
Develop a credit risk scorecard in R programming by exploring the data frame, preparing data, splitting training and test sets, and evaluating performance with roc and auc.
Explore a 20-variable credit dataset in RStudio, distinguishing independent attributes from the dependent loan performance (0 = bad, 1 = good) to lay groundwork for credit risk modeling.
Select and preprocess the bank credit scoring data, then build a classification model using training and test sets and evaluate predictions with metrics like confusion matrix and ROC AUC.
Explore how to select data and predictor variables for a credit risk scorecard, using logistic regression to model the probability of default with borrower information, credit history, and behavioral data.
Import the bank credit scoring data into R Studio, inspect 1000 observations across 21 variables, identify numeric and categorical types, and check for missing values and outliers.
Preprocess the data by removing outliers and missing values, using imputation as needed, convert integers to factors, and keep only categorical features, yielding a 1000-observation, 18-variable credit_data_new.
Split the credit data into training and testing sets in R using the sample command, with 70% for training and 30% for testing, to build and validate the model.
Develops a scorecard in R by building a logistic regression model with GLM to predict loan default from variables like account balance and loan purpose, using training and testing data.
Develop a logistic regression model to predict default probabilities using five categorical variables, estimate coefficients via glm, and use predict to classify new applicants with a 0.6 threshold.
Fit a logistic regression model to predict default probabilities, then classify new borrowers with a 0.6 threshold and convert results to a binary factor for evaluation and plotting.
Create prediction and performance objects in R using the OCR package to evaluate a logistic regression model, plot ROC curves, and assess accuracy and area under the curve.
Explore the confusion matrix as a tool to evaluate a classification model, detailing true positives, true negatives, false positives, false negatives, and metrics like accuracy, recall, precision, and f-score.
Evaluate a credit risk scorecard with AUC and ROC curves to assess model performance, interpreting sensitivity and specificity for separating good and bad borrowers.
Plot ROC curves in R studio, with FPR on the x-axis and TPR on the y-axis, and compute AUC to assess a credit risk scorecard; higher AUC indicates better discrimination.
Compute the model's overall accuracy using acc dot perf and the performance function, then use the caret package to generate a confusion matrix revealing sensitivity, specificity, and more.
The "Developing Credit Risk Scorecard using R Programming" course is designed to equip participants with the necessary knowledge and skills to build robust credit risk scorecards using the R programming language. Credit risk scorecards are vital tools used by financial institutions to assess the creditworthiness of borrowers and make informed lending decisions. This course will take participants through the entire process of developing a credit risk scorecard, from data preprocessing and feature engineering to model development, validation, and deployment.
Course Objectives: By the end of this course, participants will:
Understand the fundamentals of credit risk assessment and the role of scorecards in the lending process.
Be proficient in using R programming for data manipulation, visualization, and statistical analysis.
Learn how to preprocess raw credit data and handle missing values, outliers, and data imbalances.
Master various feature engineering techniques to create informative variables for credit risk modeling.
Gain hands-on experience in building and optimizing predictive models for credit risk evaluation.
Learn how to validate credit risk scorecards using appropriate techniques to ensure accuracy and reliability.
Understand the best practices for scorecard implementation and monitoring.
Target Audience: This course is ideal for data analysts, risk analysts, credit risk professionals, and anyone interested in building credit risk scorecards using R programming.
Note: Participants should have access to a computer with R and RStudio installed to fully engage in the hands-on exercises and projects throughout the course.