
We begin with a little intro into the course as well as some general info on how the course is organized
A few words about your humble teacher
Here I will show you how the course is organized and how you can make the most out of it
Here I will show you what to do if a blurry image appears
Here I will show you how to find additional resources attached to the course like Excel files, presentations, links, etc.
In the second section I will show you the essential tools that we will use to make decisions. I will show you what NPV, IRR, time value of money is. Later on we will go through 5 cases where we will apply this frameworks to make specific decisions on whether investment makes sense or not
In this lecture, we will discuss the time value of money in other words what is the difference in value between 100 USD received today and 100 USD received tomorrow
In this lecture, I will show you how to calculate the time value of money in Excel
In this lecture, we will discuss what NPV - Net Present Value is and how to use it in practice
NPV stands for Net Present Value
NPV is the difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows over a period of time, usually related to some investment
It’s used to determine whether something (action, investment, etc.) makes sense or not
NPV enables you to make decisions about a specific investment. We will discuss how to use that as well. Later on, we will use this concept extensively to make decisions about investments
In this lecture, we will discuss what NPV - Net Present Value is and how to use it in practice
NPV stands for Net Present Value
NPV is the difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows over a period of time, usually related to some investment
It’s used to determine whether something (action, investment, etc.) makes sense or not
NPV enables you to make decisions about a specific investment. We will discuss how to use that as well. Later on, we will use this concept extensively to make decisions about investments
Linked to NPV is the so-called IRR. We will discuss it in this lecture:
IRR stands for Internal Rate of Return
IRR is a discount rate that makes the net present value (NPV) of all cash flows from a particular project equal to zero
IRR tells us how much you would have to earn on a savings account every year to get the same results as from the investment you are analyzing
In this lecture, I will show you how to use the NPV in practice in Excel.
We will start by sharing some general thoughts on investments, why we do them, and what we want to achieve. We will use this to later on define the way we calculate the expected returns and to check whether the investment makes sense or not
We will have a look how to calculate whether an invesment that replaces current asset makes sense. Here we will use the cases study of sanding machine in the plywood
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
Some investments are required by the customer. Such cases study we will analyze in the next few lectures. Our customers asked us to invest in PET (plastic bottles) lines. In next lectures we will analyze whether this investment makes sense
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
Different animals are the investment in bottlenecks. Here, we don't look at cost savings but rather the greater impact we can make on the EBITDA. This is what we will analyze in the next few lectures.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In the next lectures we will see how to calculate whether an investment that will help us save costs makes sense or not. This time around we will do it for a retailer and we will see whether investment in LED bulbs makes economic sense
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In the next lectures, we will see how to calculate whether an investment that will help us save costs makes sense or not. This time around, we will do it for a ceramic tile producer. We will see whether an investment in robots makes sense
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
In this lecture, we will solve the previously introduced case study.
Quiten often you have to compare different options and pick the best one. In this section I will show you different methods. You will learn the following things:
Total cost of ownership
Case Study – rent or buy a house
Case Study – how to shorten the lifespan of a product
Case Study – is better to sell a product or a service
Here we will discuss a very useful concept that is used in business and should be also used when making serious long-term decisions the so called the total cost of ownership
Let’s imagine that Peter is considering 2 choice: buying an apartment or renting it. Let’s use the total cost of ownership to see what makes sense.
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
Imagine that you are working for a ceramic tiles producer that wants to change the frequency at which customers are remodeling its houses. Your task is to analyze and decide which way is the best
There are some standard ways to make people shorten the lifespan. In this lecture we will discuss them
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
More and more SMCG businesses are considering switching from just selling the product and loosing track of the customer to selling service which usually, helps you increase your link with your customer base and earn more at the same time
More and more SMCG businesses are considering switching from just selling the product and loosing track of the customer to selling service which usually, helps you increase your link with your customer base and earn more at the same time
Here I will introduce the case study of a smart phone producer that wants to shift from product sales to service sales. We will be solving the case study in the next few lectures
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this section I will show you how to use rankings to make decisions. We will see how to enter other coutries using rankings and finding the most promising markets. We will use also use rankings to rank potential boyfriends
Creating an expansion strategy requires you to do a number of things. I will show you in this lecture how to approach this subject
In this lecture I will start the case study that we will be solving for the next few lectures. Imagine that you are a Spanish fashion retailer and you want to figure out which countries you should enter. Therefore, you prepare a ranking of countrires that show attractivness and the size of each and every market.
In this lecture I will show you the data you need for this case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
Let’s have a look at a milk producer that wants to expand its product range. In this case, you will be asked to analyze and find the best candidates for brand expansions.
In this lecture, I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures.
In this lecture, I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures.
In this lecture, I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures.
As a manager, you will quite often have to decide whether to do something internally or buy it from 3rd party supplier. In this case, you have to perform a make-or-buy analysis. We will discuss this in detail in this section
We are back to Maria. Using the previous case study we will try to decide which activities she should delegate using the make-or-buy analysis.
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
In this lecture I will show you the solution to previously introduced case study
Imagine that you have to analyze for a consulting firm whether it makes sense or not to produce an online course devoted to Data Science. In this lecture, I will show you a few pieces of information about the firm that we will use to pick the optimal solution.
In this lecture we will solve previously introduce case study. We will have a look at the make option
In this lecture we will solve previously introduce case study. We will have a look at the buy option and we will compare make and buy options.
In this lecture we will solve previously introduce case study. We will have a look at the buy option and we will compare make and buy options.
In some cases even if it is more expensive to make than to buy it still makes sense to make:
There is no content on the right level
Your standard differs from the general standards
You treat the teaching system also as a standardization tool
You grow drastically in terms of people
You want to keep the knowledge to yourself
There are no specialists in a specific area
Legal reasons & NDAs
As a manager quite often you will have to somehow take into account the uncertainty. In this section we will see how we can take it into account to make better decisions. We will discuss here: voting models, backward logic, strategic alignment framework, value proposition framework, portfolio decision framework
Quite often you have to make important decision faced with uncertainty. In those situation it is very useful to apply the so called decision tree. In this lecture I will show you how to use this technique
Quite often you have to make important decision faced with uncertainty. In those situation it is very useful to apply the so called decision tree. In this lecture I will show you how to use this technique
Let's see how you can use the scenario analysis to deal with uncertainty. Here I will explain what it is and later on we will use it in a cases study
Price formula in B2B services can drastically impact the margins and net profit. In this lecture we will go through a case that will show you how to approach analysis of price formula with uncertainty on the scenario that will happen
In this lecture I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures
In this lecture I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures
A lot of decisions can be made using voting. The are 4 main things you have to decide on:
What is the majority rule / threshold to vote in favor of an option?
How many votes each person eligible to vote has?
Are all votes treated equally or some people have preferred votes?
Does anybody have the veto right?
We will discuss in this lecture some examples of voting systems
Imagine that you have to decide which new type of aircraft to start servicing
We will first vote on Dreamliner B787
We will use 3 different models of voting
We will also see how the many vote model works
In this lecture I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures
In this lecture I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures
In this lecture I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures
In this lecture I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures
In this lecture, I show backward thinking /induction. This approach enables you to design the whole process, company on the basis of the expected outcome
Let’s try to put the backward reasoning to practice. In this case study we will use it to decide what effort has to be done to 10x the current business. A few information about the retailer
He has currently 100 stores. Each store sales are equal to EUR 2 M
He wants to 10x the business up to Year 5
Estimate what LFL growth he must get and how many stores he must open
Assuming EUR 1 M per store estimate the Capex
Estimate how many people he has to recruit assuming 6 people per store
In this lecture I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures
Backward logic can be used in many situations. Below some of them
You have a clear goal in the future but not a clear path towards it
You want to estimate the pace needed to reach the goal
You want to check the implications for you or your department
You want to see what are the limitations preventing you from reaching the goal
You want to see whether the goal is not too ambitious
You want to see whether the goal does not require too big resources
In the strategic alignment framework, we divide projects into 4 groups using 2 criteria:
Is it aligned with the overall strategy?
Estimated impact
I will show you in the next lectures how to use this in practice.
Imagine that you have to help a producer of products from milk to decide which projects he should implement and which to neglect
A few pieces of information about the firm
They want to 3x EBITDA in 5 years
They have defined a strategy for the next 5 years
They have 10 projects that they consider
Let's help them select projects given their strategy
In this lecture, I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures.
In this lecture, I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures.
The strategic alignment framework can be used in many situations. Below are some of them
You have many projects
Projects were generated by different departments
Projects are not necessarily aligned with the strategy
You have limited resources (money & people)
The organization has to be focused
There are many stakeholders
In the value proposition alignment framework you select projects that will be the most efficient in improving customer satisfaction
Below how you should use the value proposition alignment framework to make the decisions
Define the customer segment
Define the value proposition for the segment
Pick the metric & measure the current state
List projects that will improve the situation
Select projects and implement
Now let’s help Fast Food Salad Chain pick the right projects to improve the customer value proposition.
A few information about the salad chain
100 location in Easter Europe
Their NPS is currently 30%
They want to improve the NPS to 50%
They are analyzing 6 different projects
In this lecture, I will show you the data you will need to solve the case study
In this lecture I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures
In this lecture I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures
In this lecture I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures
Let's see when it makes sense to use the value proposition framework
In many cases, you don’t have to be right on every decision but only on average. In this case, portfolio decision making comes in handy
Below how you should use portfolio management to make decisions
List potential projects you consider
Estimate their potential impacts & probabilities
Group them by risk groups
Define the number of projects you will invest in
Pick the projects diversifying the risk
Let’s have a look at a plywood producer that considers 15 different projects
3 plants
They have 15 investment ideas
Use portfolio management to decide which one to pick
You cannot spend more than EUR 30 M
In this lecture I will show the data available for the case study that you will need to solve the case
In this lecture, I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures
In this lecture I will show you how to solve the case shown in the previous lectures
What is the aim of this course?
As a manager, you will be tempted to trust your gut and use your experience to decide what and how to do it. Quite often, this approach may be misleading. It is much better to use a data-driven approach, and before you make the decisio,n look at the potential consequences. In this course, I will show you how to make more rational choices as a manager using Excel. We will go through a lot of case studies that will help you master this skill.
In the course, you will learn the following things:
How to be data-driven in solving problems
How to make better decisions using Excel
How to handle uncertainty when you are making decisions
Which method, or framework, should you use in a specific situation
This course is based on my 15 years of experience as a consultant in top consulting firms and as a Board Member responsible for strategy, performance improvement, and turn-arounds in the biggest firms from the Retail, FMCG, SMG, B2B, and services sectors that I worked for. I have carried out or supervised over 90 different performance improvement projects in different industries that generated a total of 2 billion in additional EBITDA. On the basis of what you will find in this course, I have trained in person over 100 consultants, business analysts, and managers who are now Partners in PE and VC funds, Investment Directors and Business Analysts in PE and VC, Operational Directors, COO, CRO, CEO, Directors in Consulting Companies, Board Members, etc. On top of that, my courses on Udemy were already taken by more than 315 000 students, including people working in EY, Walmart, Booz Allen Hamilton, Adidas, Naspers, Alvarez & Marsal, PwC, Dell, Walgreens, Orange, and many others.
I teach through case studies, so you will have a lot of lectures showing examples of analyses and tools that we use. To every lecture, you will find attached (in additional resources) the Excel files, as well as additional presentations, and materials shown in the lectures, so as a part of this course, you will also get a library of ready-made analyses that can, with certain modifications, be applied by you or your team in your work.
Why have I decided to create this course?
I had the pleasure to support numerous Managers, Directors, COOs, and CEOs, and I have noticed that making decisions is a complicated process that requires a lot of data and the right approach to balancing the pros and cons. You also have to take into account the uncertainty that managers have to deal with on a daily basis. When you transition from a specialist to a manager or a director, usually nobody shows you how to make decisions using a data-driven approach. We will try to fix this gap. This course will help you master numerous techniques that will make your life easier and help you make the right decisions.
To sum it up, I believe that if you want to be a successful manager and CEO, you should master techniques and frameworks that will help you make better decisions. I will show in this course numerous useful methods and will teach how to use them in practice. That is why. I highly recommend this course not only to young managers and entrepreneurs but also to senior managers who want to learn a data-driven approach to decision-making.
In what way will you benefit from this course?
The course is a practical, step-by-step guide loaded with tons of analyses, tricks, and hints that will significantly improve the speed of analyzing and making decisions. There is little theory – mainly examples, a lot of tips from my own experience, as well as other notable examples worth mentioning. Our intention is that, thanks to the course, you will learn:
How to be data-driven in solving problems
How to make better decisions using Excel
How to handle uncertainty when you are making decisions
Which method, or framework, should you use in a specific situation
You can also ask me any questions either through the discussion field or by messaging me directly.
How is the course organized?
The course is currently divided into the following sections:
Introduction. We begin with a little intro to the course, as well as some general info on how the course is organized
Basic tools to make decisions. In the second section, I will show you the essential tools that we will use to make decisions. I will show you what NPV, IRR, and time value of money are. Later on, we will go through 5 cases where we will apply this framework to make specific decisions on whether the investment makes sense or not
Option comparison. In this section, I will show you how to compare different options. We will go through 3 cases: how to shorten the lifespan of a product, whether it makes sense to transition from selling a product to selling a service (SMCG), and what is a better choice, to rent or to buy an apartment.
Rankings. In this section, I will show you how to use rankings in practice. In one case, we will analyze entering foreign markets. In the second example, we will use the framework to pick the perfect boyfriend for a friend
Make-or-buy Analysis. As a manager, you will quite often have to decide whether to do something internally or buy it from a 3rd-party supplier. In these cases, you have to perform a make-or-buy analysis. We will discuss this in detail in this section
What to do when there is a lot of uncertainty. As a manager, quite often you will have to somehow take into account the uncertainty. In this section, we will see how we can take it into account to make better decisions. We will discuss here: voting models, backward logic, strategic alignment framework, value proposition framework, portfolio decision framework
You will also be able to download many additional resources
Ready-made analyses that you can use for your firm
Tools that you can use for your firm
List of useful resources
Links to additional presentations, articles, and movies
Links to books worth reading
At the end of my course, students will be able to…
Make much better decisions as a Manager
Master a data-driven approach to decision making
Analyze any decision in Excel using a data-driven approach
Carry out a make-or-buy analysis
Analyze different scenarios in Excel
Analyze in Excel potential investments and strategic decisions, and pick the best option for your business
Who should take this course? Who should not?
Managers who want to make better decisions
Owners of small and mid-sized businesses
Management Consultants and Business Analysts
Startup Founders
What will students need to know or do before starting this course?
Basic or intermediate Excel
Basic knowledge of economics or finance