables finance professionals to perform their roles effectively and efficiently, whether running regressions, building a discounted cash flow model, or analyzing complex datasets.
Download the MBA ASAP Ultimate Excel Handbook and level up your skill set.
Vlookup vs. Hlookup vs Xlookup
Learn the most popular Excel functions and which ones to use when
Lookup functions are REALLY popular in Excel.
Because they allow you to “lookup” a value from a dataset based on the criteria that you enter.
Most people only focus on Vlookup without realizing that there is a far more powerful lookup function called Xlookup.
Let’s explore these three lookup functions and become a pro:
VLOOKUP
How it works → Searches VERTICALLY in the first column of a specified range and returns a value in the same row from a column you specify.
Syntax → =VLOOKUP(lookup_value, table_array, col_index_num, [range_lookup])
Pros →Easy to use for vertical lookups, Supported in all versions of Excel.
Cons → Limited to vertical searches, Searches must start in the first column of the range.
My take → VLOOKUP is probably the most common lookup function, but it’s sooo limited. Learn to ditch this function and focus on XLOOKUP!
HLOOKUP
How it works → Searches HORIZONTALLY in the first row of a specified range and returns a value in the same column from a row you specify.
Syntax → =HLOOKUP(lookup_value, table_array, row_index_num, [range_lookup])
Pros → Useful for horizontal lookups, Supported in all versions of Excel.
Cons → Limited to horizontal searches, Inefficient with large datasets.
My take → HLOOKUP isn’t as popular as VLOOKUP but is very similar. As mentioned above, while this may get the job done, there is a bigger and better option with XLOOKUP.
XLOOKUP
How it works → Searches for a value in an array or range in EITHER DIRECTION and returns a value from a corresponding array or range.
Syntax → =XLOOKUP(lookup_value, lookup_array, return_array, [if_not_found]
Pros → Can search in any direction, Allows for the return of an array, and provides an option for a default value if no match is found, which is very efficient.
Cons → Only available in Excel for Office 365, Excel 2019, and later versions, can be complex.
My take → XLOOKUP solves all the issues that VLOOKUP and HLOOKUP have, and it will gradually take over the Excel lookup universe.
What makes this even more powerful is nesting another XLOOKUP inside your XLOOKUP, which allows you to find the value with both your X and Y axes.
30+ Best AI tools to 10x Productivity!
AI is the future. All should take AI seriously.
AI Algorithms Explained
1. Logistic Regression: Predicts yes/no outcomes.
2. Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN): Understands sequences like stories.
3. K-Means Clustering: Groups similar items together.
4. Principal Component Analysis (PCA): Packs important data into a small space.
5. Autoencoders: Compresses and reconstructs images.
6. Neural Networks: Learns from examples like our brain cells.
7. Reinforcement Learning: Learns with rewards, like training a dog.
8. Q-Learning: Finds the best path in a maze.
9. Naive Bayes: Predicts outcomes based on prior knowledge.
10. k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN): Finds similar items by asking friends.
11. Bayesian Networks: Predicts by considering different factors.
12. Support Vector Machine (SVM): Separates items with the straightest line.
13. Genetic Algorithms: Mixes traits to create the best solution.
14. Linear Regression: Predicts outcomes based on past data.
15. Random Forests: Combines multiple answers for accuracy.
16. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN): Recognizes patterns like faces.
17. Decision Trees: Makes decisions with yes/no questions.
18. Gradient Boosting: Improves with each small mistake.
As a leader, it is important to develop an overall vision, identify each stakeholder, and their role, capture resources and then execute. You have to get into the weeds, and not relax in the ivory tower; however, you also need to know when to step back and allow others to do their thing. It’s a process and a balancing act.
Strategic planning provides guidelines and guard rails for decision-making and operations.
Strategic planning takes analyzing and understanding the current situation and the competitive landscape. It takes the analysis of the internal and external environment and develops the optimal fit between an organizations core competencies, competitive forces, and customer needs and desires.
The process is to develop and refine the organization’s direction. Success is measured by an organization’s effectiveness in its environment.
A common mission, vision, and set of organizational values and goals drive strategy. This is the directional strategy or “what the organization wants to do”.
Strategic goals are not just a question of what management wants to do, but what the organization is capable of.
The organization’s operations, resources, competencies, and capabilities influence strategy. This internal assessment represents “what the organization can do.”
Strategy and Economics
You have to make choices of how to deploy scarce and limited resources in the most effective way. You want to get the most bang for your buck. This is the essence of strategic choices.
Choose Wisely
There is nothing so useless as doing efficiently that which should not be done at all.
Peter Drucker
Life is lived as a series of decisions. Most of our important destiny-forming choices are mutually exclusive. We choose one and all the other potentials and possibilities fall away.
Our resources are limited especially our time. We have to choose wisely in allocating our time, energy and effort.
In any moment of decision, the best thing you can do is the right thing, the next best thing is the wrong thing, and the worst thing you can do is nothing.
Theodore Roosevelt
At each decision branching node we can have three options. We can make a good decision, a poor decision, or no decision. The best is a good decision, second best is a bad decision, the worst option is making no decision.
“When you come to a fork in the road, take it!”
Yogi Berra
When choosing courses of action to focus on, separate the vital few from the trivial many.
When applied to your life and work, the 80/20 Rule can act as a filter to help separate the vital few from the trivial many.
The 80/20 Rule states that, in any particular domain, a minority of causes drives the majority of the results. Our best results can come from being aware and picking the highly leveraged actions that carry the most impact.
By finding precisely the right area to apply pressure, you can get more results with less effort.
The downside of being effective is that we often optimize for our past rather than for our future. There is a tendency to react to regret rather than being still enough to hear the small voice inside that knows what we really want and need.
So what should we do? What is really worth our effort and time and resources? Below is a quote from Emerson to help keep things in perspective. Use it as an antidote to misplaced ambition and unexamined drive. Its incredibly challenging in our accelerated life and artificial world to ensure we are pursuing our own goals and best interests, and not chasing fabricated desires and other’s agendas.
“To laugh often and much; to win the respect of intelligent people and the affection of children; to earn the appreciation of honest critics and endure the betrayal of false friends; to appreciate beauty; to find the best in others; to leave the world a bit better, whether by a healthy child, a garden patch, or a redeemed social condition; to know even one life has breathed easier because you have lived. This is to have succeeded,”
Ralph Waldo Emerson
Choose wisely.
Strategy: Think. Plan. Execute.
When people hear strategy, they think of long meetings and big binders.
But strategy isn’t paperwork — it’s perspective.
It’s the art of stepping back to see the whole game, not just the next move.
Strategic Thinking
Strategy starts with focus.
Knowing what matters most — and what doesn’t.
Every decision has trade-offs.
The best leaders choose with intention, not impulse.
Because today’s moves shape tomorrow’s results.
Strategic Planning
Once you see the big picture, chart your path.
Where do you want to be in a year?
What few moves will make the biggest difference?
A great plan builds flexibility — ready to adapt as the world changes.
Execution
Then make it real.
Execution is where strategy either lives or dies.
Translate your vision into action.
Measure progress, learn fast, adjust faster.
Strategy without execution is theory.
Execution without strategy is chaos.
Strategic thinking. Strategic planning. Strategic execution.
See the forest, map the path, and walk it — one smart step at a time.
Strategic Thinking
Play the game while observing it as a whole.
Business leaders are like athletes in that they play the game while simultaneously observing it as a whole.
This is akin to holding two conflicting ideas in one’s head at the same time. F. Scott Fitzgerald recognized how difficult that task is and how much cognitive power it takes.
It is challenging to maintain perspective and see the big picture while not getting lost in the action. The good news is its learnable.
Its only really problematic is we aren’t aware that is what we are tasked with doing. We need to be able to toggle between the macro and the micro without getting stuck.
We need to be able to retain the ability to function. This is the crux of strategic thinking.
It is the challenge of keeping emotional distance while being immersed and engaged on the field. We want to avoid the trap of winning the battle but losing the war.
Leaders develop the ability to think strategically. This takes long-range vision and a sense of the multiplicity of potential futures. Leaders are always scanning the horizon for new developments, threats, and opportunities and thinking about how to either exploit them or defend against them.
Leaders create the vision and managers implement the vision. Both roles take strategic thinking.
The key is to parse and separate the vital few from the trivial many. This takes vision and the discipline to then focus on that vision. Don’t get distracted by shiny objects that dilute your efforts.
There is nothing so useless as doing efficiently that which should not be done at all.
Peter Drucker
Creating the Vision
All enterprises and projects, large or modest, begin in the mind as a vision of the imagination. They emerge from the creative imagination and are nurtured with the conviction that what is a dream can be made real and tangible.
To get from vision to reality takes a practical plan. Strategic thinking is part of this translational process.
Strategic thinking requires a certain mindset. It takes a way of thinking that:
• Embraces change,
• Examines the causal links and outcomes of change, and
• Attempts to steer an organization towards capitalizing on change.
The operative word here is change. Strategic thinking attempts to understand change and exploit it.
Carpe Diem
Strategic thinking is about recognizing opportunities like a favorable time/occasion/moment and leveraging available resources in the most productive manner to exploit it. This is done with the long-term viability and success of the enterprise in mind. You have to be opportunistic and make use of the resources at your disposal.
“Do what you can, with what you have, where you are.”
Theodore Roosevelt
Strategic thinking is entrepreneurial in its imperative to action and relentless pursuit of opportunity.
Below is a slide deck that goes over these ideas on strategic thinking that you can download and review.
Strategic Thinking: Start with the Right Questions
“If I have an hour to solve a problem, and my life depended on it, I will spend the first 55 minutes determining the proper questions to ask, for once I know the questions, I could solve the problem in less than 5 minutes” — Albert Einstein.
Many books and disciplines cover the topic of Strategic Thinking. However, here’s a rule of thumb to help narrow the Thinking down to a single sentence: “Ask the right questions.”
Strategic Thinking is all about asking the right questions. When I recruit strategy consultants from top MBA schools, I screen for candidates who demonstrate an ability to think strategically. I do it by checking if they can come up with the right set of questions when solving problems in case interviews.
In consulting, we interchangeably use this term with analytical thinking, and it’s how we gauge the suitability of prospective candidates first and foremost. If a candidate fails on a case by the interviewer, they’re automatically rejected.
Asking the right questions is essential to every step of problem-solving.
The next few lectures showcase some great sets of questions to get started and to refer to later when you encounter a situation that requires Strategic Thinking.
Asking yourself the right questions helps clarify problems and set goals. Questions help you know yourself. Here is a list of 17 questions from Tim Ferris that I have found helpful.
My favorite question-set for solving problems is the CIA-developed Phoenix Checklist.
Asking questions is immensely helpful when handling challenges. They guide and give direction to your thinking.
We’re often limited in our thinking by asking the wrong questions — our attention gets directed the wrong way. Ask yourself the right question, however, and you’ll likely experience instantaneous insight.
The CIA kept this in mind when they developed The Phoenix Checklist. It was designed to make sure no aspect of a challenge was overlooked, and to encourage their agents to think about a challenge from multiple perspectives.
Part 1. — The Problem
The first set of questions will help you identify, clarify, and prioritize your problem. The questions are ordered, but you may find it useful to iterate several times, going back and revising your answers based on new understandings. Continue until you have a firm definition of the problem.
· Why is it necessary to solve the problem?
· What benefits will you gain by solving the problem?
· What is the unknown(s)?
· What is it you don’t yet understand?
· What is the information you have?
· What isn’t the problem?
· Is the information sufficient? Or is it insufficient? Or redundant? Or contradictory?
· Should you draw a diagram of the problem? A figure?
· Where are the boundaries of the problem?
· Can you separate the various parts of the problem? Can you write them down? What are the relationships of the parts of the problem?
· What are the constants (things that can’t be changed) of the problem?
· Have you seen this problem before?
· Have you seen this problem in a slightly different form?
· Do you know a related problem?
· Try to think of a familiar problem having the same or a similar unknown.
· Suppose you find a problem related to yours that has already been solved. Can you use it? Can you use its method?
· Can you restate your problem? How many different ways can you restate it? More general? More specific? Can the rules be changed?
· What are the best, worst, and most probable cases you can imagine?
Part 2. — The Plan
The second set of questions are designed to guide you towards a solution. With a firm definition of your problem from the previous section, address these planning questions to develop your action plan towards a solution.
· Can you solve the whole problem? Part of the problem?
· What would you like the resolution to be? Can you picture it?
· How much of the unknown can you determine?
· Can you derive something useful from the information you have?
· Have you used all the information?
· Have you taken into account all essential notions in the problem?
· Can you separate the steps in the problem-solving process? Can you determine the correctness of each step?
· What create-thinking techniques can you use to generate ideas? How many different techniques?
· Can you see the result? How many different kinds of results can you see?
· How many different ways have you tried to solve the problem?
· What have others done?
· Can you intuit the solution? Can you check the result?
· What should be done? How should it be done?
· Where should it be done?
· When should it be done?
· Who should do it?
· What do you need to do at this time?
· Who will be responsible for what?
· Can you use this problem to solve some other problem?
· What is the unique set of qualities that makes this problem what it is and none other?
· What milestones can best mark your progress?
· How will you know when you are successful?
Spending some time working through this list of questions will be immensely helpful in progressing your understanding of your problem.
Perhaps you even find the solution you’re looking for.
James Clear Questions
“Often, all that stands between you and what you want is a better set of questions.”
Tim Ferriss
The great poet Rilke said, “live the questions.”
Super mind and super author James Clear (Atomic Habits) writes one of the most popular newsletters in the world.
The 3–2–1 Thursday newsletter includes 3 ideas from the author, 2 quotes from others, and 1 question for you.
Each newsletter ends with a thought-provoking question that shifts the spotlight to the reader. The question might linger in your mind — making your interaction with the newsletter go beyond the short reading time.
The Power of Questions
From my experience, good questions are among the most powerful tools we have.
Quotes and stated ideas are good, but there’s a subtle shift that happens when you put a question-mark behind something. It becomes a dialog, and your mind can’t help but go to work on it.
A question takes you from passive to active. They pull you into the conversation.
Here are 116 questions from James Clear:
2019
· How long will you put off what you are capable of doing just to continue what you are comfortable doing?
· What are the most likely sources of pain in my life over the next year? How can I prepare for or prevent them?
· Here’s a simple question with potentially wide-reaching implications: Can my current habits carry me to my desired future?
· What should you do more of this decade? What should you do less of?
· Look at each item on your to-do list and ask, “Is this truly necessary?”
· Do you really need to think more, or is it simply a matter of doing the work?
· The people who have already walked through the fire can help you do the same. Who are you surrounding yourself with?
· How are you collaborating in your defeat? How are you contributing to your own struggle?
· How would the person I wish to be act today?
· What can you remove from your life that would improve it?
· Are things truly not going well … or do I just need some food, water, and a short break?
· How can I prepare carefully, but execute quickly?
· Am I happy with the tradeoffs I am making in my life right now?
· What is the biggest opportunity I could pursue in the next 5 minutes?
· If you were forced to work for just one hour per day, what would you work on during that hour to be most effective?
· What is the most neglected important area in my life right now?
· Are your obligations real or imagined?
· What are you avoiding just because you know the answer is painful?
· Am I climbing the right mountain?
· What do you really wish you had the courage to do? Follow up: How can you take the first step in the next 5 minutes?
· Over the last 10 years, what has become more important to you? What has become less important?
2020
· Think of the ultimate outcome you are hoping to achieve. Is there a path to accomplishing this where you would encounter less resistance?
· What am I holding on to that I need to let go of this year?
· In what ways are you a difficult person to work with? What can you learn from that?
· Am I tolerating my flaws or improving them?
· Will this matter in six months?
· What are the minority of my actions that drive the majority of my results?
· A simple question to run your daily decisions through: Will this cost me time in the future or save me time in the future?
· Whose expectations am I trying to fulfill? My own or those of someone else?
· What would 10-year-old me say? What would 80-year-old me say?
· How would I know if my beliefs are wrong?
· Which projects give me energy? Which projects takes it away? Which people give me energy? Which people take it away?
· How can I make the most of this?
· Who is your biggest fan? How can you thank them today?
· What is one thing I am looking forward to today?
· Can you sit still, do nothing, and breathe deeply for the next two minutes?
· Am I proud of what I am choosing to do?
· Who do I know that can help me with this?
· A simple question that may help reveal the positive side of the current moment: What does this make possible?
· What is something that feels productive to you in the moment, but usually ends up wasting time and energy?
· Am I doing this for Present Me or Future Me?
· Simple question to find work you love: What do you enjoy refining? (It’s the areas you can’t help yourself from editing and optimizing where you have a long-term advantage.)
· If someone could only see my actions and not hear my words, what would they say are my priorities?
· What is the biggest small thing I could do today?
· Which of my current habits serves me most? Which serves me least?
· What are you preventing yourself from feeling?
· What can you work on today that will continue working for you years from now?
· Am I being good to myself?
· What am I avoiding just because the desired outcome would take longer than I’d like?
· Assume that more than one path exists to achieve your ideal life. What would some of the alternative routes look like?
· Imagine each day is only 12 hours long. What would you cut out?
· Which areas of my life are in maintenance mode? Which areas are in growth mode?
· Am I being effective or just busy?
· What am I holding on to that I need to let go of?
· What is your personal compounding advantage in your career?
· What is one thing you can accomplish today that would make this day a success?
· What are the 1–2 things that if you get them done today, you’ll go to bed content?
· Is there a better way? Is there a kinder way?
· If you keep living the way you are, what will your life look like in 20 years? Sometimes we need patience. Sometimes we need action.
· Who brings out your best qualities? Can you take five minutes right now to schedule time with them?
· What are the important problems in your field? And if you’re not working on them, why not?
· What am I reinforcing each day?
· Momentum is a double-edged sword. It can propel you to new heights or keep you locked into previous choices and old habits. Where do I have healthy momentum right now? Where do I have unhealthy momentum?
· What is the little bit of extra work that has huge upside?
· Who can I collaborate with to make this easier?
· What part of this situation is under my control?
· What is one repeating problem you can automate or eliminate today?
· What would your closest friend tell you to do?
· Some questions to consider before you speak: Does this need to be said? Does this need to be said by me? Does this need to be said by me right now?
· Sometimes you have to pass through the fire. What fire or pain should you seek out in your life over the next year so you can learn its lessons?
· Imagine the most important goal or project you are working on right now. Fast forward six months. Imagine the project has failed. Why did you fail?
· What is one small thing I could do today that would make a meaningful impact on my future?
· What is best in the short-term? What is best in the long-term?
· What is a mistake you seem to repeat each year? What can you do to prevent it this time?
2021
· If you met someone exactly like yourself …– same experience– same resources– same problems… what advice would you give them?
· A simple question that can deliver powerful results if taken seriously: What is the highest leverage action I can execute on right now?
· Has the most important thing changed? Am I chasing an outdated target?
· What are you working on when time fades away?
· If you do not work on important problems, how can you expect to do important work?
· Does this activity fill me with energy or drain me of energy?
· What do I actually want?
· How are you complicit in creating the conditions you say you don’t want?
· What are my actions moving me closer to?
· What 6-month period of your life was the most energizing and fun? What can you learn from your answer?
· What could be improved? What could be removed?
· Does the amount of attention I’m giving this match its importance?
· How am I living with the results of other people’s thinking?
· What do I keep coming back to? What is that telling me?
· How can I create an environment that will naturally bring about my desired change?
· If I keep doing what I am about to do today for the next five years, will I end up with more of what I want or less of what I want?
· How have my bad habits become a crutch I lean on? What stories do I need to let go of so I can walk freely?
· How much of what you did today was simply due to inertia? Never get so busy that you forget to actively design your life.
· What is a small pleasure that brings me great joy? Can I enjoy it today?
· What do you love doing so much that the words failure and success essentially become irrelevant?
· Am I working at the right level? Do I need to zoom in or zoom out?
· Do the people around me act the way I wish to act?
· What is one action that would make today a success?
· What is the limiting factor?
· People will tell stories about you at your funeral. What chapter are you writing today?
· What parts of my story no longer serve me? What stories am I attached to that I need to let go of?
· What is the most likely cause of failure? Before it happens, how can I prevent it? If it happens, how can I recover?
· What happens if I slow down? What happens if I speed up?
· Do I actually need more information or do I simply need to act on the information I already have?
· Faster. If I had to go from start to finish in half the time, what would I do? Slower. If I could afford to spend double the time on it, what would I do?
· If it fails, where does it fail?
· What do I have planned for today that energizes me?
· Six months from now, what will you wish you had spent time on today?
· Which of my relationships are win-win? Which of my relationships are one-sided?
· What’s the cost of doing a poor job? What’s the cost of doing a mediocre job? What’s the cost of doing an exceptional job? Which price are you willing to pay?
· What do you need to de-prioritize?
· Was this a productive week? What can you do today to guarantee the answer is yes?
· To prioritize the day, think about the decade: If I want to be on track to achieve X in 10 years, what do I need to do today?
· In what areas would you benefit from setting clearer boundaries?
· What if you stopped trying to think your way through it and started to act your way through it?
· How can today feel like play?
· How much overlap is there between what you say is important to you and how you spent your attention over the last month?
Strategic Thinking
“All enterprises or projects, big or small, begin in the mind's eye; they begin with imagination and with the belief that what is merely an image can one day be made real.”
•Leaders, similar to great athletes, must simultaneously play the game and observe it as a whole.
•Keep perspective and see the big picture – not get lost in the action.
•Vision and a sense of the future
Here are some of the strategic thinking concepts I cover in this lecture:
Vertical integration
Where to Play
Supply chains and operations
Strategic positioning
Barriers to entry
Apple and vertical integration
Retail margins
Luxury branding, pricing and profit margins
Technology and products
Life cycle of products
Essential Strategy Frameworks For Leaders
95% of strategic business plans fail.
Why?
There is no system for creating a strategy.
Goals need to be adequately monitored and evaluated.
Objectives are not effectively communicated.
How can we fix that?
By implementing a strategy framework.
VRIO Analysis
Assess your resources and capabilities.
Ensure they are Valuable, Rare, Inimitable, and Organized to capture value.
The Value Stick
Pinpoint where your value lies along the customer journey.
Maximize value delivery at every touchpoint for sustainable growth.
McKinsey's Strategic Horizons
Shift your focus from short-term gains to long-term vision.
Balance core business activities with emerging opportunities for strategic success.
Blue Ocean Strategy
Escape the competition by creating uncontested market space.
Innovate to make rivals irrelevant and unlock new demand.
Hambrick and Fredrickson's Strategy Diamond
Craft a holistic strategy by considering arenas, differentiators, vehicles, staging, and economic logic.
Ready to elevate your strategy game?
Dive deep into these frameworks and unlock new avenues for success.
90% of people lack critical thinking skills.
It's becoming more rare and valuable every day.
But what exactly is critical thinking?
In simple terms, it means:
• Closely analyzing information to form a judgment.
• Questioning what you see, hear, and read.
• Not just accepting things at face value.
Why is this important?
Because it helps you:
• Make better decisions.
• Solve problems more effectively.
• Avoid being misled by false information.
In a world full of noise and distractions,
critical thinking helps you cut through the clutter.
So, how can you improve your critical thinking?
➟ Start by asking the right questions.
Critical thinking is a skill that takes practice.
But it pays off in every aspect of life.
So, the next time you encounter information,
don't just accept it.
Question it. Analyze it. Think critically about it.
The quality of your thinking determines
the quality of your life.
Strategy: Five Levels of Uniqueness
I often get two questions. How unique should my strategy be? And, isn’t simply replicating what others do a valid strategy either? The Five Levels of Uniqueness will help answer these questions.
No strategy is 100% unique. You always have similarities with others, even in your own industry.
No strategy is 100% identical, either. Just the name and location of your company already make you different.
The interesting part is in between these two extremes. How unique should you be? There’s not a simple answer to this question, but it’s clear that differentiating yourself from the competition is critical.
My definition of strategy is “an organization’s UNIQUE way of sustainable value creation.” For someone influential like Harvard professor Michael Porter, differentiation is the heart of strategy.
Why? Because you need to give customers a reason to buy from you. After all, if you are precisely similar to others, why would they go to you?
You can be very unique. If you disrupt a market or create a new one, you’re one of the few and, by definition, exceptional.
However, uniqueness can also be subtle: a slightly lower price, a different color or size, a distinct brand feeling, etc.
To assess how unique your organization or its products and services should be, it is helpful to think of the following five levels of uniqueness:
Level 1. Unique to the ORGANIZATION: This is imaginary uniqueness. It feels unique, but only because it is new for your organization. This first degree of uniqueness should not have your focus.
Level 2. Unique to the REGION: This is local uniqueness. Others in other regions may do the same as you, but that does not matter if your focus is on a particular area (and theirs is not!).
Level 3. Unique to the MARKET: This is segment uniqueness. You focus on a specific part of the market for which your offering is unique. Whether similar offerings exist in other segments or markets is less relevant to you.
Level 4. Unique to the INDUSTRY: This is sector uniqueness. Your solution stands out in your industry and across markets, even though it may already exist for a while in other industries.
Level 5. Unique to the WORLD: This is global uniqueness. You’re offering a unique solution that is the only one in the world or that stands out compared to any other solution in the world.
One is not better than the other. It all depends on your ambitions and scope. If you want to be a disruptive global innovator, Level 5 is what you need. If you are a local player and want to stay one, then Level 2 may be enough. Never fall in the trap of Level 1 though.
Which Level of Uniqueness does your organization have? And which level should it have?
The best way to understand a subject is to see some examples. Here I discuss Amazon and one of its strategic concerns.
Porter’s main academic objectives focus on how a firm or a region can build a competitive advantage and develop competitive strategy.
One of his most significant contributions is the five forces. Porter's strategic system consists primarily of:
•Competitive advantage
•Porter five forces analysis
•strategic groups (also called strategic sets)
•the value chain
•the generic strategies of cost leadership, product differentiation, and focus
•the market positioning strategies of variety based, needs based, and access based market positions
•global strategy
•Porter's clusters of competence for regional economic development
•Diamond model
•Porter's four corners model
PLAYING TO WIN
What Makes for a Great Strategist?
A combination of Mindset & Skills
Last week, I got a good question from a past student: "What are the skills needed to be a strategist?" So here are some thoughts on basic mindset requirements for being a strategist is a good topic.
Mindset Don'ts
There are three common mindset mistakes in the strategy arena that, if held, detract from a person being an influential strategist.
The first is a belief that strategic capability and IQ are positively correlated. The strategy field is filled with high-IQ people because this belief prevails. They get into Strategy either in a company or a consulting firm because they think their smarts make it perfect. It may be partially true, but the problem is the belief. It causes them to think they are smarter than their colleagues and customers. It also makes them believe that the talents that got them high grades in school (e.g., thoroughly memorizing and repeating conventional wisdom) will help them create great Strategies.
I am not saying this because I am jealous of people with high IQ/GPA/GMAT. On the contrary, I am all of the above. And it took me a long time to overcome the mindset that came along with it. I became an influential strategist only when I recognized that my perspective was harming my ability to listen to and learn.
The second unhelpful belief is that Strategy is mostly an analytical exercise. This mindset typically comes as a natural extension of the first mindset. IQ is mainly a test/measure of analytical capacity. So if you are a high IQ, you are inclined to perceive situations as a problem to be solved analytically).
Data analytics has limited utility in Strategy — and has a lot of disutility. Data analytics can never do more than extrapolate the past into the future. Great Strategy is about creating a future that does not currently exist. Not only is data analytics incapable of helping you make that happen, but it is also quite capable of convincing you not to try.
The third unhelpful mindset is believing that effective Strategy can be created by people separate from operations. This mindset is typically driven and reinforced by the first two mindsets:
We strategists are much more intelligent than the 'operators,' and
They aren't good at analytics, so we are better equipped to do Strategy and can hand them the easier task of executing our brilliant Strategy.
But the operators are the only ones who know the inner workings of the business. Anybody divorced from operations will never know as much, no matter how smart they are.
These three limiting strategy mindsets are almost guaranteed to turn Strategy into planning: a long and involved analytical exercise that produces a detailed set of initiatives the company must undertake to optimize the status quo. Then, when completed, the strategists stand ready to blame the dull-witted operating people for not implementing their strategic brilliance.
Mindset Do's
There are three uncommon mindsets in the strategy arena that, if held, help a person be a successful strategist.
The first is an understanding that Strategy starts with customers. Strategy does not begin with what shareholders want or our core capabilities. Instead, it starts with a deep appreciation of and interest in customers and a desire to improve their lives/businesses. As a result, you will get better insights than your competitors, who are busy analyzing stuff. And you will be in a better position to imagine possibilities for creating a better future for customers.
The second is a belief that the world is a complex adaptive system. This means looking at events and the future as probabilistic, not deterministic. Probabilistic but not random. It is easy to fall prey to the conceit that the world is linear and that one can accurately extrapolate the past into the future. That approach inevitably fails. And when it does, the disappointment tends to drive the extreme reaction of declaring the future to be random and unknowable. Neither extreme is a helpful mindset for the strategist. The practical perspective is to hold that, as with all complex adaptive systems, the business system you operate is challenging to understand. Still, it has patterns that one can comprehend. Understood not perfectly but well enough to make educated guesses that can be tweaked and tweaked as you get feedback from your actions.
The third mindset is the confidence to invent the future, that is, to make true something that is not now true. Mediocre strategists believe that optimizing the present is sufficient for success. Great strategists know they have to aim higher — or someone else will aim higher and will succeed. That means balancing the exploitation of what is and the exploration of what might be. All forces will pull towards exploitation of what is. A great strategist must resist that pull and always invest time and energy in exploring what might be. If you want to predict the future, create it.
The importance of Strategy is to provide a framework so we can act in accordance with our thinking. Strategy offers tools and techniques to help us achieve those hard things.
Requisite Skills
Without a productive mindset, a person can't be an effective strategist. But even with a constructive perspective, that individual needs to develop a particular set of skills to twin with the productive mindset. The good news is that the productive mindset will tend to drive the acquisition of the requisite skills — and the opposite for the unhelpful mindset.
Three skills are the most critical for being an excellent strategist.
Qualitative Appreciation
Great strategists need to be capable of making nuanced distinctions in the qualitative attributes of their environment. For example, they need to understand how their offer makes their customers feel and what small changes can cause disproportionate shifts. They will all have been taught to survey a statistically significant number of customers and ask them questions ranked on a 10-point scale. That is the technique and skill of quantitative manipulation, which takes all the nuances out of the evaluation in question and crunches blunt numerical representations using standard statistical procedures. Henry Ford said, "if I had asked customers what they wanted, they would have told me a faster horse."
Quantitative manipulation can help you optimize current things and measure results after the fact. But they can do very little to help strategists create a bright future. For that, they need to develop their skills in assessing and understanding qualitative features like meaning, happiness, beauty, belonging, etc.
Dialogue
Great strategists realize that Strategy is a team sport. And that coming to strategy insights together with other stakeholders in the system, whether customers, channel partners, suppliers, managers from different functions or business units, etc., is more powerful than attempting to do it alone. Rather than coming up with a strategy and then working on getting 'buy-in' for it, great strategists listen, share, and learn along the way so that 'buy-in' is not something you do after 'formulation.' It is a natural part of the creation process.
Unfortunately, this is not how Strategy is taught in business schools, where it is taught as an analytical exercise for intelligent people. This approach tends to discourage their investment in developing the ability to dialogue productively with 'less brilliant' people (who typically are intelligent in ways not appreciated by strategists).
Juggling More Balls
Three decades ago, I learned from Swedish psychologist Ingvar Rosen that thinking is like juggling balls. Each relevant variable is like a ball you must keep in the air. Of course, it is easy to focus on fewer balls. Anybody can juggle two balls. Three is more challenging, but it is doable for almost anyone with some practice. But making a decision that requires juggling (say) seven variables is complex, and Strategy is a seven-ball, not a three-ball activity.
Formal business education teaches students to minimize the balls they consider by teaching courses in narrow siloes. Marketing is taught as if Operations doesn't exist. Strategy as if Accounting didn't, and so on. Economists are always happy to inform you that 'all else being equal' such-and-such is true, even when they and everybody else know all else isn't equal.
To be a great strategist, you must take responsibility for building your skills in juggling multiple balls. Fortunately, there are practical tools for doing so.
Practitioner Insights
Be more conscious of your mindset relative to the three don'ts. For example, do you assume that you are great at Strategy because you are a brilliant quantitative analyst and dismiss operators as less qualified than you? If so, catch yourself and rethink.
And drive your mindset toward the three do's. When you are working on Strategy, ask yourself, have I spent enough time understanding customers? Do I believe that a crucial part of my job is to discern patterns in the complex system in front of me? Have I taken on the task of creating a future that doesn't exist?
Building the three requisite skills is all about practice. I have worked in Strategy for four decades and still have not met a mythical 'great natural strategist.' All the great strategists I have had the pleasure of working with were exceedingly well-practiced when they became known as great strategists. Not most: all. Conversely, I have never met a person who, with dedication and practice, can't become an excellent strategist.
To develop your qualitative appreciation skills, you need mentoring. In all the domains in which qualitative appreciation is important, a central feature is mentorship by an expert who has more highly developed qualitative appreciation skills. Whether you want to be a painter, a designer, a chef, a sommelier, or a surgeon, formal mentorship will be a core part of your learning process. Find a strategy mentor to watch in action and critique your work. If you can't, read a ton because you will learn generalizable techniques in qualitative appreciation.
To develop your dialogue skills in the context of Strategy, make sure to involve customers and colleagues whenever you work on Strategy. Don't try to figure it out yourself. Run your answers by others. The perfect time to practice your dialogue skills is when you don't know the answer.
To develop your juggling skills, be explicit about the variables you consider in any decision. Write them down so that while you think and work, you can check whether you have dropped one or more from consideration. And after you have made your list, add another variable to practice integrating it into your thinking.
Becoming a great strategist is within your control. Focus on enforcing a productive mindset and practice, practice, practice.
Steve Jobs famously said, "People think focus means saying yes to the thing you've got to focus on. But that's not what it means at all. It means saying no to the hundreds of other good ideas that exist. You have to pick carefully."
When To Say No
For business leaders and their colleagues, one of the most challenging skills is learning how to say "no."
Here's how to master the art of when to say No:
Strategy and Negotiation in the Face of Complexity
The Stacey Matrix
The Stacey Matrix is an essential tool for understanding how to act and make decisions differently under varying degrees of complexity and how to avoid chaos. The following is its essence.
The matrix, named after the British scholar Ralph Douglas Stacey, was created to help with decision-making in complex and uncertain situations. Its basis is two dimensions: certainty and agreement.
Certainty refers to the degree to which we can predict what will happen and know the consequences of our actions. Agreement refers to the extent to which different stakeholders think alike and align their interests and judgments. Combining these two dimensions produces four different situations, each of which requires a different approach to decision-making.
SIMPLE (High Certainty AND High Agreement)
When there is high certainty and agreement, decision-making is straightforward. You can rely on rationality and best practices to make the best or optimal decision.
COMPLICATED (Medium Certainty AND Medium Agreement)
Judgment and politics come into the equation when things become more complicated due to less certainty and less agreement. Decisions are more negotiated than deduced.
COMPLEX (Low Certainty OR Low Agreement)
We enter the realm of complexity when there is either low certainty or low agreement. Here, we can't anticipate or agree on what will happen. As a result, a more experimental, trial-and-error-based approach to decision-making is needed.
CHAOTIC (Low Certainty AND Low Agreement)
A situation is chaotic when there is both low certainty and low agreement. This is where no sensible conclusion can be drawn about how to move forward best. To avoid anarchy, the best approach is to focus on stability, on increasing certainty and/or agreement so that you cross the "Edge of Chaos" and return to the realm of complexity.
This matrix's key lesson is that you should be aware of the complexity of your situation and adapt your decision-making approach to it.
6 Powerful Frameworks to Navigate Challenges and Drive Success
Navigating challenges and driving success in the dynamic business landscape requires effective problem-solving frameworks.
Business frameworks are essential tools used to analyze and solve complex business problems.
These frameworks provide a strategic and systematic approach to decision-making, enabling organizations to assess their current situation, identify areas for improvement, and develop forward-thinking strategic plans for growth and success.
Research shows that leaders who actively engage with and apply advanced business knowledge will accelerate their career growth.
According to Harvard Business Review, studying and learning specific business models will boost your career growth 10% faster than your peers who don’t.
In this cheat sheet, we dive into six Key Business Models from the world’s leading consultancies:
The six we explore are:
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This model offers a longitudinal view, guiding leaders to balance immediate performance with long-term innovation.
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This model is a testament to portfolio analysis, where 70% of companies using it have reportedly seen improvements in growth.
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This model focuses on real-time customer feedback.
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This model guides organizations through digital transformation.
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It is a critical model in restructuring operations for efficiency.
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Aids leaders in navigating change.
Strategy Toolkit
Do you need help to pick the right strategy tool from the hundreds available?
You're not alone.
Here's a simplified approach to streamline your strategic analysis.
Understand this: Most folks fall into one of three traps:
Comfort Zone Clinger: Sticks to the one tool they know.
A person living with Analysis Paralysis: Tries to use every tool in the arsenal.
The Avoider: Doesn't use any tools at all.
None of these strategies are effective.
Here's why:
Strategy isn't about using more tools; it's about using the RIGHT tools.
Here's the real deal: Strategy should be your response to the challenges that prevent you from achieving your goals.
It's all about laser focus — tackle only the challenges that directly impact your goals.
Forget the rest.
Step-by-step approach:
1️⃣ Identify your core challenges – What's standing in your way?
2️⃣ Select your tool wisely – Use tools that address those specific challenges.
3️⃣ Avoid overkill – Analyzing everything is a distraction. Keep it targeted.
Check out the guide below to know which strategic tool to use and when.
"7 Powers: The Foundations of Business Strategy" by Hamilton Helmer
Overview: Hamilton Helmer's "7 Powers" presents a comprehensive framework for understanding and achieving sustainable competitive advantage in business.
From his extensive experience as a strategy advisor, equity investor, and Stanford University professor, Helmer distills decades of insights into seven distinct "powers" companies can leverage to dominate their markets. The book is structured to help readers develop mental models for strategic thinking and is enriched with real-world examples.
The Seven Powers:
Scale Economies:
Description: Cost advantages are achieved due to the scale of operations, leading to lower per-unit costs as production increases.
Example: Walmart's massive purchasing volume allows it to negotiate lower prices from suppliers, resulting in lower costs and competitive pricing.
Network Economies:
Description: The value of a product or service increases as more people use it, creating a positive feedback loop.
Example: Facebook's growth, where the platform becomes more valuable as more users join, attracting even more users and advertisers.
Counter Positioning:
Description: Introducing a new, superior business model that incumbents cannot replicate due to the threat it poses to their existing business.
Example: Netflix's shift to streaming, which traditional cable companies struggled to adopt without undermining their core business.
Switching Costs:
Description: Making it costly or difficult for customers to switch to a competitor, thereby retaining their loyalty.
Example: Adobe's Creative Cloud suite, where users become dependent on integrated software tools, making it challenging to switch to alternative products.
Branding:
Description: Creating a strong, positive association with a product or company that influences customer preference and loyalty.
Example: Apple's brand evokes a sense of quality, innovation, and status, allowing it to command premium prices.
Cornered Resource:
Description: Gaining control over a valuable resource that competitors cannot easily replicate or access.
Example: De Beers' historical control over diamond mines has significantly influenced the diamond market.
Process Power:
Description: Developing superior processes that competitors find difficult to imitate, leading to sustained operational advantages.
Example: Toyota's Just-In-Time (JIT) manufacturing process, which optimized inventory management and production efficiency.
Strategic Application: Helmer emphasizes that achieving a competitive advantage is not about possessing a single power but often involves leveraging multiple powers in combination. He provides a systematic approach to identifying and cultivating these powers within an organization.
Real-World Examples: Throughout the book, Helmer illustrates each power with in-depth case studies and examples from well-known companies, allowing readers to see how these concepts are applied in practice. These examples ground the theoretical aspects of the powers in practical, real-world scenarios, enhancing the reader's ability to implement similar strategies in their own businesses.
Mental Models: "7 Powers" encourages readers to build mental models that facilitate strategic thinking. Internalizing these models allows business leaders to navigate complex, competitive landscapes better and make more informed strategic decisions.
Conclusion: Hamilton Helmer's "7 Powers" offers a robust framework for understanding the fundamental sources of competitive advantage. It is a valuable resource for business leaders, strategists, and anyone interested in mastering the art of strategic thinking. Through clear explanations, practical examples, and actionable insights, Helmer provides the tools needed to achieve and sustain market dominance.
UNIVERSAL QUESTIONS YOUR STRATEGY MUST ANSWER.
While every organization has specific challenges to solve, some fundamental issues and questions need to be addressed when it comes to your overall strategy.
Answering these questions is the foundation of any good strategy.
The content of your strategy discussions and the questions you need to answer are intricately tied to the level of strategy you're considering, providing a clear and structured approach that guides your strategy development.
There are four levels of strategy:
1️⃣ Ecosystem strategy deals with the question of where you compete and where you collaborate.
2️⃣ Corporate strategy concerns which businesses to be active in. It involves deciding whether to build a portfolio of diverse businesses to spread risk or look for synergies and build a portfolio of integrated companies
3️⃣ Business strategy concerns how to compete in the businesses you're active in. It is primarily about deciding who your customers are, what you're offering them, why customers should buy from you (your value proposition), how you will do this (your business model), how you will make money, and what capabilities, resources, and organization you need to make all this happen.
4️⃣ On a functional strategy level, the content depends heavily on the function: HR, IT, Sales, Marketing, Operations, etc.
Aligning the functions' strategies with the overall strategy is not just important, it's crucial. This necessitates a thorough review of the functions' activities, their focus areas, and the challenges they need to overcome to contribute effectively to the overall strategy. Your contribution in this alignment process is vital.
Incredible numbers cited by the Harvard Business Review!
According to HBR, 70% to 90% of innovations fail!
Business Executives often name innovation as their highest priority.
Yet, it's important to acknowledge that they also often find it to be one of their most significant challenges, a struggle shared by many.
Despite large investments in research and development, big data curation, and even AI, there's little evidence that these numbers are improving.
In this Cheat Sheet, we examine six models that can help organizations and leaders innovate faster and more effectively.
The six models we explore are:
1/ Gap Analysis
2/ The Value-Complexity Matrix
3/ Design Sprint by Google
4/ Lean UX Cycle
5/ The 6 Thinking Hats by Edward de Bono
6/ The Kano Model
In a world fixated on productivity hacks and efficiency, it’s crucial to remember the unique nature of the human brain, which is far from being a mere machine.
Scientific evidence underscores the significance of both analytical and creative thinking, the two sides of the brain, in shaping our overall success and well-being, empowering us with a holistic cognitive approach.
Let’s embark on a journey to challenge conventional wisdom with 7 antithetical productivity rules that can revolutionize your cognitive abilities, inspiring you to think beyond the norm.
9 Visuals That Will Change How You Think
Shape your future by shifting your perspective.
Shout out to Liz Fosslien for this fantastic collection.
1) Be careful not to judge; we don't all start in the same place.
2) Remember, what feels hard today will feel easy in a few years.
3) Explain the "why," not just the "how" to skyrocket someone's learning.
4) Failure and success aren't opposites; failure is a part of success.
5) We must combine intention with action to achieve our goals.
6) When you feel overwhelmed, narrow your focus to the very next step.
7) You can still succeed, even if you think the odds are against you.
8) If you step "outside of the box," you can "become a star".
9) Don't let a bad day ruin all the progress you've made to date.
Change your mindset to change your life with these nine powerful lessons.
It has become the default practice to assess strategy in financial terms, such as profit, ROI, etc. To resolve the strategy-execution gap, we need more human-centered criteria: a strategy that inspires, touches, and moves.
STRATEGY THAT INSPIRES (cognition)
To execute a strategy, people need to understand it, see its point, and be positively triggered to take the leap of faith it requires.
A strategy that inspires is a strategy that ignites interest. It excites, it triggers people’s curiosity, imagination and creativity. It makes their brains work and replaces current views about an organization’s future with better ones. This means:
✅ A clear and outspoken vision outlining a desirable future state of the organization
✅ A creative tension between where the organization is today and where it wants to be
✅ Alignment between the future idea of the organization and the future ideas of its people
Does your strategy inspire your people?
STRATEGY THAT TOUCHES (emotion)
To execute a strategy, people need to feel good about it, feel attached and committed to it and agree that it suits the organization.
A strategy that touches is a strategy that triggers positive emotions. It feels right, aligns with people’s values and passions, and makes people wholeheartedly say yes. It is purpose-driven and based on sympathy and empathy with others and the world. This means:
✅ A future direction that is morally and ethically the right thing to do for the organization
✅ A large enough step forward so that it substantially triggers people’s emotions
✅ Alignment between the values and beliefs held by the organization and the passions of its people
? Does your strategy touch your people?
STRATEGY THAT MOVES (behavior)
To execute a strategy, people need to see the path, be clear on what it means for them and asks of them, and believe it is somehow achievable.
A strategy that moves is a strategy that enables and stimulates action. It is clear, actionable, and contextualized so that everyone in an organization understands what it takes from them to execute it. This means:
✅ A detailed enough description of the strategy and its consequences for units, departments, and individual people
✅ A clear understanding of the difference between the current state and the future state of the organization
✅ Alignment between the capabilities and resources the strategy requires and what is feasible
? Does your strategy move your people?
According to the Harvard Business Review, leaders with higher business acumen are 40% more likely to reach the executive level.
Why? In today’s competitive landscape, you must set yourself apart from the also-rans gunning for your promotion.
To think otherwise is to light a stick of dynamite at the feet of your next big job offer.
This graphic explores six business frameworks that every leader must know.
The six are:
1. McKinsey’s 3 Horizons
2. Smart Insights Framework
3. Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
4. TAM SAM SOM
5. Ohmae’s 3 C’s
6. The GE-McKinsey Nine-Box MatrixBiz models
Strategic Planning
Think of strategic planning as having four main interlocking and iterative stages:
· Analysis and Assessment
· Strategy Development
· Strategy Execution
· Evaluation and Refinement
This provides a context for thinking about the strategic plan, not as a fixed static document, but as part of an ongoing organic process.
Actionable Steps Toward Meeting Goals
Strategic Planning is the application of strategic thinking to create actionable steps toward meeting goals. It’s a process of codifying the steps an organization needs to take to progress towards accomplishing its mission. Strategic planning creates organizational focus by providing criteria for consistent decision-making that is aligned with the organization’s goals.
It’s about setting goals and developing a roadmap to get from here to there. Strategic planning is assembling the pieces of the puzzle in the most effective way to achieve those goals.
Strategic planning is done as a periodic process of planning session involving strategic thinking and brainstorming. It might be an annual retreat for a day or weekend. The participants convene with the initial goal of reaching consensus on the desired future of the organization. Once the goals are identified, the strategic thinkers develop a set of guidelines and decision rules for pursuing that future.
Strategic planning focuses on core competencies and what is required to create the desired fit between the organization and the external environment. Strategy is seeking to set the conditions for optimal performance.
Strategic planning is a negotiated process that incorporates consensus and judgment. It requires evaluating and analyzing performance metrics to double down on successes and address problems.
There are programmatic ways to conduct strategic planning sessions to stay on track and complete the plan in the fixed amount of time set for the sessions. These sessions aren’t just free-for-alls, they need to be kept orderly and led. The strategic planning process provides a sequential series of steps for creating a strategy document.
The end product is a document: the strategic plan. This document reflects the thinking of the moment, but it should not be taken as set in stone. The planning process is dynamic and ongoing. The plan is a static representation of the process at a given time.
The plan is open to modification as we encounter new information. It is not the plan per se, but the planning process that is most useful.
“Plans are useless, but planning is invaluable.”
Winston Churchill
Strategic planning provides guidelines and guard rails for decision-making and operations.
Strategic planning takes analyzing and understanding the current situation and the competitive landscape. It takes the analysis of the internal and external environment and develops the optimal fit between an organizations core competencies, competitive forces, and customer needs and desires.
The process is to develop and refine the organization’s direction. Success is measured by an organization’s effectiveness in its environment.
A common mission, vision, and set of organizational values and goals drive strategy. This is the directional strategy or “what the organization wants to do”.
Strategic goals are not just a question of what management wants to do, but what the organization is capable of.
The organization’s operations, resources, competencies, and capabilities influence strategy. This internal assessment represents “what the organization can do.”
Disruptive Innovation
Successful, outstanding companies can do everything "right" and still lose their market leadership – or even fail – as new, unexpected competitors rise and take over the market. There are two key parts to this dilemma.
Improving a product takes time and much iteration. The first of these iterations provide minimal value to the customer but in time the base is created and the value increases exponentially. Once the base is created then each iteration is drastically better than the last. At some point the most valuable improvements are complete and the value per iteration is minimal again.
Incumbent sized deals: The incumbent has the luxury of a huge customer set but high expectations of yearly sales. New entry next generation products find niches away from the incumbent customer set to build the new product. The new entry companies do not require the yearly sales of the incumbent and thus have more time to focus and innovate on this smaller venture.
For this reason, the next generation product is not being built for the incumbent's customer set and this large customer set is not interested in the new innovation and keeps demanding more innovation with the incumbent product.
At this point it is too late for the incumbent to keep up with the new entrant's rate of improvement.
The theory of "disruptive innovation" has changed the way managers and CEOs around the world think about innovation.
The following are common principles that incumbents must address:
· Resource dependence: Current customers drive a company's use of resources
· Small markets struggle to impact an incumbent's large market
· Disruptive technologies have fluid futures, as in, it is impossible to know what they will disrupt once matured
· Incumbent Organizations' value is more than simply their workers, it includes their processes and core capabilities which drive their efforts
· Technology supply may not equal market demand. The attributes that make disruptive technologies unattractive in established markets are often the ones that have the greatest value in emerging markets
The following strategies assist incumbents in succeeding against the disruptive technology:
· Develop the disruptive technology with the 'right' customers. Not necessarily their current customer set
· Place the disruptive technology into an autonomous organization that can be rewarded with small wins and small customer sets
· Fail early and often to find the correct disruptive technology
· Allow the disruption organization to utilize all of the company's resources when needed but are careful to make sure the processes and values were not those of the company
A goal without a plan is just a wish.
67% of plans fail due to poor strategies.
(Source: HBR)
Businesses often need help to bridge the gap between strategic vision and results.
They are often stuck in planning limbo, unable to transition from concept to success.
This gap can cause frustration with Unmet goals and Wasted resources.
Without a clear plan, inspiring visions can fade away.
How do you close that gap?
It starts with a solid strategic plan: A blueprint for success with clear steps and objectives.
Here's a simple yet powerful framework to guide you:
1. Define the Vision and Mission:
➟ Craft an inspiring vision and align every goal with it
2. Analyze the Current State:
➟ Perform SWOT analysis to know where you stand
3. Set Strategic Objectives:
➟ Define what success looks like with OKRs
4. Develop a Tactical Plan:
➟ Use tools like Gantt Charts to stay on track
5. Implement the Plan:
➟ Measure progress with KPIs; adapt with feedback
6. Review and Adapt:
➟ Use Balanced Scorecard for a holistic view
This system isn't just about making plans. It's about making plans work.
Here is a downloadable eBook that includes a template and description of the elements that should be included in a comprehensive strategic plan. Addressing these topics will give you the discipline to really understand your business and what you should be focusing on for success.
Strategic Planning
is the periodic process of developing a set of steps for an organization to accomplish its mission and vision using strategic thinking.
Putting the pieces of the puzzle together.
Present Your Strategy in a Handful of Slides
6 Slides Needed to Present a Strategy
Outline for preparing a slide deck and presenting a strategy.
The ability to communicate your strategic thinking is what defines a leader. When you create a strategy, it is an opportunity to prove that you are a leader.
A well-designed presentation is one of the best ways to communicate your strategic thinking. It is a critical part of a strategy sequence — research, analyze, build strategy, present strategy, execute strategy, report back on results.
You can deliver an excellent strategy presentation in as little as six slides.
A strategy is not a plan.
A list of executable tactics with a timeline attached is a plan. A strategy is more than that. A strategy is how you convince stakeholders that your project is excellent and achieve buy-in.
The tactics are the "what." The goal is the "why." The strategy is the "how." It's the guiding principle.
You can have a plan full of tactics but lacking strategy, and it will fall flat with stakeholders. Present the same list of tactics, but preface that with a solid strategy, and you'll get the approval you're seeking.
A strategy is not a spreadsheet.
A strategy develops and evolves in brainstorming sessions after research and data gathering. The strategic thinking may come together on a whiteboard or in a spreadsheet. The best way to present your strategy is in the form of a slide deck using PowerPoint or an equivalent presentation program.
Presenting is storytelling. You want to engage your audience. Slides are excellent for storytelling because you can control your narrative's direction and pace and emphasize emotion through visual design.
Start by presenting slides and use spreadsheet data for support.
You only need six slides.
There are many ways to build a strategy, but certain elements lead to a well-received strategy presentation. Here is an outline of the essential slides.
1. Task at Hand
2. Insight
3. Principles
4. Visual Model
5. Tactics
6. Timing
Slide 1 — Task at Hand
Make your first slide a clear and concise description of the job to be done. Include the specific goal or business problem.
It could be a well-written sentence or two; it could be a graph or a single number; it could be an image that instantly illustrates the problem to your audience. It's likely some combination of these.
Aim for impact through brevity on your first slide. What you say during this slide doesn't need to be written on it. You can elaborate verbally to provide context. Try not to let your audience read the slide. You don't want your audience reading; you want them focused on what you are saying.
Slide 2 — Insight
If you’re at the point where you’re creating slides, then you’ve already spent some time researching and collecting data.
An insight is an observation plus understanding. It’s research and data plus a storyline that knits it together.
The insight slide of your presentation contains sentences. Keep your data and findings in the appendix and pull them up if asked.
Slide 3: Principles
Slide 3 is the first slide that gets into your strategy. You have expressed the problem and the insights into it; it's time to show how you will solve the issue.
This slide needs to be impactful. Make it clear and concise and use sticky language.
By "sticky," I mean you want your audience to be able to instantly recall and carry this slide’s idea with them after your presentation. Word choice matters here. The slide layout, your pace, and tone of voice all matter and impact your ability to make it memorable.
Hook your audience. Get everybody excited about your approach. Lead with impact and follow with detail.
Slide 4: Visual Model
A strategy proposes that the desired outcome is achievable if you approach a problem in the proposed way. It's a prediction of what could become a reality, based on data, experience, insights, and creativity. A visual model facilitates understanding.
Your visual model should show the inputs, steps, or actions and their priority or sequence. Illustrate the process or system that will deliver the desired outcome.
Some model format examples are:
· 4-quadrant
· Three pillars
· Funnel
· Pyramid
· Venn diagram
· Flywheel
Google these terms for examples and inspiration.
The visual model can be one of the best ways to ensure understanding and acceptance of your strategy. Think it through carefully and get feedback from peers before your presentation.
Slide 5: Tactics
This next section is where you include the details. Describe the exact steps or tactics in your plan. The format can be straightforward. Your writing should be clear and concise.
This part of your presentation might be more than one slide. Keep in mind that less is more.
As you work on this section, ask yourself what questions might come up. If the answers are easy, incorporate them into the presentation. If the answers are tangential, put them in an appendix and avoid a distracting tangent if the question never comes up.
Slide 6: Timing
A goal is a dream with a deadline.
Detail the anticipated length of each phase of your strategic implementation in days, weeks, or months. Are there any key milestones and deliverables you plan to hit?
Commit to communicating and presenting progress or results back to the key stakeholders
. Don't wait to notify interested parties of any unanticipated obstacles you encounter, and don't try to sugarcoat delays or cost overruns. Keep everyone in the loop.
What is the date you expect to have achieved the goal? Set realistic expectations. Then try to do it all sooner
; under-promise and over-deliver.
Slide 7 — Conclusion.
An impactful strategy presentation takes just six essential slides. But you might want to wrap up the presentation with a summary slide.
Summarize with a list of immediate next steps, or wrap it up with a motivational quote. Or a slide with the word "questions?" to indicate that it's time for discussion and feedback.
Two more things guarantee a productive presentation.
Send out a pre-read of the slides before your presentation. This step will help keep the meeting on track. Primed and prepared participants elevate the quality of questions and discussion.
Practice presenting your strategy without notes. You wrote the slides — you know what's on them, you don't need a script. Internalize the story and tell it with enthusiasm and conviction.
Record a run-through on your phone and review it. Do this a few times, and you will have a polished delivery.
Next time you get asked what your strategy is, you’ll know exactly how to tell the story and sell your strategic vision.
Strategic Planning, Implementation, and Budgets
The capital budgeting process is a hybrid of accounting and finance. It is forward looking so it uses corporate finance techniques. And budgets are constructed using pro forma financial statements so it is part accounting.
Budgets are financial projections developed for a relatively short and predetermined period of time. Most budgets are prepared for the next year and divided into detailed monthly budgets. Budgets can be expected to be reasonably accurate because they represent estimates of relatively short time periods and because they rely on historical information about the company.
Budgets are created, reviewed, and approved and then used to measure the actual performance of the company each month. Did the company under or over perform relative to the budget? The differences between the actual accounting prepared at the end of the month and the budget amounts is called a Variance.
Variances are reviewed and discussed to see why some line items went over budget and why some may be significantly under budget. Budgets are developed using historical performance data, which means that they are relatively predictive of the levels at which a company should be operating. And the budget will reflect the goals that management hopes to achieve in the coming year.
Budgeting is part of the planning process and reviewing the actual results against the budget on a regular basis is good management practice.
Strategy and Planning are very different things.
Connect them the right way.
And link them to Foresight and Signaling.
FORESIGHT
↳ LONG-TERM bets
↳ Identifies scenarios to shift the market
↳ Aims to create future market dominance
Example:
→ Developing a new generation of processors
STRATEGY
↳ MID-TERM choices
↳ The priorities to win in your chosen market
↳ Protects relevance and value creation
Example:
→ Divesting a business division
PLANNING
↳ SHORT-TERM plans
↳ Allocates budget to move strategy into action
↳ Connects strategy and operations
Example:
→ Capturing who does what by when in a project plan; budget planning.
SIGNALING
↳ IMMEDIATE reactions
↳ Informs your response to external events
↳ Safeguards operations
Example:
→ Identifying alternative suppliers before looming conflicts disrupt supply chains.
The Flywheel Effect
The power of simple reinforcing loops executed over time
Consider a gigantic, heavy flywheel — a massive metal disk set horizontally on an axle, 50 feet in diameter, 4 feet thick, and weighing 10,000 pounds. Assume your objective is to get the flywheel rotating as quickly and as much as feasible.
Pushing hard, you get the flywheel to move forward, almost slightly at first. Then, after a few hours of hard work, you keep going until the flywheel completes one total rotation.
You continue to push, and the flywheel begins to travel quicker, and with lots of hard work, you move it around a second rotation. You keep pressing in the same direction. With three spins, four, five, and six, the flywheel gains speed and momentum, moving faster with each turn.
Then, suddenly — breakthrough! The machine's momentum works in your favor, propelling the flywheel onward, turn after turn, sonic boom! Its massive weight supports you.
Jim Collins created this concept in his book "Good to Great" and recently published a study that expands on it. The flywheel is a system thinking concept in which the system is a reinforcing loop with the ability to take off over time.
Here is an example of an early version of Amazon's flywheel:
Bezos and his lieutenants sketched their virtuous cycle, which they believed powered their business. It went something like this: lower prices led to more customer visits. More customers increased sales volume and attracted more commission-paying third-party sellers to the site. That allowed Amazon to get more out of fixed costs like the fulfillment centers and the servers needed to run the website. This greater efficiency then enabled it to lower prices further. Feed any part of this flywheel, they reasoned, and it should accelerate the loop.
Let me outline the flywheel that has driven me over the years:
The process begins with what I am curious about learning. That is the beginning of everything. If I'm interested in something, I can't help but want to learn about it and research it. That will throw me into the research. If I do the research right, throw myself into it, and stand those creative hours of the study, I cannot help but have ideas and insights from that research. If I have those ideas, I want to write them, teach them, and share them.
You never know where it goes. If you have an impact and reach in the world, then you can't help but have funding from that. Then, economics comes that allows you to do more.
I fund and feed my curiosity, which leads to the research, which then leads from chaos to concepts, which then leads to writing and teaching, which then leads to an impact on the world, which then generates funding, which then allows me to fund the next question. Then, it's perpetual.
It is essential to provide "grease" to ensure the steps in your flywheel have as little friction as possible. The example of good leadership to drive the core flywheel concepts in an organization highlights how "grease" works:
Connecting the goals with the values of the business
Distilling that connection into a simple message
Pushing that message down to EVERY person
Reinforcing the message, relentlessly
Imagine the "grease" effect of everyone knowing the main goals, how they relate to the business's core values, and how achieving those goals will positively affect them beyond their paycheck. That's total enterprise alignment.
Companies fail either through reinforcing the wrong behaviors or abandoning the flywheel concepts that gave them success.
In studying the fall of once-great companies, we see them abandoning the fundamental principles that made them great in the first place. They vest the wrong leaders with power. They veer from their focus and cease to get the right people involved. They fail to confront brutal facts. They stray far beyond their competency areas, throwing themselves into activities at which they could never become the best in class.
They subvert discipline with bureaucracy. They corrupt their core values and lose their purpose. And one of the most significant patterns exhibited by once-great companies that bring about their senseless self-destruction is failure to adhere to the flywheel principle
Only 30% of leaders regularly review strategy.
Embrace SWOT to join the exclusive league of strategic leaders.
Why SWOT?
It's your blueprint for success.
It's a straightforward yet potent tool, empowering you to steer your organization's strategy.
It clarifies your current position.
It helps you focus on the right areas.
✓ Strengths: Your key advantages. What makes you unique?
✓ Weaknesses: Areas to strengthen. What needs improvement?
✓ Opportunities: Potential gains. What opportunities exist?
✓ Threats: Potential pitfalls. What challenges are looming?
Use SWOT to:
• Leverage your strengths. Maximize their impact.
• Address weaknesses. Overcome obstacles.
• Seize opportunities. Shape your future.
• Anticipate threats. Stay prepared.
Ready to revolutionize your strategy?
Make SWOT a regular part of your strategic review.
With SWOT, you'll understand, act, and lead with unwavering confidence.
As Michael Porter of Harvard said:
"The essence of strategy is choosing what not to do."
Step up. Be strategic. Become outstanding.
"A Useful Guide to SWOT Analysis"
Unlock the power of strategic thinking with Alan Sarsby’s "A Useful Guide to SWOT Analysis." This comprehensive manual, designed for both novice and experienced strategists, demystifies the SWOT framework—Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats.
Whether you’re in industry, commerce, or academia, this guide provides robust, relevant methodologies to enhance your strategic planning. Dive into practical exercises, real-world examples, and step-by-step instructions that transform theoretical concepts into actionable strategies.
Empower your organization to navigate complex environments and achieve sustainable success with this essential resource.
Unlocking the Power: An Innovative SWOT Strategy
Look outside the four walls of your company! By tending to the EXTERNAL environment, you can uncover a new approach to SWOT analysis, and here's how!
Strengths: Reinvent Your Most Valuable Asset
You already know what you do well. How might this be affected by the changes in the market? Research new technology and changes in the industry to refine your strengths.
Weaknesses: Turn Problems into Opportunities
It isn't enough to identify your weaknesses and leave them at that. By exploring partnerships, outsourcing, or inviting external experts, you can identify potential areas for growth and improvement.
Opportunities: Go Beyond What's Right in Front of You
Dive deep into emerging, untapped growth areas. Research what's happening in all corners of the world and expand your exploration beyond what's directly visible.
Threats: Spot and Deal with Outside Risks
Threats aren't just competitors. Think about changes in rules, politics, or new tech that could affect you. Stay ahead of potential problems by watching what's happening outside.
Give your SWOT analysis a boost, analyze the external factors, and get ready for your business to take off! ?
The Seven Major Pitfalls of Implementing Strategy
What Causes Strategic Plans to Fail?
Why Aren't Strategies Executed Successfully?
Overplanning. There's a heavy focus on planning and analyzing the strategy instead of actually implementing it.
Loss of Focus, Diminishing Attention. Interest in the strategy wanes after its initial rollout as people revert to their usual tasks.
Reinterpretation, Redefinition. Individuals adopt the new strategy's language but apply it to their existing activities.
Disconnectedness, Detachment. The strategy is detached from reality and based solely on the leadership's views.
Behavioral Compliance, Superficial Agreement. Employees follow the new directives without truly embracing the strategy.
Misinterpreting Resistance and Opposition. Blaming employees for resisting changes without clarifying the strategy or its rationale.
Broken agreements, Inconsistent Actions. Leaders verbally support the strategy, but their actions contradict it.
Here’s my (very) short list of failures in corporate strategy, financial planning, risk management, and ethical governance.
- ??? ?oke: Insufficient market research and risk assessment before product overhaul.
- ?????: Misrepresentation of financial health & risk exposure, undermining fiduciary duty.
- ?????????: Misallocation of capital in aggressive expansion without market demand analysis.
- ?????: Neglected investment in e-commerce infrastructure in the face of digital retail growth.
- ???? Ignoring long-term financial costs of toxic corporate culture on litigation and brand value.
- ?????? ??? ???: Underestimated financial and reputational costs of compromising product safety.
- ??? ???? ?????? ??????: Write-downs following misjudgments in valuation, synergies and integration.
- ??????? ????????: Strategic overreliance on financial engineering at the expense of core innovation investment.
- ??????? ?????? ???? ?: Overlooking the financial impact of quality control failures on brand and market position.
What should be derisked at each funding stage?
At each funding stage, it’s crucial to mitigate risks to ensure the success of your startup.
Let’s delve into the specific areas that need to be derisked at different funding stages:
- Pre-Seed:
Product Development: Understand the risks of building your product. Are you optimizing costs while developing your minimum viable product (MVP)?
Technical Debt: Be aware of technical debt and address it proactively.
- Seed:
Customer Acquisition: Identify your first customers and assess their willingness to pay for your product or service.
Market Size: Investors will evaluate if your market is substantial enough to yield healthy returns.
- Series A:
Go-to-Market Strategy: Develop a reliable, predictable approach for customer acquisition.
Ideal Customer Segments: Capture your target customer segments effectively.
- Series B:
Market Share Expansion: As the race intensifies, focus on expanding, scaling, and optimizing your target market against larger competitors.
- Series C+:
Leadership and Culture: Build a startup culture supporting a growing team. Maintain core values even as your company scales.
Developing & Maintaining A Risk Register
Want to manage risk?
Develop and maintain a risk register to identify, assess, and manage risks throughout the life of a project or within an organization.
It is a document or system that captures all identified risks, their status, and their management strategies.
Developing and maintaining a risk register is a dynamic process that requires ongoing attention and updates.
It helps organizations and project teams proactively manage risks and minimize their potential impact.
I used to develop and maintain a risk register during my corporate life.
I use my experience to help my clients develop a risk register.
I use the following components and steps to develop a risk register:
Components of a Risk Register
• Risk ID
• Risk Description
• Risk Category
• Likelihood
• Impact
• Risk Score
• Risk Owner
• Mitigation Strategies
• Contingency Plans
• Status
• Date Identified
• Last Updated
7 Steps to Developing it:
- Identify Risks
- Describe Risks
- Assess Risks
- Assign Risk Owners
- Mitigation Strategies
- Contingency Actions
- Monitor and Update
You can build it yourself by following these steps and the example in the infographic.
THERE’S GOOD STRATEGY. AND THERE’S BAD STRATEGY.
Bad strategy is not the absence of strategy.
A bad strategy is not a strategy that might fail.
Bad strategy is calling something a “strategy” that is not really a strategy.
Unfortunately, bad strategy is an identifiable way of thinking and writing about strategy that has been gaining ground.
Bad strategy is long on goals and short on policy or action.
It assumes that goals are all you need.
It puts forward strategic objectives that are incoherent and, sometimes, totally impracticable.
It uses high-sounding words and phrases to hide these failings.
Financial Projections Lecture
How to construct Pro Forma Financial Projections
In this lecture I go over:
· Income Statement format of pro formas
· Cost Structure
· Fixed and Variable Costs
· Risk Management and Fixed Costs
· Revenues
· Price and Quantity
· Cost of Goods Sold COGS
· Cost Accounting
· Contribution Margin
· Breakeven Analysis
· Profit
To get a valuation for your project or enterprise: take the stream of profits from your projections and pull them back to Present Value using Discounted Cash Flow technique. That present value calculation is your best estimate of the value of your venture!
These are crucial skills to add to your strategy toolkit.
See the attached slide deck and Excel workbook template that accompany this video lecture to get a better understanding of how to structure financial projections and calculate a valuation using DCF and NPV.
Welcome to "How to Analyze Financial Statements Fast," a concise guide to help you quickly understand and interpret a company's key financial documents. This resource is for those who need to grasp the essentials of financial statements without diving into overwhelming detail.
Every company produces three primary financial statements, each serving a distinct purpose:
Balance Sheet: Provides a snapshot of a company's net worth at a specific point in time.
Income Statement: Reveals whether the company is profitable over a particular period.
Cash Flow Statement: Shows the movement of cash in and out of the business over time.
In this guide, we break down each statement into its core components and highlight the critical elements to focus on for a rapid assessment:
Balance Sheet
Cash & Equivalents: Assess liquidity.
Debt: Compare against cash holdings.
Goodwill: Check for significant amounts.
Retained Earnings: Ensure they are positive and growing.
Receivables & Inventory: Monitor their levels.
Income Statement
Revenue: Track trends.
Gross Profit: Observe changes.
Earnings Per Share: Check profitability.
Shares Outstanding: Note any fluctuations.
Operating Expenses: Evaluate stability.
Cash Flow Statement
Operating Cash Flow (OCF): Determine positivity and growth.
Capital Expenditures (CapEx): Compare with OCF.
Non-Cash Charges (NCC): Look for stock-based compensation.
Stock Transactions: Identify buybacks or issuances.
Debt Management: Check borrowing and repayment activities.
With less than five minutes of analysis per statement, this guide will help you swiftly identify a company's strengths and weaknesses, providing a solid foundation for more in-depth financial decision-making.
Capital allocation is a CEO's number one job.
How they allocate their cash flow or profits goes a long way toward the company's success.
They have five basic choices:
1. Reinvest in business
2. Pay down debt
3. Pay a dividend
4. Buyback shares
5. Mergers and acquisitions
?. ???????????? ?? ??? ????????:
Investing back into the company is often the first avenue that CEOs want to explore to drive growth.
This can take various forms, such as expanding existing operations, entering new markets, upgrading technology, or enhancing product development.
Reinvestment aims to generate returns that exceed the company's cost of capital, thereby creating substantial value.
?. ?????? ???? ????:
Reducing debt is a strategic move that helps lower financial risk and increase financial stability.
By paying down debt, a company can reduce its interest obligations and improve its creditworthiness, which may lower the cost of future borrowing and increase financial flexibility.
?. ??????? ?????????:
Distributing dividends is a way to return excess capital to shareholders, rewarding them for their investment.
Regular, consistent dividends can attract and retain investors looking for reliable income streams, enhancing the stock's appeal to a broader market segment.
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A share repurchase represents another method to return value to shareholders.
By buying back its shares, a company can reduce the outstanding share count, potentially increasing earnings per share (EPS) and, therefore, the share price.
Buybacks often signal to the market that the company's leadership believes the stock is undervalued.
?. ??????? ??? ???????????? (?&?):
Engaging in mergers and acquisitions can accelerate growth more rapidly than organic methods.
A company can quickly access new customers, markets, and technologies through strategic acquisitions.
However, M&As have high risks and require careful integration planning to realize the anticipated benefits and synergies.
Cash Flow is King
What is free cash flow yield, and why is it important?
In running a business, nothing beats real cash on hand.
In the investment world, cash flow, especially free cash flow, is essential to understand a company's stability and capital strength.
The Power of Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow is the money left after a company pays its expenses, taxes, interests, and capital expenditures. In addition, dividends, debt payments, stock buyback, and growth investments come from free cash flow.
When a company earns a positive free cash flow, it generates more cash than it needs to operate its business and can invest in growth.
Free cash flow (FCF) = Operating cash flow minus capital expenditure.
A company's cash flow statement is where operating cash flow and capital expenditure items are found.
Free cash flow is not net income because net income does not measure a company's actual cash position. For example, if a company increases revenue in the form of accounts receivable to be collected next year, the company has not received the cash yet. So, an increase in accounts receivables will reduce cash flow even though the revenue is reported in the net income number.
Therefore, free cash flow (FCF) is a better number than net income to measure a company's performance and how much cash is available to distribute to shareholders and invest for future growth.
Companies can manipulate their Net Income number but cannot mess around with free cash flow.
What is Free Cash Flow Yield?
Free Cash Flow Yield is calculated by comparing a company's free cash flow per share to its stock price per share.
Free cash flow yield (FCFY) = Free Cash Flow per Share/Price per Share
The higher the free cash flow yield, the more valuable the company is because of its stronger ability to pay off debt, distribute cash to shareholders, and invest for its benefit and growth.
Warren Buffett likes to look at cash flow rather than earnings multiples to determine if an investment is a value or not.
“I wouldn't look for a single metric like relative P/Es to determine what — how — to invest money. You really want to look for things you understand, and where you think you can see out for a good many years, in a general way, as to the cash that can be generated from the business. And then, if you can buy it at a cheap enough price compared to that cash, it doesn't make any difference what the name attached to the cash is. “
Warren Buffett
What to Look For When Screening Investments
You have probably heard of "value" and "growth" stocks and wondered how to tell them apart and the benefits of one versus the other. Unfortunately, the two terms are arbitrary to a degree.
We want a screening tool that is less vague and subjective and more quantitative and objective.
Rather than looking for a value or growth stock, a better way to screen investments is to look at the free cash flow yield to understand the company's business strength compared to its market value.
In a risk-off environment, investors care for quality and cash flow.
A persistent negative free cash flow may signify a company is becoming illiquid and cannot sustain its operations.
A negative free cash flow yield is not always bad. If the company is investing for the future and is expecting a higher investment return than the cash paid, like in a high-growth company, the temporary negative free cash flow yield needs to be investigated against the company's business needs and potential.
When measuring investment options, cash is King.
Free Cash Flow
Download the PDF; it teaches you everything you need to know.
1️⃣ What is free cash flow?
A company's free cash flow is equal to all the cash that enters it minus all the cash that leaves it over a certain period.
You can calculate it as follows:
Free cash flow = operating cash flow - CAPEX
The operating cash flow measures the cash generated by a company's regular business operations.
Capital expenditures (CAPEX) show how much money a company has used to maintain or buy physical assets.
2️⃣ What can a company do with its FCF?
The company can do different things with its free cash flow:
▪️ Reinvest for organic growth
▪️ Pay down debt
▪️ Acquisitions and takeovers (M&A)
▪️ Paying out dividends
▪️ Buying back shares
3️⃣ FCF Margin
This metric indicates how much cash a company generates per dollar in sales.
FCF margin = (free cash flow/sales)
Visa, for example, has a free cash flow margin of 60.2%.
For every $100 in sales, Visa generates $60.2 in pure cash.
4️⃣ FCF > Net Income
Earnings are an opinion; cash is a fact.
While earnings are an accounting metric, free cash flow looks at the money that actually entered and left the firm over a certain period.
5️⃣ FCF Conversion
The more earnings are translated into. FCF, the better.
FCF Conversion = (free cash flow / net earnings)
Seek companies with an FCF conversion of at least 85%.
6️⃣ Free cash flow yield
The free cash flow yield (FCF Yield) of a company is a great way to assess its valuation.
Free cash flow yield = (Free cash flow per share/ stock price)
The higher this ratio, the cheaper the stock.
Here is an excellent textbook to use as a reference guide for corporate finance.
Welcome to "Cash Flow Forecasting," your go-to guide for mastering one of the most crucial aspects of financial management. Edited by Andrew Fight, this book is part of the Essential Capital Markets series, designed to make the complex world of finance more approachable and understandable.
Whether diving into finance for the first time or looking to deepen your understanding, this book has got you covered. It's packed with practical insights and easy-to-follow explanations to help you grasp the essentials of cash flow forecasting. So, let's break down what you can expect to find in this treasure trove of financial wisdom.
First up, we have an Overview of Cash Flow Forecasting. This chapter is like your crash course on the basics – what cash flow forecasting is all about and why it's so important. Imagine having a roadmap for your financial health – that's what this chapter is all about.
Next, we dive into the Summary of Financial Statements. Think of this as your financial toolkit. You'll learn about the key components of financial statements and how they all fit together. It's like understanding the DNA of a company's finances.
In Factors Impacting Financial Performance, we explore what makes or breaks a company's financial health. This chapter covers the external and internal factors that influence financial performance, from strategic analysis to management practices.
The heart of the book is Cash Flow Forecasting of Financial Statements. Here, you'll get hands-on with projecting financial statements and analyzing historical performance. It's where theory meets practice, helping you build accurate and reliable forecasts.
The Cash Flow Forecasting of Project Finance chapter is a must-read for those interested in large-scale projects. It focuses on how to apply forecasting techniques to ensure they're financially viable and well-structured.
Finally, we have Pro Forma Forecasts Using Amadeus Electronic Databases. This chapter is all about leveraging technology to enhance your forecasting skills. Learn how to use electronic databases to generate detailed and accurate financial forecasts.
To top it all off, the book includes appendices, suggested readings, and a glossary. These extras are like the bonus features on a DVD – they provide additional context and tools to help you get even more out of your learning experience.
"Cash Flow Forecasting" isn't just a textbook; it's a practical guide designed to equip you with the skills you need to succeed in the financial world. Whether you aim to ace your exams, impress your professors, or prepare for a career in finance, this book is your trusty sidekick.
So, grab a cup of coffee, settle in, and get ready to dive into the world of cash flow forecasting. With Andrew Fight as your guide, you're in for an engaging and enlightening journey through the fundamentals of financial management. Let's get started!
Revenue and Income are NOT the same things!
Costs and Expenses are NOT the same things!
Net Income and Free Cash Flow are NOT the same things.
Confused? Let me break it down for you:
Sales and revenue mean the same things.
Both are the money that comes in from customer payments.
They both refer to the "top line" of the income statement.
Orders and sales are NOT the same things.
Orders are when a customer places a request for the future delivery of a product or service.
Orders become sales when the product is actually shipped or the service is performed.
Costs are different from expenses.
Costs are money spent on making a product or delivering a service (hence "cost of goods sold")
Expenses are money spent on developing, selling, accounting for, and managing the product or service.
Costs and expenses both become expenditures when money is actually sent to the vendors to pay the bills.
Profits, earnings, and net income all mean the same thing.
They are the "bottom line" of the income statement.
They all represent what is left over after all of the costs & expenses are subtracted from the revenue.
Net income and free cash flow are NOT the same things!
Net income measures profitability on the income statement using accrual accounting.
Free cash flow measures cash flow available to shareholders on the cash flow statement using cash accounting.
Accrual accounting and cash accounting are not the same things.
Accrual accounting: revenue or expenses are recorded when they occur, not when payment is received or made
Cash accounting: transactions are recorded only when money goes in or out of an account.
What is Working Capital?
Here's a simple way to understand this confusing finance term.
Working capital -- aka Net Working Capital -- is the difference between a company's current assets (expected to be used/consumed/converted into cash <1 year) and current liabilities (debts that are expected to be paid off in <1 year).
Why is working capital important?
Working Capital is a quick way to assess a company's liquidity, which is its ability to meet its short-term obligations.
It serves as an indicator of a company's financial health.
If working capital is positive, it indicates that a company has sufficient resources to cover its short-term financial needs.
If working capital is negative, it indicates that a company may face financial difficulties.
There are three ways to calculate working capital:
THE SIMPLE METHOD
Current Assets - Current Liabilities
This is the most common method and easiest to calculate.
THE NARROW METHOD
(Current Assets - Cash) - (Current Liabilities - Debt)
This method excludes cash & debt, which can help compare companies with different capital structures.
THE SPECIFIC METHOD:
Accounts Receivable + Inventory - Accounts Payable:
This method focuses on the cash conversion cycle of a business, which is the time it takes to convert inventory into cash.
In today's data-rich business landscape, it's easy to get overwhelmed by the sheer volume of information. But what if you could harness the power of data to drive growth, improve efficiency, and make informed decisions that propel your business forward?
The answer lies in data analysis. You can uncover hidden insights, identify trends, and make data-driven decisions that drive results by leveraging the right analytical tools and techniques.
Here are eight essential ways to analyze data for business decision-making:
Ratio Analysis: Assess your company's liquidity, operational efficiency, and profitability.
Trend Analysis: Identify patterns and trends to forecast future performance.
Cash Flow Analysis: Understand your company's ability to generate cash and cover debts.
Break-Even Analysis: Determine the point where revenue equals expenses.
DuPont Analysis: Decompose Return on Equity (ROE) into three components: profit margin, asset turnover, and financial leverage.
Monte Carlo Simulation: Assess the impact of risk and uncertainty in predictions and forecasts.
Scenario Analysis: Evaluate the impact of different predefined scenarios on a decision's outcome.
Sensitivity Analysis: Understand how a single input affects the output of a model.
The DuPont Analysis is a comprehensive framework that breaks down the various factors contributing to a company's Return on Equity (ROE). By dissecting ROE into its fundamental components, investors and analysts can gain deeper insights into a company's financial performance and pinpoint specific areas of strength and weakness. This detailed approach thoroughly examines profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage, providing a clearer picture of what drives a company's financial success.
The model was developed by F. Donaldson Brown, an employee of the DuPont Corporation, in 1914.
The attached graphic visually simplifies the DuPont analysis to highlight its key elements. The analysis begins with revenues, adjusted for costs and expenses to determine net profit. When divided by revenues, this net profit yields the profit rate, a crucial indicator of profitability. Additionally, the analysis considers current and fixed assets to calculate asset turnover, another vital component that measures how effectively a company utilizes its assets to generate sales.
The culmination of these factors—profit rate and asset turnover—combined with the equity multiplier, leads to the calculation of Return on Equity. By using this structured approach, the DuPont Analysis equips investors and analysts with the tools to delve into the underlying reasons behind the variations in ROE, whether it is due to the company's profitability, asset efficiency, or leverage. This powerful tool provides a nuanced understanding that goes beyond the surface-level financial metrics, enabling better investment decisions and strategic financial planning.
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It's Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis! DCF helps estimate the present value of an investment based on its expected future cash flows. But how does it work?
DCF is a valuation method that estimates the present value of an investment based on its expected future cash flows. Here's a step-by-step breakdown:
Project free cash flow for a specific period (typically 5-10 years). Calculate the terminal value using the Gordon Growth Model Discount each year's projected FCF back to its present value using a chosen discount rate. Sum up the present values to arrive at the estimated present value of the company.
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DCF, based on fundamental financial data, provides a clear and structured framework for valuation, empowering you to make informed investment decisions.
???, ??'? ??? ??????? ??? ???????????:
It relies on assumptions about future cash flows, growth rates, and discount rates. It is sensitive to changes in input parameters and doesn't consider non-financial factors, market conditions, or management quality.
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Using DCF with other valuation methods and financial indicators and considering multiple scenarios and sensitivity analyses, you can proactively account for uncertainty and be well-prepared for potential outcomes.
10 Insights from Everything is a DCF
The ever-insightful Michael Mauboussin writes about how we can look at DCF models.
Here are ten key points from "Everything is a DCF" based on the provided document:
1. ??? ????????????: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models are fundamental for valuing assets based on future cash flows.
2. ????????? ?????: The intrinsic value of a business is the present value of its expected future cash flows.
3. ?????? ?????????: Despite the importance of DCF, market multiples like price-earnings ratios are more commonly used by analysts.
4. ??????? ??. ?????? ???????: Private markets often involve more control over businesses, but public markets benefit from better liquidity and price discovery.
5. ?????? ?? ??? ??????: Common errors in DCF models include unrealistic growth assumptions and incorrect risk-free rates.
6. ????????? ???????????: Small changes in assumptions within a DCF model can lead to significant variations in valuation.
7. ????? ????????? ??????: An alternative to DCF is building layers of value, including asset value, earnings power, and franchise value.
8. ??????? ??????: Private equity firms focus on improving cash flows and often use substantial debt in leveraged buyouts.
9. ??????? ???????: Venture capital investments are staged, with each round contingent on meeting performance metrics, reflecting real options theory.
10. ??????????? ?? ???? ??????: DCF models also apply to real estate, where cash flows from rental income are discounted to determine value.
If you are not familiar with project evaluation via these indicators, you will experience the following:
❌ Struggling to assess whether an investment will add value
❌ Failing to identify high-return projects.
❌ Inadequate capital allocation
❌ Poor decision making
But if master those you can:
✅ Make the right decisions and help company meet its objectives
✅ Measure value creation and true economic profit
✅ Evaluate when returns > cost of capital
✅ Compare multiple investment options
This is why I have created this visual aid. I hope it can provide you with the support and guidance you need.
Financial Management Handbook
Financial management is a critical skill to have.
This handbook tells you everything you need to know.
It's also an excellent refresher for finance professionals.
Here's what you'll learn:
1️⃣ Income statement guide
2️⃣ Balance sheet guide
3️⃣ Cash flow guide
4️⃣ Budgeting guide
5️⃣ Inventory valuation methods
6️⃣ Depreciation methods
7️⃣ Accounting KPI Guide
8️⃣ Types of financial models
9️⃣ Why financial modeling is important
Strong financial management will save you millions.
Financial management will drive excess value creation.
It will help you comply with rules and regulations.
Finally, it lets you exercise control of company resources.
Don't down-prioritize financial management!
You can use this handbook to upgrade instead.
This e-book, "Financial Distress: The Leading Cause of Corporate Turnaround," explores the critical financial challenges that often necessitate a turnaround.
Here are a couple of highlights from the e-book:
Declining Revenue
Persistent declines in sales or revenue can signal deeper issues within a company, from market competition to product obsolescence. Addressing the root cause is crucial to reversing the trend and stabilizing the business.
Increasing Debt
High debt levels can become unsustainable, especially if revenue is insufficient to cover interest and principal payments. A comprehensive financial review and restructuring may be necessary to manage debt levels and regain financial health.
Understanding and addressing financial distress is crucial for any business leader aiming to steer their company back to stability and growth.
20 Rates you should know
>> Interest Rate: The cost of borrowing money or the return on invested funds. Includes prime rates, SOFR, and treasury rates.
>> Exchange Rate: The value of one currency in terms of another, vital for international business operations.
>> Inflation Rate: Measures the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising.
>> Discount Rate: The rate used in discounted cash flow analysis
>> Capitalization Rate (Cap Rate): This is a common term in real estate, representing the rate of return on a property investment.
>> Internal Rate of Return (IRR): The rate at which a project or investment breaks even, used in capital budgeting.
>> Annual Percentage Rate (APR): Reflects the annual cost of borrowing money, including fees and interest.
>> Effective Annual Rate (EAR): The actual annual return on an investment or cost of a loan, considering compounding.
>> Dividend Yield: A financial ratio showing how much a company pays out in dividends relative to its stock price.
>> Risk-Free Rate: Theoretical return on investment with no risk, often represented by government bonds.
>> Hurdle Rate: The minimum rate of return required on an investment for it to be considered acceptable.
>> Tax Rate: The percentage of Net Income paid out to the government through Income Tax.
>> Return on Investment (ROI): Measures the gain or loss generated on an investment relative to the money invested.
>> Return on Equity/Assets ROE/ROA: Indicates a company's profitability in generating profits from its shareholders' equity or from its total assets.
>> Depreciation Rate: The percentage rate at which an asset's value decreases over time, reflecting its wear and tear,
usage, or obsolescence.
>> WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital): Represents a firm's blended cost of capital across all sources, including debt
and equity.
>> Growth Rate: Used to measure the increase in a company's revenue or earnings, critical for future projections and
valuations.
>> Lease Rate: In equipment finance or real estate, this rate determines the periodic payment amount for the use of an
asset.
>> Coupon Rate: The interest rate bond issuers pay on the bond's face value.
>> Yield to Maturity (YTM): The total return anticipated on a bond if held until it matures.
ROCE Explained Simply
ROCE = Return on Capital Employed
It's a ratio that measures how efficiently a company uses its equity and debt to generate profits.
ROCE Formula:
EBIT / Capital Employed
Capital Employed = Average Total Assets - Average Current Liabilities
This represents the long-term funds used in the business by both creditors and owners.
When to Use ROCE?
Utilize ROCE when evaluating the efficiency of companies within the same industry.
It's particularly useful in capital-intensive sectors like manufacturing or utilities.
Pros of ROCE:
• A broader measure of capital efficiency.
• Simple to calculate and understand.
• Useful for capital-intensive industries.
Cons of ROCE:
• Can be skewed by high debt levels.
• Neglects timing of cash flow.
• Not reliable when comparing companies in different industries.
Things to Be Aware Of:
• Inconsistencies in definition
• Sensitivity to short-term fluctuations
• High debt levels distorting results
How to analyze a business, FAST:
Study these 12 accounting ratios.
PROFITABILITY RATIOS
→ Gross Profit Margin = Gross Profit ➗ Sales
→ Operating Margin = Operating Profit ➗ Sales
→ EBITDA Margin = EBITDA ➗ Sales
→ Net Profit Margin = Net Income ➗ Sales
RETURN ON CAPITAL RATIOS
→ Return on Equity = Net Income ➗ Total Equity
→ Return on Assets = Net Income ➗ Total Assets
→ Return on Capital Employed = EBIT ➗ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
→ Return on Invested Capital = NOPAT ➗ Invested Capital
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
→ Current Ratio = Current Assets ➗ Current Liabilities
→ Cash Ratio = Cash & Cash Equivalents ➗ Current Liabilities
FINANCIAL LEVERAGE RATIOS
→ Debt Ratio = Total Debt ➗ Total Assets
→ Debt To Equity Ratio = Total Liabilities ➗ Total Equity
DIVIDEND POLICY RATIOS
→ Payout Ratio = Dividend Per Share ➗ Earnings Per Share
→ Dividend Yield = Dividend Per Share ➗ Share Price
Notes:
EBT = Earnings Before Tax
EBIT = Earnings Before Interest & Taxes
EBITDA = Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization
NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Tax
What ratios do you look at the most?
Real Option Pricing
Projects that expand the set of opportunities have positive option values.
Taking on new projects opens doors to new opportunities. Those opportunities have a value that can be analyzed using option-pricing models. When we are valuing new enterprises, startups, or projects, we may not be adequately capturing this in our valuations.
Projects that expand the set of opportunities have positive option values. And conversely shutting down a project limits the set of opportunities going forward and has a negative option value.
A project’s impact on the firm’s opportunities, or its option value, may not be captured by conventional NPV analysis.
The Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model is the most famous formula and a straightforward way to price options.
The oil company Anadarko famously employed this new analytical method in 1994 to value oil field prospects and made winning bids in Gulf leases.
The new economy is filled with rapid change and uncertainty and real option valuation helps more accurately price those risks and opportunities.
Although we use AI to automate our work and save time, reading books is still essential for every finance professional.
Here is a selection of top finance books:
1. Accounting for Non-Accountants by Wayne Label
Lessons:
• How to prepare and use financial statements
• How to control cash flows
• How to manage budgets
• How to use accounting ratios
2. The CFO Lens by Ravikumar Ramanan
Lessons:
• Taking finance to the next level of business support and performance
• The dynamics of managing finance in the digital economy
• Soft skills
3. Budgeting Basics and Beyond by Jae K. Shim, Joel G. Siegel, Allison I. Shim
Lessons:
• Strategic Planning & Budgeting
• Break-even and Contribution Margin Analysis
• Forecasting and Planning
4. The Audacious Finance Partner by Andrew Codd
Lessons:
• Finance Business Partnering Skills
• Business Transformation
• Leadership Skills
5. Dictionary of Accounting (Oxford) edited by Jonathan Law
Lessons:
• Dictionary of Accounting Terms
6. Effective Data Storytelling by Brent Dykes
Lessons:
• Transform your insights and data visualizations into appealing data stories
• Fundamental elements of a data story and key audience drivers
• Seven essential principles of better visual storytelling in your work
7. Financial Modeling by Simon Benninga
Lessons:
• Basic financial calculations
• Introduction to Monte Carlo methods
• Excel functions
8. Painting with Numbers: Presenting Financials and Other Numbers So People Will Understand You by Randall Bolten
Lessons:
• Master the use of layout and visual effects to communicate powerfully
• Use software tools, including Excel, PowerPoint, and graphs, efficiently to drive home your point
9. Future Ready by Steve Morlidge & Steve Player
Lessons:
• Principles of a good forecast
• Mastering the process of forecasting
• Implementation of management techniques
10. Create value as a Finance Business Partner by Bo Foged, Anders Liu-Lindberg Mrs Henriette Fynsk
Lessons:
• Transform the Finance function into a profit center
• Automation of the Finance function
• Systematic development of a business partner mindset
11. Winning The Room: Creating and Delivering an Effective Data-Driven Presentation by Bill Franks
• How to avoid common mistakes that undercut a presentation's credibility
• Instructive and eye-catching visuals
12. All About FP&A by Asif Masani
Lessons:
• Career in FP&A
• Management reporting
• Budgeting and forecasting
The MBA ASAP Financial Modeling Handbook
Financial modeling is a critical skill for finance and accounting professionals to learn.
This handbook is not just a resource; it's a practical tool that can significantly enhance your financial modeling skills and empower you to excel in your profession.
Here's what it covers:
1. Why is Financial Modeling Important?
2. Types of Financial Models
3. Financial Statement Anatomy
4. Top 10 Excel Functions You Should Know
5. The Income Statement Guide
6. The Balance Sheet Guide
7. The Cash Flow Statement Guide
8. The Ultimate Budgeting Guide
9. Inventory Valuation Methods
10. Depreciation Methods
11. Financial Ratios
12. What is beta?
13. Options Pricing
14. Top Finance KPIs
15. Accounting vs Finance
16. EBIT vs EBITDA
17. Company Valuation Methods
18. Top Finance Certifications
19. 17 Financial Modeling Tips & Tricks
20. Excel Shortcuts Cheatsheet
21. Typical Excel Mistakes When Building a Financial Model
Scenario Planning - Step-by-Step Guide
Hint: It doesn't start with numbers.
It starts with micro and macroeconomic factors, key business drivers, brainstorming, asking questions, and creating storylines.
Then, you create three scenarios:
- Best Case
- Plausible
- Worst Case
Ask these questions:
- What decisions or strategies are you trying to inform?
- What time frame are you considering?
- What are the key uncertainties or risks you need to address?
- What assumptions underpin each scenario?
- How do changes in the drivers lead to different future states?
Use frameworks like STIR DEEPER:
- Social
- Technology
- Infrastructure
- Risks
- Demographics
- Economy
- Environment
- Politics
- Energy
- Resources
Use PESTEL or whatever best reflects your organization or industry.
Then, you write your stories (literally)
The storyline is about whether, if this happens, it will trigger this or impact that, or if it doesn't, what will happen.
Once you have answered the above questions, written stories, and created three scenarios, it is time to convert them to numbers, spreadsheets, models, and anything else you need to do to turn those stories into numbers.
Each micro or macro factor and the key business drivers you identified become your variables, which you use as toggles for your models.
But remember, it is all about how you write and tell those stories.
Because numbers do not speak for themselves, stories do.
The stories behind those numbers will help you get the stakeholders' buy-in.
I'm giving you the ten steps to follow and create your scenarios.
Let's go and STIR DEEPER!
Business valuation methods depend on the stage in its life cycle.
There are six stages:
1. Startup
2. Young growth
3. High growth
4. Mature growth
5. Mature stabile
6. Decline
Understanding the stage a company is in its life cycle is not just useful, it's crucial. It's the key to determining the most appropriate valuation method.
For example, if the company is in a mature growth stage, then:
• Source of Value is stabile earning potential
• DCF is applicable
• Relative valuation is applicable too
• Pricing measures are Revenues, Earnings, Growth rate, FCF
• Valuation ratios could be PE to Growth rate, P/E, EV/FCF
?????????? ?????? is Discounted cash flow method
• ??????????? ?? ?????? ?????:
• Comparable companies (P/E)
• Comparable transactions – EBITDA multiple
The success of valuation lies in how well you create a projection of each important financial category.
For pre-revenue startups, something other than DCF is needed.
Check out the Business Valuation Method handbook below.
????????? ??????? ??? ?????
This document covers how to do a strategic analysis before calculating valuation and identifying all drivers and risks.
Here are some of them:
Capital efficiency and allocation (reinvestment)
Industry analysis and market drivers
Growth and profitability analysis
Risk analysis in valuations
Human resources drivers
Organizational drivers
Technological drivers
Sales drivers
Everything you need to know about valuation
Price is what you pay, value is what you get
Here's what you'll learn:
• What is valuation
• Importance of valuation
• Discounted Cash Flow
• Relative Valuation (Multiples)
• Asset-Based Valuation
Advanced Financial Modeling
Techniques for More Accurate and Dynamic Models
I'm excited to share my latest e-book, "Advanced Financial Modeling: Techniques for More Accurate and Dynamic Models." This comprehensive guide enhances your financial modeling skills, providing actionable insights for creating robust and adaptable models.
Here are three key insights from the book:
Scenario Planning and Analysis:
Develop multiple scenarios to capture potential outcomes and stress test your models.
Use switches and toggles to switch between different scenarios quickly.
Conduct stress testing to evaluate model performance under extreme conditions.
Advanced Valuation Techniques:
Implement discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis with accurate free cash flow calculations and terminal value estimation.
Leverage comparable company analysis (CCA) by selecting relevant peer groups and using appropriate valuation multiples.
Explore real options valuation to incorporate strategic flexibility and manage risk.
Dynamic Financial Dashboards:
Identify and display key financial metrics on interactive dashboards.
Utilize real-time data feeds for up-to-date information.
Customize views based on user preferences for actionable insights.
This e-book also includes practical case studies and examples to demonstrate the application of these techniques.
The smartest people invest heavily in their education and skill development, recognizing that their human capital is their most marketable resource.
Skills are the most valuable thing you can acquire in this lifetime because they keep compounding until the day you die.
"The course is easy to understand a provides an elementary framework to understand business strategy. The lecture all convey key information delivered in a clear and concise manner which provides good foundation for the more complex concepts. The added provided additional resources compliment the video lectures nicely. In my situation I had not studied strategy since my undergraduate days in business school which was a long while a go. So this helped to update my knowledge and to understand the latest trends. This course is great for a soon to be undergraduate business student or someone contemplating graduate studies in business. The theory is kept to only relevant levels and an abundance of practical examples are provided to solidify the learning. Once again another quality course in the MBA-ASAP product offering."
Andrew W
The Importance of Strategy
Effective tactics are helpful to have, but without a strategy, they can be useless, like a powerful car without a steering wheel.
“Tactics is knowing what to do when there’s something to do… Strategy is knowing what to do when there is nothing to do.”
My many years of advising companies and making value-driven equity bets has made it crystal clear to me that the ascent of great companies is not linear but more a step function.
“To think is easy. To act is hard. But the hardest thing in the world is to act in accordance with your thinking.”
― Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
The importance of strategy is to provide a framework so we can act in accordance with our thinking. It provides a set of tools and techniques to help us achieve those hard things.
We are often told that successful strategy is a matter of boldness, but it is also as much a matter of patience and due diligence as overt action.
Strategy in business is the big picture.
Great strategy navigates between market conditions and a firm’s assets.
Competitive Strategy is a firm’s answer to the following question:
What can we do that is really hard?
It is about picking goals for the enterprise and then figuring out what resources are going to be assembled to achieve those goals. Learn strategic thinking, planning, implementation, management and leadership ASAP with this comprehensive course.
This course comes with my two Business Strategy books, lots of slidedecks, tons of articles from my award winning blog, and over two hours of lectures broken down into segments that address all aspects of Strategy.
Strategy in business is the big picture. Implementing a strategic vision is how a business succeeds and is profitable.
Strategy is about figuring out how to create a sustainable competitive advantage and barriers to entering your markets. Strategy is a firm’s answer to the following question: What can we do that is really hard?
Great strategy locates and exploits the fit between market conditions and a firm’s assets.
Leadership and Management are the key skill sets that rely on strategy. Leadership is doing the right things. Management is doing things right.
Strategic Thinking and vision is the realm of leadership.
Strategic Implementation and executing the strategy is the realm of management.
Strategic Planning brings the skills of leadership and management together.
Business Strategy is about picking goals for the enterprise and then figuring out what resources are going to be assembled to achieve those goals.
Learn strategic thinking, planning, implementation, management and leadership ASAP with this comprehensive course.Achieve more, faster, and reach your full potential.
Are you planning on getting a business degree? An MBA? Want a leg up in your classes and coursework?
Looking for a way to turbocharge your career and level up? Thinking of changing careers or starting a business? Do you aspire to be a manager?
Why take this strategy course? Understand business from a strategic perspective. Senior executives routinely share and discuss strategy with marketing directors, operations chiefs, and other direct reports. But how much do those managers really understand about strategic thinking, planning, implementation, and measurement? A recent investigation into this question concluded most managers don't understand enough about strategy to be useful. Asked to take a basic strategy exam—a test that any CEO or senior manager should easily ace—a representative sample of U.S. managers from C-level executives to supervisors scored an average of only 23%.
Lack of strategic literacy matters and impacts an organization’s ability to optimally perform. Those who can’t speak the language of business can’t contribute much to a discussion of performance and are unlikely to advance in the hierarchy or reach their full potential.
Does a lack of strategic literacy matter? From a managers’ point of view, it surely does. Those who can’t speak the language of business can’t contribute much to a discussion of performance and are unlikely to advance in the hierarchy. People don’t tell their bosses that they don’t understand strategy. It’s the usual human reluctance to admit ignorance. In a survey, managers were asked what happens in meetings when people don’t understand strategy. The majority chose answers reflecting that reluctance, such as “Most people don’t ask because they don’t want to appear uninformed in front of their boss or peers.” Don’t let this be you. Take this course and understand Business Strategy.
To reach your full potential you need to master new business and personal skills.
Packed with practical advice the MBA ASAP Series are the primers you need to develop your managerial and leadership skills.
We’re MBA ASAP, our mission is to make advanced, quality business education accessible to capable students everywhere by leveraging technology at scale to deliver inexpensive online programs, courses, and books.
We know that talent is distributed globally, but opportunity is not. We believe all capable and committed students deserve the opportunity to change their lives and to impact their communities.
Education is most effective when educators, and students work together to create pathways for mutual success. Technology makes advanced learning locally available across geographies and enhances outcomes.
I encourage you to take this course. But if you decide not to, please take another class, or read a book.
To know what you don’t know is power. To ask and learn what you don’t know is a superpower.
Investing in learning makes you better at earning.