
In this lecture you make the call that comes before every other call under pressure: whether to decide today with what you have, or to wait for more.
This course is built from six disciplines: critical thinking, personality typologies, risk management, delegation, time management and crisis decisions.
The map of the course
A simple dictionary for reading lectures from other fields as decision work
Three questions to ask after every lecture
A short self-diagnostic that shows which sections to watch first
Download the Decide or Wait Sheet and fill it in for your own decision.
What it is, and why it is not the same as being sceptical
How it differs from logical and from creative thinking
Its role in decisions with consequences
The basic principles: objectivity, rationality, evidence
Deduction, induction and abduction, and when each is appropriate
What makes an argument strong or weak
Building one that survives challenge
Recognising the standard errors in reasoning
What a cognitive bias is, mechanically
Confirmation bias, anchoring and framing
How they change what counts as a fact for you
Practical techniques for reducing their effect
Telling a fact from an opinion under time pressure
Verifying accuracy before you act
Primary against secondary sources
Fact-checking as a working habit rather than a project
Decision models: OODA, Cynefin, cost against benefit
Matching the model to the kind of situation you are in
Managing risk when the information is incomplete
Cases from business and from ordinary life
Applying it in work, learning and personal decisions
Critical thinking inside a negotiation
Its connection to creativity rather than its opposition
Building your own development plan
Where personality typology came from, and Jung's contribution
The four classic scales
How the testing works, and what each type describes
Using a result without over-reading it
Where the methodology came from and what it measures
How the testing works
Working with someone who decides at a different speed than you
Using it as a basis for adapting rather than labelling
What separates this from the others
How each type operates when a decision is required
The weaknesses built into every type, including yours
Recognising a type in conversation without any test
The core of Belbin's approach and the roles it names
What a balanced decision-making group looks like
Where the Hogan assessment differs, especially under stress
Where to take these, and how to read the report
What makes this model different, and better evidenced
Where to take it
Using it at work
How it compares with the others in this section
How it differs from what came before
Where to take the test
Working with the result
Applying it without turning it into astrology
Decision making as the origin of most organisational failure
What the global financial crisis exposed
What people risks are, and why they are counted separately
The current research
The risk heat map, and scoring onto it defensibly
The fraud triangle: pressure, opportunity, rationalisation
The safety triangle
A full worked example
How decisions get made under pressure specifically
The cognitive biases that survive any amount of process
Conflict of interest, and how it hides in plain sight
Real examples, and what they had in common
The 4I model
What an incident indicates beyond itself
Risk at individual, company and industry level
The standard in plain terms
The risk hierarchy, and internal against external risk
Finding and assessing without turning it into theatre
Eliminating, reducing and escalating: which decisions are not yours
Management maturity, and how to judge it
The dynamics inside a leadership team under stress
The role of the chief executive
The signs that appear before the failure does
Cultural context, and why the same rule works differently in two companies
Building a culture where bad news travels up
Company values, and whether anyone acts on them
Trust as an operating variable
The model, and the usual confusion about the second line
Practical risk reduction
The high-reliability organisation and what it does differently
Running this with a small team
Making the invisible visible
The specific moves that improve a decision process
A decision-making checklist you can apply immediately
The code of conduct, and what it must say to be usable
The job description as a decision-rights document
Naming an owner for every call
What delegation does to your own effectiveness
The psychological barriers, and the myths behind them
Formulating a task in SMART form so it can be handed over
The Eisenhower matrix, and what not delegating costs you in stress
The stages from choosing a task to confirming it is done
RACI so responsibility is unambiguous
Tracking handed-over work
Giving feedback that does not undo the handover
This course contains the use of artificial intelligence.
Bad decisions under pressure are rarely made by people who were not clever enough. They are made by the wrong person, at the wrong moment, on whatever information happened to be nearest.
What actually goes wrong
Four failures, and they compound. The reasoning is distorted before it starts, because anchoring and framing are not character flaws — they are how the equipment works, including yours. The call is taken by whoever is available rather than whoever should own it, and nobody defined an escalation threshold in advance, so it is defined afterwards by the outcome. Attention has already been spent on things that were urgent and unimportant, so the decision that mattered gets the last twenty minutes of a Thursday. And a large share of what looks like bad judgement is not judgement at all — it is postponement, which feels like prudence right up until the options run out.
What this course covers
Thirty-eight lessons across those four failures. The reasoning first: deduction, induction and abduction, strong and weak arguments, the standard errors, confirmation bias, anchoring and framing, telling fact from opinion under time pressure, and decision models — OODA, Cynefin, cost against benefit — matched to the kind of situation you are in. Then how different people decide: MBTI, DISC, PAEI, Belbin's roles, the Hogan assessment which is specifically informative under stress, and the Big Five, including how to read a type in conversation. Then the risk frame: the heat map, the fraud triangle, conflict of interest, the 4I model, ISO 31000, the risk hierarchy, escalation and which calls are not yours to make, warning signs inside a leadership team, culture as a control, the three lines of defence, and a decision-making checklist. Then ownership: why capable people do not delegate, SMART, RACI, what not delegating costs, and buying back the hours you need to think. Then priority: the Eisenhower matrix, do-defer-delegate-delete, time blocking, and the psychology of procrastination. Finally the hardest version — deciding with no resources: hiring in uncertainty, reducing pay and benefits in the least damaging order, choosing who leaves and on what defensible basis, delivering the news, and rebuilding stability.
A note on two blocks
The risk block was recorded for a people-function audience, but the content is general: ISO 31000, the three lines of defence, the fraud triangle and the high-reliability organisation do not change by department, and that function appears in two lessons out of ten as an example of a risk owner. The final block is about crisis decisions and its examples are reductions, pay and benefits — it is the most honest material I have on choosing without resources, and also the most sector-specific. Both are worth knowing about before you start.
Who is teaching this
I am Mike. I built the people system at Preply as it became a unicorn, and I have worked at Wargaming, iDeals and Alfa-Bank. More than 1.6 million students have enrolled in my courses across 185 countries, and over 150,000 specialists have gone through my programmes. I hold PHRi and SHRM-CP certifications and represent HRCI in more than ten countries.
What is included
Lifetime access to all 38 lessons
Active instructor support in the Q&A section
A Udemy Certificate of Completion
Working models: OODA, Cynefin, the bias set, five personality frameworks, the heat map, the fraud triangle, ISO 31000, the three lines of defence, the decision checklist, RACI, the Eisenhower matrix, four-D
Direct treatment of the decisions people avoid describing in courses
Where to start
Take one decision you would make differently now. Then ask which of the four it was: distorted reasoning, wrong owner, wrong moment, or a decision you never actually made. Enrol now and start today.