
What is risk?
Exposure to negative elements, losses; Volatility, uncertain value; “Risk-free-returns” - there are none!; comparing outcomes; counting
Understanding risk
Known/unknown/manageable/unmanageable
Risks always multiple, never isolated.
4 Types of Risk
Liquidity Risk
Credit Risk
Market Risk
Operational Risk
Asset Liquidity Risk
not being able to buy or sell an asset in totality at the required moment
Liability liquidity risk
not having enough liquid assets (cash) to be able to meet obligations (suppliers, debtors of all kinds) at the right time
What is Market Risk?
Assets, transactions
Management, hedging
Hedgeable Markets
Analysis
What are the risks?
Tools
Equities
Bonds
Foreign Exchange (Spot and forward)
Futures (On all the above)
Swaps
Options (On all the above inc futures)
What is Credit Risk?
Credit
Counterparty Risk
Intermediary Counterparty Risk
Credit Ratings
Risk Analysis
Controls & Solutions
What is Operational Risk?
People
Psychology
Processes
Security & Fraud
Tulips in Amsterdam - 1637
Charles Ponzi - 1920
Wall Street Crash - 1929
Black Monday - 1987
RJR Nabisco - 1988
Baring’s - 1995
LTCM - 1998
Enron - 2001
Worldcom - 2002
Societe Generale x Kerviel - 2008
FTX - 2023
Bitcoin? VIX? XIV? ETFs?
Others...
Multiple risk situations
Supplier payment risks
Acquisitions: hidden risks
Subsidiaries, geopolitical situations, other countries
Start-up risks: Funding
Start-up Risks: Cash burn, start up costs
Start-up Risks: Under/over funding and spending
Background
Story
What are the risks? Can we control?
Background
Story
What are the risks? Can we control?
Background
Story
What are the risks? Can we control?
1. What is risk?
2. Liquidity Risk
3. Market Risk
4. Financial Products
5. Credit Risk
6. Operational Risk
7. Historical Examples
8. Multiple Risk Situations
9. FRM Case Study: Overseas acquisition
10. FRM Case Study: Robinhood x Gamestop 2020
11. FRM Case Study: Charles Ponzi 1920
Course Objective
To simplify Financial Risk Management
To teach you about the different financial risks and products.
To give you an overview of risks, tools and work through some real examples
Try to (very quickly) give you a framework/way of thinking for financial risk analysis and management
To NOT get “bogged-down” in details and calculations
The course includes the following subjects:
1. What is Risk?
2. Liquidity Risk
3. Market Risk
4. Financial Products
5. Credit Risk
6. Operational Risk
7. Historical Crisis Examples
8. Multiple Risk Situations
9. FRM Case Study: Overseas acquisition
10. FRM Case Study: Robinhood x Gamestop 2020
11. FRM Case Study: Charles Ponzi 1920
Financial Risk Management is about identifying potential risks and their likelihood. The potential financial risks in business and life are numerous but being able to estimate the likelihood and potential impact of a risk allows us to make positive decisions in the face of uncertainty. After studying this course you should have all the mental tools required to be able to make better business decisions in the face of risky situations.
After you have completed the course I look forward to hearing your thoughts and any questions you may have so that we can learn together, and that I can improve and update the course as and when necessary.