
Learn the basic tools of risk management, including the risk formula, risk modeling, and risk registers. Explore data types and origins, confidence, and risk resolution to curb risk sprawl.
Explore the risk formula, linking likelihood and impact to assess risk with threats and assets as context. Focus on managing negative outcomes and the role of vulnerability and distributions.
Explore how risk scenarios model multiple threats and vulnerabilities, and manage time, forecast and validity periods within a risk register to handle explosive data growth.
Define risk resolution through expanding scenarios and data to reveal a vivid risk landscape. Balance objective data with cautious confidence to avoid tainting risk pictures and misinformed decisions.
This section introduces the concepts of Expected Loss as distinct from Risk using a visual risk model. The difference between Expected Loss and Risk emerge from a discussion about the heat maps. Finally, a simple risk model shows how drastically theoretical values can differ from reality.
Walk through Python risk models, learn how seeds produce reproducible results and how removing them changes distributions, with uniform vs normal distributions and risky thresholds.
After completing this course, risk professionals will be able to identify and improve existing data-driven risk management programs and improve communication with decision making stakeholders. Budding risk analysts will get a solid education in the most overlooked and misunderstood elements of data-driven risk management. The course culminates in a brief introduction to modeling risk using Python notebooks — source code included.
Applications: Supply Chain Risk, Cyber Risk, Medical & Health Risk, Insurance, and Business Risk.
Risk Analysis - Part One
Introduces the world class instructor, the basic tools of risk management, and the macro-scale problems risk practitioners face. Topics include:
The Risk Formula as a wireframe for risk modeling as well as commonly encountered variations of the formula.
Risk Scenarios and Risk Registers as basic organizational and data capture techniques.
Time is an implied and often overlooked element of risk analysis.
Data Types and Data Origin which are the foundation of data interpretation.
Confidence and Certainty that characterize overlooked issues with accuracy and precision.
And finally,
Risk Resolution is introduced to explain and communicate the problem of risk sprawl.
Risk Analysis - Part Two
Covers more advanced fundamentals, such as:
Risk vs. Expected Loss
Expected vs. Actual Loss
Data Types and Data Sources - Understand and interpret data.
Heat Maps
It also introduces risk modeling in Python and a walk though of the course code.