
In this first lesson, we will review the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and also learn:
Value is what a security should be worth after careful analysis.
Price is what the market says it’s worth.
Classical finance (CAPM) says value = price always!!!
Behavioral finance say value = price generally, but not always.
In this lesson, we begin to question the three assumptions of efficient markets. Here, we learn (and question) that:
Security prices should respond quickly and accurately to new information.
Everyone agrees on how to interpret the news.
All simulated trading strategies should fail over time.
Charts in this video are included in the notes.
In this lesson, we review the three forms of market efficiency:
Strong form
Semi-strong form
Weak form
In this lesson, we learn why the battle between classical and behavioral finance continues after decades of arguments on each side: The joint hypothesis problem!
Background: Behavioral Finance believes that financial markets are generally efficient. But, we have some challenges to semi-strong efficiency, which assumes the only way to beat the market is through private information.
In this lesson, we learn about small cap stocks versus large cap stocks.
In this lesson, we learn that historically, value stocks outperform growth stocks.
We learn how to identify value and growth stocks, both informally and formally.
In this lesson, we learn that Low P/E ratios outperform stocks with High P/E ratios.
In this lesson, we learn that high performing stocks (last 6-12 months) have historically outperformed low performing stocks (last 6-12 months) over the next 6-12 months.
In this lesson, we learn the low performing stocks (last 3-5 years) outperform high performing stocks (last 3-5 years) over the 3-5 years.
In this lesson, we learn that people tend to overreact to abnormally positive and negative earnings announcements. Defined as 25-50%+ higher or lower expected earnings results compared to analyst estimates.
In this lesson, we learn that stocks tend to post significantly higher returns on Friday than any other trading days.
Furthermore, Monday’s post significantly lower returns than any other trading days.
In this lesson, we learn that stocks post significantly higher returns on the last trading day of each month through the first three trading days of the next month (four trading days total) compared to all other trading days.
Stocks also post abnormally higher returns on the last trading week of each year through the first two weeks of January (three weeks total) compared to all other trading weeks.
In this lesson, we learn about the holiday effect as well as the Halloween Effect.
In this lesson, we learn about asset bubble and how to identify them in various markets.
Please take a look at the first three exercises attached in the supplemental materials and refer to the solution videos for clarification on the answers and explanation for each exercise.
This video explains the solutions for the momentum and contrarian strategy case studies in exercises 4 and 5.
Are markets efficient? The answer to this question is not as simple as "yes" or "no". This course unpacks the various forms of market efficiency and outlines ten popular market efficiency challenges (anomalies). We conclude by discussing how to act on these results based on your new beliefs.
Course Outline
Capital Asset Pricing Model Review
Begin to Question some of the efficient market assumptions
Three Forms of Market Efficiency
Joint Hypothesis Problem
Ten Challenges to Market Efficiency - We discuss each anomaly, explain why each challenges market efficiency, and conclude with best practices on how to invest in each strategy if you believe the anomaly to maintain its excess returns in the future.
1. Small vs. large cap stocks
2. Value vs. Growth Stocks
3. Price/Earnings ratios
4. Momentum Investing
5. Contrarian Investing
6. Earnings Announcement Momentum
7. Weekend and Monday effects
8.+9. Turn-of-the-month (and year) effects
10. Holiday and Halloween effects
Section 3: We also discuss the anatomy of a bubble, limits to arbitrage exploitation and conclude with how to use this information in building your own investing philosophy and strategies.
If you are interesting in better understanding financial markets and stocks trading strategies, this course is for you!