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Master Bayesian Statistics: Thinking in Probabilities
Rating: 4.3 out of 5(12 ratings)
554 students

Master Bayesian Statistics: Thinking in Probabilities

Master Bayesian Statistics — Learn to Think in Probabilities, Not Just P-Values
Created byAaron Roberts
Last updated 4/2025
English

What you'll learn

  • Students will be able to explain Bayesian thinking, contrast it with frequentist methods, and understand why Bayes’ Theorem is useful for updating beliefs with
  • Students will break down Bayes’ Theorem, define priors, likelihoods, and posteriors, and apply them in basic examples like medical testing and coin tosses.
  • Students will compare credible and confidence intervals and apply Bayesian decision-making using posterior probabilities, risk, and utility.
  • Students will apply Bayesian thinking to regression, hierarchical models, and model checking using visual tools like PPCs and trace plots.
  • Students will apply Bayesian logic to A/B testing, networks, and machine learning, and address common misconceptions about Bayesian statistics.

Course content

5 sections13 lectures59m total length
  • What is Bayesian Statistics?3:03
  • Breaking Down Bayes' Theorem3:58

Requirements

  • No prior experience needed

Description

What you'll learn:

  • Understand how Bayesian statistics differs from traditional (frequentist) methods

  • Use Bayes' Theorem to update beliefs based on evidence

  • Visualize priors, likelihoods, posteriors, and credible intervals

  • Apply Bayesian methods in real-life contexts: medicine, A/B testing, machine learning, and more

  • Build intuitive understanding using visual examples and simplified models

  • Create your own Bayesian analysis from scratch using real or simulated data

Course Description:
Are you tired of memorizing p-values without really understanding what they mean? Do you want to make smarter, more informed decisions with data? Bayesian statistics is especially helpful when your sample size is small or uncertain!

Welcome to Master Bayesian Statistics: Thinking in Probabilities

This beginner-friendly course will walk you through the core concepts of Bayesian thinking - which is a powerful approach to statistics - and allows you to update your beliefs using real and important data to bring to you more accurate conclusions.

Whether you're a student, data analyst, researcher, or curious learner, you'll gain a clear understanding of priors, likelihood, posteriors, and how Bayesian logic works behind the scenes.

We’ll use easy-to-follow examples like:

  • Medical test accuracy

  • Coin tosses and beliefs

  • Hierarchical models like school test scores

  • Bayesian regression and decision-making

  • Real-world applications in AI, business, and health

No heavy math or coding is required to start. This course builds your intuition and confidence before we apply any tools like R.

By the end of this course, you will be able to:

  • Understand why Bayesian thinking matters

  • Know how to interpret uncertainty in a powerful new way

  • Be able to explain Bayesian ideas clearly to others

Now, let’s get started and level up your statistical thinking (the Bayesian way).

Who this course is for:

  • Students and researchers, data analysts and professionals, educators and instructors, lifelong learners