
Our virtual bank is open for business. We start with a simple balance sheet and examine where interest rate risk comes from and how changes in interest rates can affect the bank.
This gives us the foundation for understanding the more complex products and behaviours we will introduce later.
Explore a real bank’s financial statements and connect published figures to the different dimensions of IRRBB.
Understand the key assumptions behind NII@R and NPV/EVE@R and how they shape a bank’s interest-rate risk profile.
Now we add our first real product: current accounts. And we’ll see that there are two fundamentally different ways of thinking about what these deposits mean for a bank.
From an income perspective, investing current-account deposits long-term looked rather attractive. But what happens to the value of those investments when interest rates change?
So how do banks actually model current accounts? Let’s move from our two theoretical views to the best-practice approach used in IRRBB.
We now have everything we need to calculate the IRRBB profile of our current accounts. Let’s put the pieces together and see what happens to value when interest rates change.
How greed, fear, and circumstances tend to push banks toward a buy-high, sell-low pattern.
Compare published IRRBB profiles of European banks and discover a remarkably consistent pattern.
Understand why mortgages require behavioural modelling and explore the models needed across the mortgage life cycle.
Explore four key behavioural effects that drive mortgage prepayments and ultimately shape mortgage interest-rate risk.
Compare different approaches to calibrating prepayment models and explore why calibration can be surprisingly difficult.
Learn how stochastic valuation techniques turn modelled mortgage cash flows into an IRRBB profile.
Compare different approaches to hedging mortgage interest-rate risk, from cash-flow hedges to more sophisticated techniques.
Discover why mortgage optionality can create a recurring hedge-rebalancing problem—even with a good prepayment model.
Learn Interest Rate Risk in the Banking Book (IRRBB) by building a virtual bank from scratch.
Why can rising interest rates improve a bank’s income while reducing its economic value? Why are current accounts so difficult to model? And why is hedging mortgages more complicated than it first appears?
In this course, we explore these questions by building our own fictional bank, step by step.
Rather than starting with complex mathematics or regulatory definitions, we focus on economic intuition and practical banking decisions. As our bank grows, we introduce new products, discover the risks they create, and explore how banks measure, model and hedge those risks.
What will you learn?
IRRBB fundamentals: Net Interest Income (NII) at Risk, Economic Value of Equity (EVE) at Risk, and their role in Asset Liability Management (ALM).
Current accounts: Behavioural modelling of non-maturity deposits (NMDs), core deposits, replication portfolios and the trade-off between income stability and economic-value risk.
Mortgages: Prepayment modelling, seasoning, seasonality, refinancing incentives, burnout, mortgage valuation and negative convexity.
Hedging: Different approaches to managing interest-rate risk, from simple cash-flow hedging to more sophisticated strategies.
Along the way, we also explore the tragedy of current accounts and the tragedy of mortgages—two examples of how sensible banking decisions can lead to unexpected problems when interest rates change.
The course is organised into short, focused lessons, with practical examples and clear explanations rather than unnecessary mathematical complexity.
Who is this course for?
Professionals in ALM, treasury, risk management, banking supervision and consulting, as well as anyone interested in understanding how banks manage interest-rate risk.
Let’s start our bank!