
A little more into to my course.
This is a short two minute presentation. If you have already attended my other courses, you know about me. In that event you may skip this and move to the next.
Here I have explained the basic concepts of options first with a texts and then incorporating the same concept in a table. This is a must watch before development of the Black-Scholes-Merton model. The relevant PPT file is downloadable.
While opening the downloaded PPT file, click the "Read Only" button without putting any password. The file has no macros.
Here we shall get introduced to Call Option and Put Option, and understand how profits are made by buying or selling them. We shall also get introduced to American and European options. Black Scholes Merton model works only on European Options.
Here I am explaining the decay of option price over time, even if nothing else changes. This is called the theta effect or the theta decay.
Here I have discussed the effect of change in the price of the underlying on its put and call prices.
Here I am trying to explain volatility and effects of volatility in the prices of options.
Risk free rate of return is an important input in the model. Here we shall be discussing about the risk free rate of return.
Dividend Yield is an important input into the model only for dividend paying stock. Here we shall discuss the same.
Here I shall be explaining two important Excel functions, which are used in my Black-Scholes-Merton model. Getting clarity on these will help you to better understand my model in the subsequent lectures.
This lecture explains the NORMSDIST() function, which will be used in our main Black-Scholes-Merton model.
This is the core of the development of the models. All formula are open and discussed thoroughly. This is a bit along also because all aspects are developed. In the next lecture I have given away the model as a fully downloadable Excel file.
** Download the fully functional and auditable model here.You shall be able to view all the formulae.
Here I shall be retesting the model by taking very recent data from a different date. This is to establish the veracity of the model.
Here I am highlighting some of the limitations of Black-Scholes-Merton model. It is always useful to know limitations of any theory, so that we are not dogmatically driven, while looking at its practial application.
A short presentation on the lives of the three great theorists, who invented the model could be inspiring. It has been created with this objective in mind.
About the Course
This course has a single objective which is to build up an Excel based Black-Scholes-Metron Model used for option pricing and calculating option price on a future date. Two of the three persons after whom the model is named are winner of Nobel Memorial Prize for Economic Sciences. The third person would also have got the prize, but he died before the prize was announced and this prize is not given posthumously. Since 1973 till today this model is widely used by traders to understand movement of European Option price. I have developed this model in Excel and have back-tested with actual market data.
You can first understand the theory behind this model. Then you need to understand the difference between European and American stock options. Then you can understand three important Excel function NORMSDIST(), EXP() and LN(). If you are using the latest version of Excel you can use the NORM.S.DIST() function of Excel also. Then I shall take you through the concepts of Option Expiry Date, Option Valuation Date, Underlying Price, Exercise Price, Time to Maturity, Risk Free Rate of Interest, Dividend Yield and Volatility. Then I shall develop,step by step, the valuation model for both PUT and Call European options. Input in each cell will be explained and how they are linked with formula will also be explained. Finally you shall be able to download the entire spreadsheet and view all the formula that are working in the background. The beauty of this spreadsheet is, it has no user-defined functions and no macros. It works in all the versions of Excel from 2007 to any later version of Excel. In case of any difficulty I am always available through the Udemy system. I shall try to answer any query that you may have in 48 hours flat.
About the Black-Scholes-Merton model
Black-Scholes-Merton is a pricing model used to determine the fair price or theoretical value for an European call or a put option based on five variables such as volatility, underlying stock price, time to maturity, strike price, and risk-free rate of interest.
The Black-Scholes-Merton model assumes that stock prices follow a log normal distribution based on the principle that asset prices cannot take a negative value; they are bounded by zero.
The model assumes that the options can only be exercised on its expiration or maturity date. And so it is extensively used in the European options market. Hence, it does not accurately price American options.
The Excel functions used
Black-Scholes-Metron model tries to value the options, call and put, in a random walk situation. That is why it is anchored on the underlying stock price. To that it applies the concept of volatility, time to maturity, strike price and risk free rate of interest to arrive at the correct price of option. An additional input that is considered is dividend yield, in case of a dividend paying stock.
The probability of underlying stock price being higher or lower than the strike price determines a part of the option price. Hence the Excel function of NORMSDIST() or NORM.S.DIST() is used.
And the underlying stock price follows a log normal distribution and can never be zero. That is why Exp() and LN() functions are used.
Please follow the lessons sequentially only to get the full benefit of the course.
Ultimately, you shall get a downloadable fully developed model in Excel, which can be used at all times in the future. I shall not only develop the model, I shall show you how to use it.
Happy learning !