How To Profit From Stock Market Volatility
- Stock and options trading experience is useful, but not necessary
- You will need a computer and internet connection
- You will need a broker with a live or practice account that allows short selling and the ability to purchase options
The key to making money from volatility trading consistently is to simply take advantage of volatility when it's high. If we wait long enough and manage our risk properly, we should be able to make money on every single trade we make. If we bet on a stock, we never know what it's long term direction will be with any certainty. If we get the direction wrong, we'll lose money. Volatility trading is different. We always know the long term direction is down. It's impossible to get it wrong!
If we try to play rising volatility, we'll be wrong some of the time. Worse yet, we'll be losing money to time decay if we use options. If we buy a volatility ETF, we'll lose money over time to ETF decay. Graph any volatility ETF over time and you'll see that they're all plagued by hideous decay, 30% per year or more. If we bet against volatility, on the other hand, we'll have this long term decay pattern working with us instead of against us. That gives us a trade setup with 2
extremely powerful factors working in our favor: dropping volatility AND ETF decay.
Finally, before you place your volatility trade, it's important to know if you're facing a recession, or just a short term pullback in a bull market. A short term pullback is usually over in a few weeks. If a recession unfolds, you'll want to wait for higher VIX levels before placing your trade and expect to be in the trade much longer. How much longer depends on the situation. Fortunately, you won't need a full market recovery for volatility to drop. Once the market settles down, your trade will become profitable. Throughout the course, I'll show you some of things to watch out for, and some of the techniques I use for analyzing volatility trades. We'll go over the difference between short term pull backs and recessions and I'll walk you through the volatility events from 2016. Finally, I'll show you how to set up your first trade and give you some methods for managing your risk.
Who this course is for:
- This course is for investors or traders who want to add a new trading strategy to their arsenal
- 00:14My Best Ideas
- 03:10Short selling and the cost to borrow
- 05:38Options basics
- 02:07The VIX and Volatility
- 09:36Trading volatility events
- 05:44Setting up your first trade
- 04:08How to start making money right away
Peter Titus graduated from the University of Wisconsin- Madison with an engineering degree in 2003. He has been actively trading stocks and options since 2006 and has been building automated trading systems in Excel using Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) since 2009. He specializes in day trading stocks and ETFs.