
The course condenses observations from over 7500 days since 1990 to reveal how Nifty moves, including up moves, down moves, gaps, and probabilities verified across open, high, low, and close.
Explore how option buyers and writers shape profits and risks in Nifty options, including intrinsic and time value, cash settlement, and hedged strategies for buying or selling.
Explore how Nifty moves from the opening price within a day, focusing on January 2017 onwards, typical intraday ranges, and probabilities of 0.5%, 1%, and 2% moves.
Learn to use exponential moving averages—5-day, 10-day, and 21-day EMAs—and gauge distance from the five-day EMA to anticipate price movement and trading opportunities.
Explore how the 10-day EMA, 5-day EMA, and 21-day EMA shape Nifty moves. Learn mean reversion near the 10 EMA and a ten-day strategy with 2% thresholds.
Understand how India VIX measures market volatility and sentiment, establishing expected Nifty ranges and guiding trading strategies through fear index insights.
Explore how India VIX levels signal market conditions and guide option strategies, from option selling in low volatility to buying cash near extremes for potential market bottoms.
Examine weekly Nifty moves within a 3% range from expiry to expiry, noting 58% stay within ±2% and 43% outside; compare 3% out-of-the-money selling with ATM strategies under India VIX.
Understand how Nifty moves after a big day, with 1% and 2% thresholds predicting tomorrow's open relative to today's close, and why traders square positions overnight.
Learn how butterfly, condor, and debit spreads work on Nifty, guided by ten-day ema and vix levels. Explore risk-reward, break-even points, and delivery considerations for expiry dynamics.
Analyze monthly Nifty moves, noting 20% moves are rare and 5% moves occur frequently, then apply strategies like long iron butterfly and debit spreads to manage risk and potential returns.
this lecture explains nifty moves from open to close, shows most days stay within 1%, and proposes selling 1.5–2% otm calls and puts daily for the same week expiry.
Bank Nifty weekly moves stay within a 5% range; 3% moves occur about 38% of weeks, making option writing risky and debit spreads with ten EMA direction more reliable.
Analyze Bank Nifty monthly moves from open to close and apply profit-oriented strategies, such as buying monthly calls and puts, calendar spreads, and butterfly setups, for improved odds.
Learn to convert the annual India VIX to monthly by dividing by 3.46, and estimate Nifty's monthly move range around the current level, with limits applicable to Nifty only.
Compute weekly volatility by dividing annual volatility by the square root of 52 to estimate Nifty's weekly move within a 2.77% up or down range; monitor India VIX for deviations.
Use India VIX to calculate daily Nifty move limits around +/-1.26% for a VIX of 20, or about +/-1% for a VIX around 15, with stops beyond these levels.
Learn India VIX based long option strategies on Nifty, using bear put debit spreads and bull call debits, guided by ten day EMA signals and proper stop losses.
Explore net option selling strategies using India VIX based limits to profit from Nifty within a defined range, including short strangles, credit spreads, ladders, and ratio spreads.
Explore net neutral strategies with India VIX, including bull call butterfly, bear put butterfly, and long time butterfly, emphasizing risk control, premium dynamics, and profits in mildly directional markets.
Learn India VIX based day trading strategies for Nifty, calculating daily limits from annual VIX, selling calls and puts near limits, and applying 15-minute and hourly methods with stop-loss rules.
Explore India VIX day trading strategies part b by selling call and put near the upper and lower limits, closing at expiry to collect premium.
Explore India VIX related day trading strategies using hourly and 15 minute volatility limits derived from annual volatility, achieving high success rates and reliable short-term target ranges.
Learn the concept of gaps, including bull and bear gaps, and how pre-open sessions made gaps common. Understand that gaps may or may not act as support or get filled.
Explore how gaps appear in price action, including partial gaps, full bull gaps, and full bear gaps, defined by today’s open relative to yesterday’s close, high, and low.
Understand four gap types at open: partial bull, full bull, partial bear, and full bear gaps, and impact on Nifty moves. Naked calls outperform puts; avoid naked positions at close.
Explore how nifty gaps at open behave across bullish and bearish categories, with probabilities of same-day gap filling and practical profit-booking guidance.
Assess gap up or gap down probabilities and expected magnitudes for tomorrow, using today's red or green candle and yesterday's close to guide long or short positions in trending markets.
How Does Nifty Move is a statistical analysis of how has the Indian stock market index, Nifty, moved in the last 30 years, under different circumstances. Sometimes there is a gap up or a gap down opening. Where do we expect nifty to go from here? we are confused. If today Nifty has formed a long bullish candle, should I leave my position open or should I get out before the market closes? If there was a sell off today, is Nifty likely to open up or open down tomorrow? Should I be short in my position, or is getting out today itself likely to give me more money?
This knowledge will naturally be of immense help to the traders, in taking decisions about how is Nifty likely to move in the near future. Can we find out the tentative limits for Nifty in the morning itself? Where is Nifty likely to remain in a day, in a week or in the month? In the next hour, or in the next 15 minutes? That also with a good success rate? How useful would that knowledge be? What would be the best strategy in different circumstances? All this and much more is covered in this course. Obviously, this course is an absolute must for every trader in Nifty.
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