
Turn the Maplebridge headline question into a testable hypothesis. Use the worksheet to specify the proposed change, its mechanism, and what evidence would challenge it.
Specify the headline contrast, eligibility, assignment, purchase window, and validity checks. Use the Hypotheses Worksheet to document what would invalidate the comparison.
Calculate absolute and relative changes in clicks and purchases. Use the Metrics Worksheet to distinguish the primary outcome from diagnostic and protective measures.
Compare before-and-after, device-based, and concurrent randomized designs. Use the Comparison Design Worksheet to document alternative explanations and implementation checks.
Build a Maplebridge experiment brief with a clear decision, outcome, owner, and launch prerequisites. Use the Foundation Experiment Brief Worksheet to draft your plan.
Use baseline rates, the minimum meaningful effect, and eligible traffic to assess feasibility. Document your assumptions in the Sample Planning Worksheet.
Interpret the purchase-rate estimate and its uncertainty against the commercial threshold. Use the Analysis Worksheet to write a decision note.
Separate observations from inferences and unknowns. Use the Learning and Progress Worksheet to prioritize the next action and define a review trigger.
Compare account-level and salesperson-level assignment, weighing contamination against the number of independent units. Record your recommendation in the Comparative Application Worksheet.
Complete the experiment workshop by calculating the effect, checking the adoption rule, and documenting a recommendation. Use the Integrated Experiment Workshop Worksheet.
This course contains the use of artificial intelligence.
Everyone likes the campaign idea. The numbers move after launch. Before you spend more, can you tell what changed and whether the campaign caused it?
I’m Dr. Law Payne. My master’s degree in Business shapes how I approach these decisions. I designed this course for marketers, founders, growth teams and consultants who want to make a practical recommendation they can explain to a team.
Across ten lectures in two sections, you’ll learn to set hypotheses, choose comparison groups and interpret uncertain test results. In the foundations section, you’ll work through the evidence behind the first decision. The applied section gives you a second case with a different constraint, so you can see where the same reasoning holds and where the decision needs to change.
I designed the case exercises to give you a decision to make before you see the worked reasoning. In the final workshop, you’ll put the work together into an experiment brief with a hypothesis, metric, comparison and decision rule Write down which evidence supports your recommendation, where your assumptions might be wrong, and what you would check before acting.
Bring one decision you’re responsible for at work. Start with the first lecture, then use the case and workshop to practise explaining your recommendation in plain language. Enroll if you want a way to take the next decision from an open discussion to a concrete plan you can share with your team.